Highmarsed Profile picture
Feb 3, 2024 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ I have found that Russia has removed barrels and cannibalized almost all of their different types of stored self propelled guns. In this thread I will show satelite images of systems that have been cannibalized or with removed barrels🧵
2/ Starting with the 2S7, you can see 26 vehicles withoout barrels at the 94th in satelite images from June 2023. Unfortunately the image we have from Jan 2024 has lower resolution so I dont know how many have been removed since. 20.05.2023 (55.016229,73.400891)
3/ Regarding the 2S19 I have only found them at the 80th in pre-war images and they hadn't moved until recently. Counting the shadows of the barrels and comparing them with the number of hulls reveals, that roughly ~20 barrels have been removed.
14.08.2021 (56.760280,61.192497)
24.01.2024 (56.760280,61.192497)
4/ Additionally some 2S19 have appeared at the 120th, which could have been taken from garages or brought from the front since Brjansk is not that far from Ukraine. The Masta-S I marked seem to be used for spare parts and a few dont have a barrel:
29.04.2023 (53.226382, 34.397031)
29.04.2023 (53.227042, 34.398831)
5/ The 2S5 systems have also seen a lot of cannibalization. You can see that in 2021 they had 61 2S5 at this spot at the 7020th of which 25 were removed and 18 of the remaining vehicles had their barrel removed.
05.09.2021 (43.837516,131.993236)
11.05.2023 (43.837516,131.993236)
6/ Here are 19 2S5 at the 94th without barrels. Getting an accurate number for this base is unfortunately not that easy. I previously stated that 141 barrels were removed but after staring at Google Earth for a while I dont really know which of them dont have a barrel anymore. 20.05.2023 (55.014350,73.394236)
7/ I cant see the barrel on most of these vehicles, but for some of them there is a slight shadow and a white spot which could be the cap at the front of the barrel. To be save I wil go with at least 40 barrels removed.

20.05.2023 (55.014435,73.395626)
20.05.2023 (55.014219,73.397901)
20.05.2023 (55.018675,73.398641)
8/ As you can see in these image the 2S9 hasnt been spared. You can see that 2 are missing their whole turret and others seem to be missing their gun and stored with open hatches.
2S9_120th 29.04.2023 (53.224046,34.394058)
2S9_7020th 11.05.2023 (43.838488,131.997254)
9/ The 2S1 seems to be the only SPG that still has large stocks and hasnt been cannibalized in a significant way, whereas 2S4 and 2S3 have been removed in larger numbers and a few have also been cannibalized.
10/ Unfortunately this analysis is based on older images since more recent footage does not have the necessary resolution. I think it is reasonable to assume that a fraction of the remaining SPG stocks can be considered unusable.
11/ Unfortunately I dont know the true extent of this, especially regarding towed artillery, but I think that 2S7 and 2S5 are most affected by this. We might see that most of the rmaining systems are already cannibalized at least for the 2S7s at the 94th.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Highmarsed

Highmarsed Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @HighMarsed

Nov 1, 2024
1/ Here are some interesting things I found in the new high resolution imagery from the russian 111th storage base. ⬇️ Image
2/ Looking at tank and BMP numbers over the years since the 2022, it is clear that this base has been a large provider of tanks (mostly T-80, T-62 and some T-55). Image
3/ All T-80s have likely been removed and only some hulls that were partially scrapped in 2022 remain. Interestingly these have been moved from the red area to the area marked in blue. They might try to safe the hulls eventhough they have been without a turret for two years. Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 27, 2024
1/ Getting reliable data regarding attrition of the Russian artillery forces is very hard, but there are some trends that can be observed based on what is being removed from the storage bases, which I will present in this thread.⬇️ https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/19057/155050/
2/ Here are the equipment numbers visible on satelite images. Almost 11000 towed artillery units, self-propelled guns and towed mortars have been removed from visible storage since the start of the invasion. Image
3/ A large inital drop in the number of stored artillery systems can be observed. These were likely needed for the force expansion after the mobilization, since towed guns can be reactivated faster than SPGs, which have been removed at a more linear rate of roughly 900 per year. Image
Read 19 tweets
Sep 19, 2024
1/ Since the start of the invasion Russia has removed at least 8300 units of towed artillery and mortars from their storage bases. I will provide some additional information to the count we published recently. Image
2/ First of all I would like to explain the new ID system. I tried to make more use of measuring the guns to put them into categories. I would like to thank @bentanmy , for looking into which systems might be in storage based on guns removed for exhibits.
3/ I have also linked all of his threads about the individual systems below. Interestingly there were even ZiS-2 and ZiS-3 removed from storage for exhibits.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 18, 2024
1/ Here is our updated count of self propelled guns at Russian storage sites, with data points for 2022, 2023 and 2024. With @CovertCabal ⬇️
Image
2/ As usual here is the data. Russia has so far removed roughly 1700 SPGs from storage and 60% of of their stocks remain at the bases in various conditions. Image
3/ Interstingly some systems have been removed at a roughly linear rate: ~220 per year for the 2S1, ~160 for the 2S3 and ~140 for the 2S9. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 31, 2024
1/ Someone should update the "List of equipment of the Russian ground forces" on Wikipedia with Military Balance 2024 numbers. ⬇️
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_e…
Image
2/ Many bad assesments of Russian equipment are based on numbers from , which in turn seems to be at least partially relying on the Wikipedia article I mentioned above:globalfirepower.com
3/ The main problem with this article is that it is using some outdated numbers from The Military Balance 2022 that were corrected in 2023 and 2024.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 30, 2024
1/ This thread aims to provide some open-source and reproducible facts about Russian pre-war tank storage. ⬇️ Image
2/ The main reason I am writing this thread is that the only other source (except our previous counts) is The Military Balance 2022 (10200 tanks: 7000 T-72, 3000 T-80 and 200 T-90), which they have later corrected in TMB2023 and TMB2024.
3/ The IISS lists 5000 tanks of all types in storage for 2023 and 4000 for 2024, which are both very reasonable numbers. This is cleary not only an adjustment of the numbers caused by the war, but also a re-evaluation. Sadly these numbers are only quoted rarely.
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(