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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Feb 9 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Ukrainian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna and Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City amid continued positional fighting along the entire line of contact on February 8. (1/3)


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2/ The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that it recently conducted a cyberattack against the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) preventing Russian forces from automatically operating an unspecified number of likely first-person view (FPV) drones.
3/ The Russian Central Election Committee (CEC) refused to register Boris Nadezhdin, the only anti-war Russian presidential candidate, for the March 2024 presidential election likely due to his larger-than-anticipated popularity. isw.pub/UkrWar020824

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 10
More Key Takeaways from the Feb 9 edition of the Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment:

Delays in Western aid appear to be exacerbating Ukraine’s current artillery shortages and could impact Ukraine’s long-term war effort.

🧵1/6
2/ Newly appointed Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi identified several of his goals as commander of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Ukrainian actors reportedly conducted a successful drone strike against two oil refineries in Krasnodar Krai on Feb. 9.
3/ Ukrainian military officials reported that Russian forces are increasing their use of illegal chemical weapons in Ukraine, in an apparent violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC), to which Russia is a signatory.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 10
NEW: The Russian online community noted that Putin did not offer any new information in his interview with Tucker Carlson and simply repeated longstanding Kremlin talking points about Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine for American audiences.

🧵1/5 More⬇️ Image
2/ Kremlin sources focused on presenting the interview as a massively successful and popular Russian effort to shape the information environment in the West and claimed that the interview demonstrated that #Putin is an influential world leader.
3/ Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev noted that Putin told the Western world in the most thorough and detailed way why Ukraine did not exist, does not exist, and will not exist.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 9
Russia's occupation of Ukraine amounts to a deliberate ethnic cleansing campaign that relies on a strategy of forced depopulation and repopulation, creating the façade of multigenerational and irreversible impacts intended to further isolate Ukraine from the West. 🧵(1/5)
2/ Russia is engaged in what appears to be a deliberate campaign to depopulate parts of occupied Ukraine by removing ethnic Ukrainian populations and replacing them with Russian citizens, thus substantially altering the demographics of occupied areas of Ukraine.
3/ Russia’s modern deportation campaign is an updated application of the tried-and-true Soviet strategy of moving ethnic minority populations around within its claimed territories.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 9
The Kremlin’s occupation of Ukraine aims to eliminate Ukrainian identity by forcibly integrating occupied Ukraine into Russia socially, culturally, linguistically, politically, economically, religiously, and bureaucratically. 🧵(1/6)
2/ Moscow seeks to persuade Kyiv and its supporters that the forced integration of Ukraine into Russia, and the resulting elimination of Ukrainian identity, are permanent and irreversible so that the Kremlin can fully subjugate these territories and people for its own gain.
3/ Russia first experimented with its occupation playbook in 2008 when it invaded Georgia and occupied the South Ossetia and Abkhazia “republics.” Russia further developed means and methods of occupation in Ukraine after it invaded and seized Crimea and parts of Donbas in 2014.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 9
NEW from @KarolinaAHird: Russia seeks to persuade Ukraine & its supporters that its control of occupied Ukrainian territory is irreversible.

The Kremlin is using the same playbook in the lands Russia has taken since Feb 24, 2022, that it’s used in Crimea and Donbas since 2014.⬇️ Image
2/ The Kremlin has employed that playbook successfully enough that all discussions of the Russian full-scale invasion treat the lands Russia illegally seized in 2014 differently from the rest of Ukraine.
3/ The Kremlin seeks to create the perception that the Ukrainian territories it has occupied are permanently lost to Ukraine, discouraging Kyiv from seeking their liberation and dissuading Western support for such efforts, even though their irreversible occupation will take time.
Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Feb 9
NEW: Putin attempted to use an interview w/ American media personality Tucker Carlson published on Feb. 8 to present to a wider Western audience a longstanding Kremlin information operation that falsely asserts that Russia is interested in a negotiated end to its war in Ukraine🧵


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2/ Putin illustrated throughout the interview that Russia has no interest in meaningful or legitimate negotiations, however, and that Putin still seeks to destroy Ukraine as a state.
3/ Putin also displayed his overarching hostility towards the West and falsely accused the West of forcing Russia to attack Ukraine.
Read 9 tweets

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