Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
Feb 10 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
To round up migrants, Miller said, Trump would dispatch forces to “go around the country arresting illegal immigrants in large-scale raids.” Then, it would build “large-scale staging grounds near the border, most likely in TX,” to serve as internment camps for migrants
From these camps, admin would schedule constant flights returning migrants to their home countries. Miller: “You create this efficiency by having these standing facilities where planes are moving off the runway constantly, probably military aircraft, some existing DHS assets"
To staff this plan, Miller said a Trump administration would reassign personnel from other federal law-enforcement agencies such as ATF & DEA, “deputize” local police and sheriffs and requisition National Guard troops
Miller offered 2 scenarios for enlisting National Guard troops in removing migrants. One would be in states where GOP governors want to cooperate. “You go to the red-state governors & you say, Give us your National Guard. We will deputize them as immigration-enforcement officers”
The second scenario, Miller said, would involve sending National Guard forces from nearby Republican-controlled states into what he called an “unfriendly state” whose governor would not willingly join the deportation program.
“If you're going to go into an unfriendly state like Maryland, well, there would just be Virginia doing the arrest in Maryland, right, very close, very nearby,” Miller said.
Jason Houser, former ICE Chief of Staff, says removing 500k to 1 million migrants a year could require as many as 100,000–150,000 deputized enforcement officers. Staffing the internment camps and constant flights that Miller is contemplating could require 50,000 more people.
Former ICE Chief of Staff Houser: “If you want to deport a million a year—and I’m a Navy officer—you are talking a mobilization the size of a military deployment"
More Houser: "You are talking about taking National Guard members out of their jobs in TX & moving them into, say, Philadelphia and having them do mass stagings. Literally as Philadelphians are leaving for work, they are going to see mass-deportation centers w/children & mothers"

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More from @RonBrownstein

Feb 11
Stephen Miller on the Trump deportation plan: "So you build these facilities where then you're able to say, you know, hypothetically, three times a day are the flights back to Mexico. Two times a day are the flights back to the Northern Triangle, right.
Miller: "On Monday and Friday are the flights back to different African countries, right. On Thursday & Sunday are the flights back to different Asian countries. So you create this efficiency by having these standing facilities where planes are moving off the runway constantly"
Miller: "Then in terms of personnel, you go to the red state governors and you say, give us your National Guard. We will deputize them as immigration enforcement officers. They know their states, they know their communities, they know their cities."
Read 8 tweets
Dec 3, 2023
Both states have claims. But Hannity focused entirely on measures that favor FL (unemployment, violent-crime rate & homelessness) while ignoring all favoring CA-median income, health insurance, much lower rates of teen birth/infant mortality/firearm deaths, more life expectancy
Hannity essentially joined in a tag team w/DeSantis to frame the debate in terms familiar to his Fox audience that blue states are a chaotic hellhole of crime & "woke" liberalism.
The narrow focus on California and Florida made sense in a debate between their two governors. But those comparisons can obscure the bigger story, which is the expanding divergence between all the states in the red and blue sections.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 25, 2023
A cottage industry has developed claiming a massive realignment away from Ds among non-college non-white voters centered on cultural issues. Today's new @Univision poll, which they say has largest Latino sample in 23, challenges those claims. @LeonKrauze
All data sources agree Trump & GOP gained w/non-col nonwhites, especially Latinos, from 16 to 20. But Rs generally didn't progress further w/Latinos, esp in SW, in 22. And this massive @Univision poll shows them still facing substantial resistance despite discontent over economy
In a rematch, @univision found Biden leading Trump w/Latinos 58-31 overall. Among those w/HS degree or less, Biden led 56-29; some college was 58-31; college+ was 60-30. For each group, Biden's vote share was higher than his favorability, signaling ongoing resistance to Trump
Read 10 tweets
Jun 29, 2023
The GOP-appointed justices have moved to buttress the affluence & status that allow white people to wield the most influence in society & to diminish the possibility that accelerating demographic change will force a renegotiation of that balance of power. #affirmativeaction
In that way, the ruling is a judicial extension of the proliferating red-state laws meant to constrain the potential influence of younger generations thru measures making it more difficult to vote, banning books, and censoring how teachers talk about race and gender inequities
All of these conflicts reflect the mounting tension between the brown and the gray: the racially and culturally diverse younger generations who are becoming the cornerstone of the Democratic political coalition, and the mostly
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
In new @CNN poll, post-indictment Trump support in primary is down to just 27% of White college+ Rs. 70% of them say GOP has better chance w/a different nominee. But Trump's still at 56% support w/non-college Rs. If he can hold anything like that he'll be very hard to beat. But..
Among all col+ White voters in @CNN poll, 69% support indictment; 65% said Trump's behavior was illegal, 64% said he put national security at risk, 66% say he should end his campaign now & another 12% say he should withdraw if convicted.
Among all 18-34 in @CNN poll, 69% support indictment; 63% said Trump's behavior was illegal; 68% say he put national security at risk; 71% said he should end his campaign now and another 8% said he should withdraw if convicted.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
As the lines between red/blue harden both across & within states, & fewer Congressional candidates win on terrain that usually back the other side for president, majorities in the House & Senate are shrinking & shifts in control are growing more frequent.
The paradoxical impact of more sorting and stability in the electorate is more instability in Congress, as the two sides trade narrow and fragile majorities.
One side or the other has reached 55 Senate seats only 3x in this century. From 61-80, Democrats reached that threshold 9x. From 81-2000, one party or other reached 55 seats 7x. Tiny D House majority in 21-22 has become tiny R majority now. Both sides may struggle to break out
Read 4 tweets

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