Why Ukraine should withdraw from #Avdiivka, before it gets bad.
explaining the logistics of such a situation
Thread🧵
explaining the logistics of such a situation
Thread🧵
Assuming we have a reinforced brigade inside this town, it would need Small Arms/Mortar ammunition Rations, Petroleum, oil, Lubricants, Water potentially medical equipment of Spare Parts, Engineers would need resources and tools in order to do their jobs etc.
Similarly the unit would need to send stuff back to their trains, this would include damaged equipment, Casualties, POW's etc.
Service Routes are also used for Rotations or Reinforcements
Service Routes are also used for Rotations or Reinforcements
Usually a defense would want at least 1 MSR and 1 ASR but this would depend on the amount of units.
In Ukraine it's not as organized especially past their LRPs, that could be contributed to a lot of things that I will not go into in this thread.
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In Ukraine it's not as organized especially past their LRPs, that could be contributed to a lot of things that I will not go into in this thread.
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Having only 1 Service route can create problems as enemy attention and firepower can easily be concentrated on it, which would create issues especially if large amounts of forces sit in that salient
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if your route is constantly observed then your Logistics vehicles would be forced to move during the night or risk their destruction and in turn the loss of the supplies.
What if the enemy released shell launched mines on that route or straight unleashed Sarin on it, there is no ASR or Dirty MSR so the only option would be to move off-road if possible until the Sappers could clear the MSR.
This can easily cost a casualty to die or a unit to miss a meal, but imagine that happening every day for a month.
it would cause a lot of attrition on the salient and the enemy would be able to cause more casualties which would in turn cause more logistical struggle.
it would cause a lot of attrition on the salient and the enemy would be able to cause more casualties which would in turn cause more logistical struggle.
simply put Logistical struggles would cause tactical engagements to be lost due to lack of ammunition, the continuous losses would cause operational failure and high casualties for the defenders.
that is if they can even hold the MSR open.
that is if they can even hold the MSR open.
You shouldn't fight for a town you can't hold
if you can't counter attack the enemy out of the flanks then you should withdraw.
Pouring more resources into it would not change the operational result it would just delay it.
if you can't counter attack the enemy out of the flanks then you should withdraw.
Pouring more resources into it would not change the operational result it would just delay it.
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