Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
Feb 11 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Stephen Miller on the Trump deportation plan: "So you build these facilities where then you're able to say, you know, hypothetically, three times a day are the flights back to Mexico. Two times a day are the flights back to the Northern Triangle, right.
Miller: "On Monday and Friday are the flights back to different African countries, right. On Thursday & Sunday are the flights back to different Asian countries. So you create this efficiency by having these standing facilities where planes are moving off the runway constantly"
Miller: "Then in terms of personnel, you go to the red state governors and you say, give us your National Guard. We will deputize them as immigration enforcement officers. They know their states, they know their communities, they know their cities."
"The Alabama National Guard is going to arrest illegal aliens in Alabama and the Virginia National Guard in Virginia. And if you're going to go into an unfriendly state like Maryland, well, there would just be VA doing the arrest in Maryland, right, very close, very nearby"
Miller: "So you have experienced ICE veterans who are leading the operations & then you scale up the personnel by bringing in both other federal law enforcement officers..think DEA, ATF, et cetera, and then the National Guardsmen. And then...state and local sheriffs as well"
How many people would this target? Miller: "Well, I mean, even using conservative numbers, I mean, you're going to be looking at 10 million illegals that Biden would have let in."
More Miller: "this is very rarely mentioned. Visa overstays are a massive national security threat. ..And then, one other group are people who were let in on visas but whose views, attitudes, and beliefs make them ineligible to stay in the country."
Miller: "So the obvious example here would be all of the Hamas supporters who are rallying across the country, who are here on various kinds of visas with the permission of the U.S. government." In sum: "So it's a very large volume of people that will need to be removed."

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More from @RonBrownstein

Feb 12
Democrats face a dangerous convergence: The party must defend an unusually large number of seats in terrain that is highly contested at the presidential level precisely as Biden is struggling in polls against Trump
In Nov, Dems are defending 3 Senate seats in states where Trump beat Biden in 2020 (OH/MT/WV). Those have received much attention. But Dems are also defending 5 Senate seats in states that Biden in 20 won by 3 points or less. Rs aren't defending any in states Trump lost or won <3
That reflects a fundamental imbalance. Each side now dominates the Senate seats in the 25 states its presidential nominee won in 2020. But Biden won six states by 3 or less, compared to just 1 for Trump (NC). Even extending the net to 5 pts only adds 1 more narrow Trump state, FL
Read 9 tweets
Feb 10
To round up migrants, Miller said, Trump would dispatch forces to “go around the country arresting illegal immigrants in large-scale raids.” Then, it would build “large-scale staging grounds near the border, most likely in TX,” to serve as internment camps for migrants
From these camps, admin would schedule constant flights returning migrants to their home countries. Miller: “You create this efficiency by having these standing facilities where planes are moving off the runway constantly, probably military aircraft, some existing DHS assets"
To staff this plan, Miller said a Trump administration would reassign personnel from other federal law-enforcement agencies such as ATF & DEA, “deputize” local police and sheriffs and requisition National Guard troops
Read 9 tweets
Dec 3, 2023
Both states have claims. But Hannity focused entirely on measures that favor FL (unemployment, violent-crime rate & homelessness) while ignoring all favoring CA-median income, health insurance, much lower rates of teen birth/infant mortality/firearm deaths, more life expectancy
Hannity essentially joined in a tag team w/DeSantis to frame the debate in terms familiar to his Fox audience that blue states are a chaotic hellhole of crime & "woke" liberalism.
The narrow focus on California and Florida made sense in a debate between their two governors. But those comparisons can obscure the bigger story, which is the expanding divergence between all the states in the red and blue sections.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 25, 2023
A cottage industry has developed claiming a massive realignment away from Ds among non-college non-white voters centered on cultural issues. Today's new @Univision poll, which they say has largest Latino sample in 23, challenges those claims. @LeonKrauze
All data sources agree Trump & GOP gained w/non-col nonwhites, especially Latinos, from 16 to 20. But Rs generally didn't progress further w/Latinos, esp in SW, in 22. And this massive @Univision poll shows them still facing substantial resistance despite discontent over economy
In a rematch, @univision found Biden leading Trump w/Latinos 58-31 overall. Among those w/HS degree or less, Biden led 56-29; some college was 58-31; college+ was 60-30. For each group, Biden's vote share was higher than his favorability, signaling ongoing resistance to Trump
Read 10 tweets
Jun 29, 2023
The GOP-appointed justices have moved to buttress the affluence & status that allow white people to wield the most influence in society & to diminish the possibility that accelerating demographic change will force a renegotiation of that balance of power. #affirmativeaction
In that way, the ruling is a judicial extension of the proliferating red-state laws meant to constrain the potential influence of younger generations thru measures making it more difficult to vote, banning books, and censoring how teachers talk about race and gender inequities
All of these conflicts reflect the mounting tension between the brown and the gray: the racially and culturally diverse younger generations who are becoming the cornerstone of the Democratic political coalition, and the mostly
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
In new @CNN poll, post-indictment Trump support in primary is down to just 27% of White college+ Rs. 70% of them say GOP has better chance w/a different nominee. But Trump's still at 56% support w/non-college Rs. If he can hold anything like that he'll be very hard to beat. But..
Among all col+ White voters in @CNN poll, 69% support indictment; 65% said Trump's behavior was illegal, 64% said he put national security at risk, 66% say he should end his campaign now & another 12% say he should withdraw if convicted.
Among all 18-34 in @CNN poll, 69% support indictment; 63% said Trump's behavior was illegal; 68% say he put national security at risk; 71% said he should end his campaign now and another 8% said he should withdraw if convicted.
Read 6 tweets

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