One problem @HighMarsed and @CovertCabal faced during their π·πΊ storage satellite image count was distinguishing between D-20, D-1, and M-30 howitzers.
This is important, because this set of systems represents over 50% of all visible stored towed arty.
This is important, because this set of systems represents over 50% of all visible stored towed arty.
https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1753578892344877301
The D-1 and M-30 systems have important qualitative differences that make them unlikely candidates for reactivation.
https://twitter.com/waffentraeger/status/1753866509724635504
This set of systems is down by just 30% from its pre-war level, compared to a depletion level of between 55% and 75% for other towed arty.
Let's make some adjustments.
Let's make some adjustments.
HighMarsed has found 4,933 such systems in storage pre-war.
The Military Balance says a total of 5,525 systems for the same set.
Assuming even distribution, the system HighMarsed has identified might be:
3,348 M-30
960 D-20
625 D-1
The Military Balance says a total of 5,525 systems for the same set.
Assuming even distribution, the system HighMarsed has identified might be:
3,348 M-30
960 D-20
625 D-1
Let's then assume that the D-20 systems (the system we are most interested in out of this set) have fallen by 55% (a little less than the drop in D-30 stored units).
This would mean 432 D-20 howitzers left in storage.
This would mean 432 D-20 howitzers left in storage.
Additionally, it is noteworthy that of the entire visible remaining stock of towed arty, 43% is located in the Planovyi base. The images HighMarsed bases their count on this base are from June 2023 - more than 8 months ago.
https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1753759804865008104
I will expand on this a little later, but it is an important adjustment for the remaining artillery calculations.
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