1/ Russia has lost at least 102 of their ~186 active T-80U tanks operated by the 12th and 13th Guard Tank Regiments of the 4th Guards Tank Division. I have looked for T-80Us in storage, to answer if they might be able to replace the losses and rebuild their units⬇️
2/ First of all I looked at the 61st BTRZ in St. Petersburg, which had 211 T-80BV, 21 T-80U and 48 T-80UD tanks in the parking space in March of 2020. I have marked the T-80BVs in red, T-80U in yellow and the T-80UD in light blue (T-62 are marked in green).
3/ I was able to identify the exact type of the tanks because I found some very good ground images, posted by like_a_free on Instagram.
4/ As you can see in the images above many of the tanks were in bad condition and I dont know the reason why the they were brought ot the repair plant, but in 06.08.2022 180 of the tanks had been removed and many of them were likely scrapped.
5/ In 2023 Zvezda published a video of the plant which shows that 16 T-80U remain (some could be T-80UD) and roughly 80 T-80BV. The main part of the parking area is now full of damaged T-72 variants which were likely brought from the front.
6/ Depending on how many of the pre-war active tanks remain, they might be able to re-equip one of their tank regiments with the T-80Us from the 61st, but since the 102 losses recorded on warspotting might not represent all T-80U losses these 16 tanks could be insufficient.
7/ There is only one other spot where I have found tanks of the T-80U or T-80UD type, which is the 22nd storage base. I think it is likely that all T-80U at that base are T-80UD, because all images that allow an exact identification seem to show the UD variant.
8/ There were at least 170 T-80UD at this base before the war started, but I have seen some old images that could imply more T-80UDs at that base, so the exact amount is unclear.
9/ The problem with the T-80UD is that it uses the 6TD engine built in Kharkiv, so Russia likely cant operate them without replacing the engine (or other modification). They seem to be working on a solution for that, since 20 T-80UDs had been removed in sat images from July 2023
10/ If Russia can find a sustainable solution to the engine problem they should be able to re-equip both tank regiments with converted T-80UD from this storage base, although I cant imagine this getting priority over f.x. refurbishing old T-72s.
11/ It is also possible that I have missed some tanks, since more than 400 T-80U were made, as shown with sources by @AntaresTuitero below, of which Russia only exported 76. For the T-80UD 550-715 seem to have been built in Kharkiv, of which Ukraine exported 320 to Pakistan.
1/ Here are some interesting things I found in the new high resolution imagery from the russian 111th storage base. ⬇️
2/ Looking at tank and BMP numbers over the years since the 2022, it is clear that this base has been a large provider of tanks (mostly T-80, T-62 and some T-55).
3/ All T-80s have likely been removed and only some hulls that were partially scrapped in 2022 remain. Interestingly these have been moved from the red area to the area marked in blue. They might try to safe the hulls eventhough they have been without a turret for two years.
1/ Getting reliable data regarding attrition of the Russian artillery forces is very hard, but there are some trends that can be observed based on what is being removed from the storage bases, which I will present in this thread.⬇️
2/ Here are the equipment numbers visible on satelite images. Almost 11000 towed artillery units, self-propelled guns and towed mortars have been removed from visible storage since the start of the invasion.
3/ A large inital drop in the number of stored artillery systems can be observed. These were likely needed for the force expansion after the mobilization, since towed guns can be reactivated faster than SPGs, which have been removed at a more linear rate of roughly 900 per year.
1/ Since the start of the invasion Russia has removed at least 8300 units of towed artillery and mortars from their storage bases. I will provide some additional information to the count we published recently.
2/ First of all I would like to explain the new ID system. I tried to make more use of measuring the guns to put them into categories. I would like to thank @bentanmy , for looking into which systems might be in storage based on guns removed for exhibits.
3/ I have also linked all of his threads about the individual systems below. Interestingly there were even ZiS-2 and ZiS-3 removed from storage for exhibits.
1/ Here is our updated count of self propelled guns at Russian storage sites, with data points for 2022, 2023 and 2024. With @CovertCabal ⬇️
2/ As usual here is the data. Russia has so far removed roughly 1700 SPGs from storage and 60% of of their stocks remain at the bases in various conditions.
3/ Interstingly some systems have been removed at a roughly linear rate: ~220 per year for the 2S1, ~160 for the 2S3 and ~140 for the 2S9.
1/ Someone should update the "List of equipment of the Russian ground forces" on Wikipedia with Military Balance 2024 numbers. ⬇️ en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_e…
2/ Many bad assesments of Russian equipment are based on numbers from , which in turn seems to be at least partially relying on the Wikipedia article I mentioned above:globalfirepower.com
3/ The main problem with this article is that it is using some outdated numbers from The Military Balance 2022 that were corrected in 2023 and 2024.
1/ This thread aims to provide some open-source and reproducible facts about Russian pre-war tank storage. ⬇️
2/ The main reason I am writing this thread is that the only other source (except our previous counts) is The Military Balance 2022 (10200 tanks: 7000 T-72, 3000 T-80 and 200 T-90), which they have later corrected in TMB2023 and TMB2024.
3/ The IISS lists 5000 tanks of all types in storage for 2023 and 4000 for 2024, which are both very reasonable numbers. This is cleary not only an adjustment of the numbers caused by the war, but also a re-evaluation. Sadly these numbers are only quoted rarely.