🧵UN issued short press release claiming IDF raped Palestinians. Zero evidence is presented, not one shred. It was clearly issued to balance indisputable & growing evidence of shocking Hamas sexual crimes, to blunt justification for Israel’s assault on Hamas. See analysis: 1/9
Release says “allegedly,” “reports” or events “reportedly” occurred 15 times meaning no evidence, we just heard it may have happened. Not one single detail provided, when, where, who, etc. The “experts” cite allegations offering zero information, hiding behind “reportedly.” 2/
Release says “UN experts expressed alarm over credible allegations.” They don't explain why it's credible. Who are these experts? Antisemites like @FrancesAlbs who was rebuked on Feb 12 by US Ambassador (and others like France & Germany) for her ongoing antisemitism. 3/
Another lead “expert” is Jordanian Reem Alsalem @UNSRVAW who never condemned Hamas sexual crimes, claimed these events are unverified. But in an incredible and vile inversion of reality accuses Israel of these same actions with zero evidence. 4/
Other "expert" @DorothyEstrada chairs UN Working Group on Discrimination against Women & Girls. She posted ~90 times since 10/7 but NEVER about Hamas rape of Israelis & Jews. Like UN, she covers for Hamas crimes and does not care about Jewish women in a gross double standard. 5/
Israel forcefully rejected the “despicable and unfounded claims” by “so-called UN experts.” Israel also said no complaints have been received and is ready to investigate claims – so when will the “experts” come forth with details on the "credible allegations"? 6/
Do not expect “experts” will ever follow up because that's not the aim of this release. The true goal, which was successful, was to get media & NGOs to report UN says IDF soldiers are raping Palestinians, so you see it’s not just Hamas (allegedly) the Jews are doing it too. 7/
Let’s not forget that the UN Human Rights Council, which issued this release, most recently named Iran as the chair of the recent meeting in Geneva. Yes, one may recall that Hamas is an Iran proxy. So UNHRC is covering up for Hamas, saying Jews are the real rapists! 8/
The release marks another antisemitic low for UN bodies and further cements @FranceskAlbs as an enemy of Israel and the Jewish people who will stop at nothing to see Israel destroyed. Here by whitewashing Hamas sexual crimes and projecting the same crimes on the Jews. END
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🧵Gaza Casualty Update: At Feb 14, Hamas and UN mouthpiece report 28,576 fatalities. IDF has now killed ~11,000 combatants. With main Hamas brigades in Rafah, fatalities counts down recently. Civilian/combatant ratios very low in last weeks. Updates & new key analysis ⬇️ 1/8
On Jan 14, IDF reported >9,000 combatants killed; on Feb 1, IDF reported 10,000 killed. Current estimate is 11,000 adding in daily official IDF reports of 50-100 killed daily first week of Feb, in last week seems to be in 40-70 range. See example below from Feb 6 IDF report. 2/
In last 10 days Hamas reports 1,209 killed or 121 daily, lowest since 10/7 (excluding Nov truce). Based on IDF reports that show roughly ~550 killed in same days civilian combatant ratio this period is very low at 1.2:1 (assuming Hamas is accurate, it's not). See data below: 3/
🧵New “report” by @amnesty issued Feb 12 claiming war crimes by Israel in 4 Rafah attacks is devoid of any actual evidence. Amnesty simply states these were not military targets and accepts local Gazan claims. War crime charges rely on "we say so" evidence. See debunking ⬇️ 1/9
This paragraph summarizes Amnesty’s ONLY "evidence" – they did not find any indication buildings were military targets. But how do they know weeks later examining demolished buildings? They have no idea why IDF hit these targets, there is no possibility they can know today. 2/
Attack 1 was on Dec 12, three months prior to report. Survivors say there was no military target. Amnesty says they did not find evidence of military target. That's it. They do no consider building once used by Hamas, maybe cleaned up, casualties hidden by Hamas etc. 3/
🧵With Rafah operation imminent, NGOs UN & others are fabricating new laws to claim Israel’s planned actions are illegal. Geneva in fact supports IDF action against Hamas in Rafah. Here is an overview of what Geneva actually says and how NGOs blatantly lie to protect Hamas. 1/8
Geneva allows IDF operations in Rafah even if: (1) civilians are present (2) millions of civilians are present (3) density of civilians is high (4) civilians are suffering (5) there is no apparent “safe place” to go. These are all fake concepts by NGOs not mentioned in Geneva /2
First key law: presence of civilians does not immunize enemy per Geneva articles below. No matter how many civilians, how dense or if they're suffering. Geneva makes clear enemy is never immune using human shields. IDF is allowed to act regardless of large civilian presence. /3
🧵Moody’s lowered Israel’s A1 credit rating to A2 with negative outlook. Downgrade affirms war is having an economic impact & gov’t must address issues. But at A2 Israel remains among most creditworthy nations on earth and actual impact of downgrade is low. See analysis⬇️ 1/13
How did Israel’s bond yield react to the downgrade? Benchmark 10-year sovereign bond yield moved up from 4.22% to 4.31% on first day of trading post downgrade – but today is back to 4.23%. On 10/6 it was 4.26%. See chart. So the downgrade had no apparent impact on yield. Why? 2/
Chart below shows Israeli bond index for local A1 to A3 rated bonds. How did index react to the downgrade? With a whopping 0.24% decline (but up 0.15% today not shown in chart) and is far above levels a few months ago. Israeli bond holders do not seem too concerned. Why? 3/
🧵Hamas Fake Casualty Update: At Feb 4, Hamas and its UN mouthpiece report 27,365 fatalities. IDF has now killed ~10,500 combatants. Recent ratio is less than one civilian per combatant death. Gazan deaths still reported on Google Form. New data, sources & analysis ⬇️ 1/11
On Jan 14 IDF reported >9,000 combatants killed; my estimate last week was 10,000 corroborated soon after in statement by Gallant. Current estimate is ~10,500 (and likely higher) based on seven more days of official IDF reports of 50-100 killed daily, see examples below. 2/
In last 7 days Hamas reported 943 deaths, lowest since 10/7 (excluding Nov truce). Based on IDF reports of ~525 killed in same week current civilian/combatant ratio is very low at 0.8:1 showing extreme precision as IDF campaign progresses. Civilian evacuations are working. 3/
🧵Hamas Fake Casualty Update: At January 28, Hamas and its UN mouthpiece report 26,422 fatalities. IDF has now killed ~10,000 combatants. New revelation: Since Jan 6, Hamas fatality count relies on Gazans self reporting on a Google Form! New data, sources & analysis below: 1/13
On Jan 14 IDF reported >9,000 combatants killed. Since then ~1,000 more killed for ~10,000. Based on daily IDF reports (e.g. below); recent media reports say “400 killed in less than a week” and ~100 killed daily with very heavy battles in Khan Younes. 2/ynetnews.com/article/skxptj…
Assuming the Hamas total casualty figure is accurate (we know civilian deaths are vastly inflated), then civilian/combatant ratio is ~1.6:1 which remains extremely low vs allied action in Iraq & Afghanistan (3:1 to 5:1) and 9:1 as reported by the UN for worldwide conflict. 3/