The bigger issue with the ten Hag's philosophy & tactics is that most of the issues have been evident for his whole tenure at Man Utd.
โ Poor high press structure that's easily bypassed
โ Poor rest defence when we lose the ball
โ Deep block that invites entries/shots
โ Vertical progression intent that bypasses midfield
โ Build up structure that relies on player ability over patterns
โ Low quality chance creation due to lack of any sustainable patterns
โ General over-reliance on key player power due to lack of patterns that leads to overplaying them
โ Above reason & end-to-end football leading to fitness issues & injuries
The assumption for last year was that he didn't have his players & was dealing with many squad issues. Many tactical discounts were given that way (Eg. Deep line because of David de gea).
But even from the first month of this season, after heavy transfer backing & pre-season time, much of these issues remained and in fact were magnified with a higher press and more vertical intent in possession. The wrong direction.
The older issues remained (Eg. Deep line even with Onana) & newer issues got added (More strain on midfield & defence due to high press compared to last year).
But the biggest argument against keeping Erik ten Hag is that he hasn't addressed any of these issues all year. Game after game, we try the same thing. His genuine reading of the situation seems to be that this gameplan will actually work once X key player comes back (a never-ending cycle for obvious reasons). And the few undeserved wins probably add to that feeling.
But the reality is that we've seen various player combinations including our best players, we've played one game a week recently, we've lined up against the worst teams in the league and through all that still seen the exact same issues in and out of possession all year.
If a manager isn't ready to change for the better, he can't guarantee progress even with more time and more investment. We'll just see new players succumb to the inherent problems of the manager's game model.
Recruitment and more time will only help if the path to progress is clear.
INEOS have a decision to make this summer.
And it doesn't make me happy or say I've been pointing out these issues from The first month. My threads in Wolves, Spurs, Arsenal, Brighton laid the issues out. Every month and every international break I kept hoping ETH would fix the issues or try something different. Barring ocassional flashes (Copenhagen, Palace, Wolves 2nd game, Chelsea) and that too in possession, he's just stuck on to the same system hoping it clicks. That's my bigger issue here. The stubbornness. That's a big limiter to progress.
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Manchester United Progression Patterns under Amorim - Data Viz Thread
Where do Amorim's United progress from? Which players are contributing most/least? I divide each player's playing time by position in the 3-4-3, plot their prog passes & carries & derive insights.
Lets go!๐งต
Before we begin, take a look at some gametime insights on who's played where & how much. That sets the understanding for the following thread. My first step was to split position wise data after which I made the plots based on Progression action formulas.
- Lisandro's high progression indicates what Amorim wants from this role. But comes most via passing
- Carrying power on both sides is sub-par
- Mazraoui & esp Yoro can be more progressive
- Note how carries & passes are out to wing when deep & then inward in final 3rd
3 reasons Manchester United are showing improved fitness levels & game control
So far under Amorim, we've seen an energetic team that's able to stick to their gameplan while controlling games. This was a big reason we kept knocking on City's door to earn the win. How?
Short ๐งต
1. Data-driven rotation
Amorim is using data coupled with a hard stance on 'fit to play' to rotate & use subs. Amorim & the players have revealed that there were pre-decided minute thresholds set for many games, which ESPN also confirmed recently.
This also stems from an approach that prioritizes squad-wide principles over key player reliance. Amorim wants the system & roles to dictate gameplay rather than the core starters, which allows seamless rotation & subs without suffering high quality drop.
Just a short thread on yesterday's build up mistake between Onana & De Ligt. Who's mistake was it? What is the intention & regular pattern of that move? Why does the CCB step up to recieve back-to-goal in Amorim's system?
I'll explain in brief.
First, let's see an ideal execution using Amorim's Sporting. Here, the CCB has stepped up beside the DM. Sporting attract the press to left. Braga block the LCB's angles to GK & RCB, but LCB has access to CCB who has angle to RCB. A quick bounce pass later, RCB carries in space.
Another one in the same game. Sporting attract the press to the right side via the DM who passes back to GK. Because Braga's front 3 commited to the 3 players on screen, LCB is wide & free. GK plays to CCB who immediately plays it square to LCB. Press broken, LCB carries freely.
1. Hojlund - Biggest beneficiary IMO. A typical Amorim CF is heavy on channel running, carrying and running into spaces. Lines up with Hojlund's best traits & usage. I see a blockbuster combo here.
2. Lisandro - I called Inacio a Licha copy in my CB scouting reports. So, needless to say, Amorim will enjoy the superior version. Those CB to DM and CB to LB rotations in build up will suit Licha. Might see Licha as situational DM often.
3. Onana - Amorim is very big on GK being part of build up and doing a lot of press baiting before playing short/medium. Again suits Onana traits a lot.
Predicting all 3 to be used much better than they have been at Man Utd so far & closer to how they were used at Atalanta, Ajax & Inter respectively.
My article on Hojlund from his Atalanta days. So this is essentially my take on "How to get the best out of Hojlund".
Barcelona's risky defensive setup & the new top team meta - THREAD
Lot of talk about Barca's defensive setup. Yes, I also think it's risky, could have ended differently if Bayern/Madrid made some better choices & I do feel Barca will suffer a drop off later in season.
BUT...
A lot of this is planned & part of the tactic. Catching players (esp top players) offside repeatedly is an art & there is coaching involved in making such young players pull it off consistently. Flick also adapts pressing (Eg. Bayern 2nd half) when needed instead of gung-ho mode
Mainly, the in-possession dynamics are superb & getting players into good positions after generating space repeatedly. That counts for a lot. No system is perfect but being great in one dept is also a good deal for a top team whose good players can paper other systemic cracks.
Yesterday's good outing highlighted a few things about Garnacho's dribbling that his stats & displays across ~2 years also align with. In this thread, I'll explain the type of dribbling Garnacho is bad & good at & what that means.
๐งต
So far, this season for Garnacho in EPL:
Take-ons attempted: 90 %ile
Successful take-ons: 22 %ile
Take-on success: 6 %ile
Even last year his take-on success was only 26 %ile in EPL.
Takeaway: Garnacho isn't great at beating his man in a 1v1. He's not an isolation expert.
Rarely does he square up against his man & dribble past cleanly from a slow/standing start. He lacks the core strength, trickery & physicality to consistently get the best of his marker when he's isolated against them wide of play. Avoid such situations.