Clément Molin Profile picture
Mar 2, 2024 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Ukraine🇺🇦 facing difficulties on the frontline is digging huge fortifications across Donbass and Zaporijia oblasts.

I already talked about the "Donbass line" facing the Surovikin system. There is now a Syrsky line similar to Russian🇷🇺one.

🧵THREAD🧵⬇️1/10 Image
This is Avdiivka map, my own work with the help of "playfra" on discord.

After the Ukrainian defenses west of Avdiivka collapsed, the Russian army is now facing the first line of defense. Image
This line is not optimal for defense but it is still good since there are lakes and water bodies supporting it.

I think the Russian army is going to take Orlivka and it will advance in the hole of the defensive line west of it. Image
Since the end of december, the Ukrainian army has been impoving its defensive lines. The secondth one is the best one, helped with lakes and a river. The approch to Niu York, Oukrainsk and Selydove won't be easy.

(defenses being improved everyday) Image
I won't talk much about Bakhmout since i havn't updated the map. You can undestrand that the village of Ivanivske was well defended, but the main line is on the canal in front of Tchasiv Yar. Image
This is the news of the day: the Ukrainian army is building a big line all along Zaporijia oblast, with anti-tank ditches and trenches just as Russian did a few kilometers south.

I can't share satellite pictures for now, but you have to understand it is really impresive. Image
Finally, after Russian advance in Novomykhailivka, the Ukrainian armed forces began to dig new defenses east and south of Kourakhove, including this big anti-tank ditch. Image
This is how it looks like ⬇️ Image
And to conclude, a vision of the entire frontline. Image


This is my first work about it.

You can support me by subscribing to @atummundi
(I also have a buy me a coffee on my linktree)

10/10
Tomorow i'll take a look at Kharkiv and northern regions to see if they are building some defenses.

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More from @clement_molin

Feb 15
Each day that passes gives Ukraine 🇺🇦 more time to prepare new fortifications that will ultimately slow down russian 🇷🇺 offensives.

The recent russian setbacks allowed Ukraine to largely reinforce its fortification strategy.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Ukrainian fortifications are improving. The main defensive lines (yellow) are meant to protect Ukraine's rear.

Between these main lines, we can find multiple smaller ditches lines are barbed wire lines. This strategy is cutting the frontline : Image
We now have multiple squares and rectangles between main and secondary lines.

The frontline is literraly cut in pieces, the black ones are the finished/expected ones and the grey the larger ones, behind, that will be later cut in between. Image
Read 16 tweets
Feb 14
Contre-attaque victorieuse pour l'Ukraine 🇺🇦

Après plusieurs semaines de contre-attaques, l'armée ukrainienne a repris le contrôle de larges territoires disputés dont ~12 villages dans l'est de l'oblast de Zaporizhia.

L'armée russe 🇷🇺 a été repoussée.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️Image
Profitant de la suspension de Starling à l'armée russe (qui permettait de faire voler les drones russes et de communiquer) et de Telegram, l'armée ukrainienne a lancé une série de contre-attaques locales dans le secteur de Ternuvate et Pokrovsk'e, à l'est de Zaporizhia. Image
Les ukrainiens ont utilisé d'importants moyens mécanisés, une première depuis plusieurs mois, profitant notamment des mauvaises conditions météorologiques et de la suspension de Starlink qui empêchent les drones de voler.

Ces assauts ont eu lieu à l'ouest du côté de Ternuvate. Image
Read 21 tweets
Feb 12
I now managed to map 24 000 russian 🇷🇺 and ukrainian 🇺🇦 artillery strikes from the Dnipro to the russian border.

With this map, I'll show you exactly where Russia is putting its biggest offensive efforts and where Ukraine is counter-attacking.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️Image
With 12k artillery (and airstrikes) found last week, I now added 12k more, including 8k more in the same area as last week (Dnipro to Kostiantynivka).

This work is entirely volunteer and free, I mapped those 24 000 dots by myself.

You can support here : buymeacoffee.com/clement.molinImage
Most of the artillery strikes impacts are concentrated in 4 main areas :

-Hulialpole/Pokrovsk'e : 8 000 !
-Pokrovsk/Dobropilla : 7 000 !
-Siversk : 1 200
-Kupiansk : 1 200 Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 10
Did Ukraine 🇺🇦 launch a counter-offensive in Zaporizhzhia oblast ?

Multiple accounts reported about this, but it is not really the truth.

Most of ukrainian progress happened in the grey zone, taking back villages which Russia 🇷🇺 was not controling.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️Image
The main question is where is the frontline. I already talked about it twice recently, especially with this analysis of shell impacts.

Take a close look on the Ternuvate direction, you can see barely no artillery/air strikes

Image
On these maps from @M0nstas, you can see the big difference on the definition of frontline from a pro-russian source and a pro-ukrainian source. Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 8
Le divorce entre l'Arabie Saoudite 🇸🇦 et les Emirats-Arabes-Unis 🇦🇪

Depuis plusieurs mois, les deux riches royaumes sont en pleine confrontation, voici un Etat des lieux :

Cliquez sur la carte et zoomez, analyse carte par carte dans les tweet suivants ⬇️

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️Image
Commençons d'abord par la carte sans la légende, pour une vision globale d'un coup d'oeil.

Le sujet ici est l'éclatement au grand jour de la rivalité KSA-UAE au Moyen-Orient et en Afrique. L'objectif est de montrer l'ampleur de l'influence émiratie et ke retour saoudien. Image
Prendre connaissance de la légende est également important pour pouvoir comprendre la carte.

A la fin, j'ai ajouté un petit texte comprenant les sources et une explication de la méthodologie Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 6
On a 250 km long frontline, I managed to map 12 000 russian 🇷🇺 and ukrainian 🇺🇦 artillery strikes thanks to the snow cover

With this map, I'll analyse with precision the current trends and next movements on the frontline as well as the location of the frontline

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️ Image
The latest commercial satellite images (Sentinel-2) showed most of eastern Ukraine covered with snow, which is very useful.

Indeed, we can see every artillery and airstrike impacts, something we cannot see otherwise. I mapped 12 000 of them between Kostiantynivka and the Dnipro river, with two holes, the area around Novopavlivka/Ivanivka (some clouds) and the one north of Stepnohirsk and along the Dnipro, because there was no snow.

Disclaimer, this map is obviously not showing all the impacts, I may have missed some, and the ones in urban areas are a bit more difficult to map. Moreover, some of those impacts are in fact airstrikes, but it is a minority.

Let's start !Image
First, we can see 3 main areas of bombing : Pokrovsk-Dobrbropilla, Hulialpole-Ternuvate and Stepnohirsk.

There is one trend : Russia is putting a big effort to attack Orikhiv from both sides and to take Dobropilla in the first part of the year. Image
Read 20 tweets

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