Clément Molin Profile picture
Mar 2, 2024 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Ukraine🇺🇦 facing difficulties on the frontline is digging huge fortifications across Donbass and Zaporijia oblasts.

I already talked about the "Donbass line" facing the Surovikin system. There is now a Syrsky line similar to Russian🇷🇺one.

🧵THREAD🧵⬇️1/10 Image
This is Avdiivka map, my own work with the help of "playfra" on discord.

After the Ukrainian defenses west of Avdiivka collapsed, the Russian army is now facing the first line of defense. Image
This line is not optimal for defense but it is still good since there are lakes and water bodies supporting it.

I think the Russian army is going to take Orlivka and it will advance in the hole of the defensive line west of it. Image
Since the end of december, the Ukrainian army has been impoving its defensive lines. The secondth one is the best one, helped with lakes and a river. The approch to Niu York, Oukrainsk and Selydove won't be easy.

(defenses being improved everyday) Image
I won't talk much about Bakhmout since i havn't updated the map. You can undestrand that the village of Ivanivske was well defended, but the main line is on the canal in front of Tchasiv Yar. Image
This is the news of the day: the Ukrainian army is building a big line all along Zaporijia oblast, with anti-tank ditches and trenches just as Russian did a few kilometers south.

I can't share satellite pictures for now, but you have to understand it is really impresive. Image
Finally, after Russian advance in Novomykhailivka, the Ukrainian armed forces began to dig new defenses east and south of Kourakhove, including this big anti-tank ditch. Image
This is how it looks like ⬇️ Image
And to conclude, a vision of the entire frontline. Image


This is my first work about it.

You can support me by subscribing to @atummundi
(I also have a buy me a coffee on my linktree)

10/10
Tomorow i'll take a look at Kharkiv and northern regions to see if they are building some defenses.

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More from @clement_molin

Oct 8
L'Asie Centrale 🇰🇿🇺🇿🇹🇯🇹🇲🇰🇬 s'éloigne de Moscou 🇷🇺

Alors que se tient le 12ème sommet de l'organisation des Etats Turciques 🇹🇷 en Azerbaïdjan, les pays centrasiatiques prouvent une fois de plus leur éloignement avec la Russie.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
Depuis 2022, l’Asie centrale amorce un tournant géopolitique majeur.

Longtemps dans le giron russe, la région s’émancipe progressivement de Moscou. Cet éloignement n’est ni brutal ni uniforme, mais il est désormais irréversible. Image
La guerre en Ukraine a agi comme un catalyseur.

Pour les dirigeants centrasiatiques de l'ex URSS, la Russie n’est plus un garant de stabilité, mais un facteur d’incertitude.

Dès lors, la priorité devient l’autonomie stratégique et la diversification des partenariats. Image
Read 21 tweets
Oct 6
*123 000 russian 🇷🇺 soldiers got killed in 2025 in Ukraine 🇺🇦, more than the french 🇫🇷 ground forces.

In total, 281 550 russian soldiers were lost in 2025 as per leaked report. It includes 123 000 killed and missing and 158 529 wounded.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
These leaked documents were initially shared by this account @hochuzhit_com which provided these two pictures.

*I don't know about the source which seems controversial but the data seems veracious since it is close to other data collected by Mediazona, the Ukrainian General Staff and independent analysts.

There is high possibility this can be a propaganda operation, but the data can still be used.Image
Image
The document is giving few interesting insights on the state of russian forces. With 83 000 killed, it's close to the Mediazona count (54 000 in August with verified data).

It is also giving data on particular units and different sectors.
Read 25 tweets
Oct 5
Depuis le mois de mai 2025, la Russie 🇷🇺 a lâché 19 752 bombes guidées, dont 30% à Pokrovsk et 19% à Soumy.

Depuis le début de l'année, 35 148 bombes ont été lâchées ainsi que 1 488 990 frappes d'artilleries et 923 047 frappes de drones FPV.

Statistiques :

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Depuis que je cartographie les frappes aériennes russes, j'ai pu en localiser environ 65% (principalement à Pokrovsk, Soumy et Pokrovsk'e).

Le reste non cartographié est probablement à Kherson, Zaporizhia, Kramatorsk, Koupiansk ou Kharkiv. Image
Hier, j'ai publié cette carte des plus de 6 000 frappes aériennes russes entre Pokrovsk et Kostiantynivka sur les 5 derniers mois, avec différents codes couleurs. Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 4
Will Russia 🇷🇺 break the frontline again ?

Since few weeks, russian forces started again to push for Drujkivka, while hundreds of russians are still isolated.

I mapped all airstrikes there and at the same time, Ukraine 🇺🇦 is preparing the 3rd Donbass line🧑‍🔧.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Since two months, there have been a massive split between analysts. Pro-ukrainian or pro-russian sources are divided to understand how much km2 fell this month to Russia.

Many fail to understand the new logics of war. Image
Image
For example :

-Some will map an area as russian because a ukrainian drone striked russian soldiers there or a russian was seen with a flag.
-Some will map a large grey zone

I would myself map the grey zone for one main reason :
Read 25 tweets
Oct 3
En #Birmanie🇲🇲, la guerre dure depuis 4 ans et demi

Après le coup d'état des militaires de 2021, le pays a plongé dans la guerre civile.

Celle-ci oppose rébellions ethniques et pro-démocratie à la junte militaire soutenue par la Russie 🇷🇺 et la Chine 🇨🇳.

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️Carte de @ThomasVLinge que j'ai modifié
Depuis plusieurs mois, la contre-offensive de la Tatmadaw -nom de l'armée birmane- dans l'Etat Shan progresse lentement.

Progressivement, la junte a renversé les gains de l'opération 1024 débuté en 2023 d'après @MyanmarWarMap

Image
D'un autre côté, @Nrg8000 a fait un bon travail avec la carte de Thomas Van Linge.

On voit en rouge les gains de la junte sur l'année passée et en bleu les gains de la coalition rebelle. Image
Read 19 tweets
Oct 1
L'Arménie🇦🇲peut-elle disparaitre ?

C'était le titre d'une conférence à laquelle j'avais assisté en 2022 auprès de la communauté arménienne en France. A l'époque, l'Azerbaïdjan🇦🇿 avait envahit 300km2 d'Arménie.

Pourtant, le contexte a changé et les enjeux aussi

🧵THREAD🧵1/19⬇️Image
J'ai terminé de cartographier l'ensemble des positions militaires arméniennes et azerbaïdjanaises le long de leur frontière bilatérale.

En tout, ce sont plus de 1 400 positions arméniennes et 1 000 positions azerbaïdjanaises recensées. Image
Ces positions nous permettent de voir la vulnérabilité arménienne, encerclée de deux côté, notamment au sud, par l'Azerbaïdjan.

On remarque également les quelques 300 km2 de terres arméniennes (frontière de 1991) occupés par l'Azerbaïdjan, ici à Vardenis. Image
Read 19 tweets

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