🧵Media, NGO & UN claim that Hamas casualty numbers in past wars have been accurate, therefore reliable today. This assertion is totally false. Hamas lied about casualties in every past war and they are lying now. @UNLazzarini is lying too. See below for detailed analysis: 1/14
After Dec 08-Jan 09 Gaza War (Cast Lead) Hamas claimed ~1,300 Gazans were killed including only 48 combatants. Total number was within range of Israeli estimate (10% higher) but Hamas said 95% were civilians. Like today, it was a lie by Hamas. 2/ english.alarabiya.net/articles/2009%…
In Mar 2009, after actual investigation, Israel released specific names identifying 709 killed as Hamas, out of 1,166 total fatalities. Only 295 killed were civilians according to Israel. 3/ jpost.com/israel/idf-rel…
How do we know it was Hamas that was lying in 2009 and not Israel? Because many months later Hamas literally admitted the truth! 600-700 of its fighters were killed, confirming the IDF numbers and Hamas lies about civilian deaths. 4/ haaretz.com/2010-11-09/ty-…
After Jul-Aug 2014 Gaza War (Protective Edge) Hamas claimed 2,131 Gazans killed including 1,473 civilians or 70%. Total killed was within IDF estimated range, but combatants killed were vastly undercounted. Like today, Hamas lied about civilian deaths. 5/ ochaopt.org/content/occupi…
Detailed analysis by Israeli intelligence group on 75% of total deaths in 2014 Gaza war indicated 52% were combatants. 886 combatants were identified by name. Israeli data thus starkly contradicted Hamas claims that 70% of fatalities were civilian. 6/ terrorism-info.org.il/en/20753/
Like today, during the 2014 war the IDF provided updates on combatants killed, stating during war in Aug 2014 more than 900 operatives killed; in line with 886 identified by name later. So, Hamas numbers were NOT accepted as accurate or unchallenged in 2014 either. 7/
During the May 10-21, 2021 “round” of war in Gaza UN OCHA (based on Hamas) claimed 261 killed including 130 civilians (64 combatants acknowledged killed). Once again, IDF numbers had a much higher level of combatants killed. 8/
Israeli intelligence group identified 236 total killed, within range of Hamas estimates, but identified 114 combatants by name & affiliation – so a 1:1 ratio. Again, Hamas numbers were not deemed accurate or unchallenged as media somehow claims today. 9/terrorism-info.org.il/en/an-analysis…
Hamas has lied other times. On May 14. 2018 Israel killed ~60 Palestinians in so-called border “protests” that were really Hamas infiltration attempts (post 10/7 we now know this was a test). As usual, UN NGOs & media immediately accepted claim they were mostly civilians. 10/
But after criticism of Hamas by a Palestinian interviewer for allowing Palestinian civilians to be killed in “protests” a Hamas official acknowledged that in fact 50 of 62 killed were Hamas members! Once again confirming Hamas lie of civilian deaths. 11/ timesofisrael.com/hamas-official…
Finally, we still have al-Ahli hospital claim of 471 deaths which are still included in current death total. Despite nearly universal acceptance it was a PIJ rocket and deaths were far lower, it remains in the official Gaza death count today. Another Hamas lie in the open. 12/
Hamas’ strategy on casualties is to offer a reasonable estimate for total fatalities, but grossly inflate civilians killed, often using the 70% number. In fact, like today, combatants killed comprise 40%-50% of total killed. 13/
Media, NGOs & UN continue to claim Hamas casualty numbers have been reliable in the past, and that they are even accepted by Israel or unchallenged – it’s total lie. Israel has been more accurate. This is proven by Hamas’ own admission of false numbers on multiple occasions. END
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🧵Gaza Casualty Update: Hamas & UN mouthpiece report 30,035 fatalities. IDF announced on Feb 29 that it has killed 13,000 Hamas in Gaza. Overall civilian/combatant ratio down to new low at 1.3:1. Media still cites Hamas numbers as fact. See updates based on new IDF numbers: 1/4
US Defense Secretary Austin said yesterday 25,000 women & children killed in Gaza or 83% of total, even more than Hamas says! Pentagon walked back ignorant comment, but damage done with more reporting of fake Hamas numbers. How many women & children have actually been killed? 2/
Analysis below shows that likely ~12,500 women & children killed or 42% of total, not 70% or “most” as media writes. Hamas has not actually provided a figure since December. Still tragic loss of civilian life; Hamas must release hostages & surrender to end further bloodshed. 3/
🧵Gaza Casualty Update: At Feb 25 Hamas and UN mouthpiece report 29,692 fatalities. IDF has killed ~12,300 combatants. Overall civilian/combatant ratio down to remarkable 1.4:1 which NGOs & media continue to ignore. See updates, new sources & analysis: 1/7
On Feb 19 IDF stated 12,000 Hamas killed; add ~300 through Feb 25. For much of Jan into mid-Feb IDF reports showed 50-100 Hamas killed daily appears now 40-60/day with heavy fighting continuing in Zeitoun, Khan Younes & central Gaza. See example from today's IDF report. 2/
In last 10 days Hamas reports 946 Gazans killed or 95 daily lowest since 10/7 (except Nov truce), down from 135 in early-Feb and 120 mid-Feb. Based on IDF reports of ~500 Hamas killed in same days civilian combatant ratio this period is 0.9:1 (accepting Hamas numbers). 3/
🧵UN issued short press release claiming IDF raped Palestinians. Zero evidence is presented, not one shred. It was clearly issued to balance indisputable & growing evidence of shocking Hamas sexual crimes, to blunt justification for Israel’s assault on Hamas. See analysis: 1/9
Release says “allegedly,” “reports” or events “reportedly” occurred 15 times meaning no evidence, we just heard it may have happened. Not one single detail provided, when, where, who, etc. The “experts” cite allegations offering zero information, hiding behind “reportedly.” 2/
Release says “UN experts expressed alarm over credible allegations.” They don't explain why it's credible. Who are these experts? Antisemites like @FrancesAlbs who was rebuked on Feb 12 by US Ambassador (and others like France & Germany) for her ongoing antisemitism. 3/
🧵Gaza Casualty Update: At Feb 14, Hamas and UN mouthpiece report 28,576 fatalities. IDF has now killed ~11,000 combatants. With main Hamas brigades in Rafah, fatalities counts down recently. Civilian/combatant ratios very low in last weeks. Updates & new key analysis ⬇️ 1/8
On Jan 14, IDF reported >9,000 combatants killed; on Feb 1, IDF reported 10,000 killed. Current estimate is 11,000 adding in daily official IDF reports of 50-100 killed daily first week of Feb, in last week seems to be in 40-70 range. See example below from Feb 6 IDF report. 2/
In last 10 days Hamas reports 1,209 killed or 121 daily, lowest since 10/7 (excluding Nov truce). Based on IDF reports that show roughly ~550 killed in same days civilian combatant ratio this period is very low at 1.2:1 (assuming Hamas is accurate, it's not). See data below: 3/
🧵New “report” by @amnesty issued Feb 12 claiming war crimes by Israel in 4 Rafah attacks is devoid of any actual evidence. Amnesty simply states these were not military targets and accepts local Gazan claims. War crime charges rely on "we say so" evidence. See debunking ⬇️ 1/9
This paragraph summarizes Amnesty’s ONLY "evidence" – they did not find any indication buildings were military targets. But how do they know weeks later examining demolished buildings? They have no idea why IDF hit these targets, there is no possibility they can know today. 2/
Attack 1 was on Dec 12, three months prior to report. Survivors say there was no military target. Amnesty says they did not find evidence of military target. That's it. They do no consider building once used by Hamas, maybe cleaned up, casualties hidden by Hamas etc. 3/
🧵With Rafah operation imminent, NGOs UN & others are fabricating new laws to claim Israel’s planned actions are illegal. Geneva in fact supports IDF action against Hamas in Rafah. Here is an overview of what Geneva actually says and how NGOs blatantly lie to protect Hamas. 1/8
Geneva allows IDF operations in Rafah even if: (1) civilians are present (2) millions of civilians are present (3) density of civilians is high (4) civilians are suffering (5) there is no apparent “safe place” to go. These are all fake concepts by NGOs not mentioned in Geneva /2
First key law: presence of civilians does not immunize enemy per Geneva articles below. No matter how many civilians, how dense or if they're suffering. Geneva makes clear enemy is never immune using human shields. IDF is allowed to act regardless of large civilian presence. /3