Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture
Mar 3, 2024 61 tweets 14 min read Read on X
Increased Measles in Canada - Are you protected?

As Public Health crumbles and too few people are getting vaccinated for measles our herd immunity levels have dropped too much and now many people are at risk for a disease we almost eradicated in Canada. 🧵1/ Various symptoms of measles. Fever, Cough, Blocked or running nose, red, sore and watery eyes, spots in mouth, measles rash. Image from: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-12991379/Symptoms-measles-runny-nose-rash-tell-apart.html
Contents of Post:
* Worldwide Outbreaks
* Symptoms
* How is it Transmitted
* How to prevent Infection
* Damage from Measles
* Measles Depletes Immune Memory
* How long does Vaccine Last
* Breakthrough Infections
* Cleaning the Air

2/
There has been a huge surge in measles cases around the world including cases in the UK and USA. The government is strongly advising everyone in Canada to be vaccinated with 2 doses of measles vaccine, especially before travelling ( ). 3/canada.ca/en/public-heal…
Popular March break destinations like Florida are having measles outbreaks and the Florida Surgeon General is no longer requiring children who are unvaccinated to remain home from schools where measles cases are circulating which means cases will continue to surge there. 4/
Measles is one of the most contagious viruses that infect humans, spreads through the air, and requires such a small dose to become infected that 90% of people who are not immune will become infected if exposed. 5/
Aerosols can remain airborne for hours so even walking into an empty room where a contagious person had been 2 hours previously can be enough to continue infecting people ( ). 6/ottawa.ctvnews.ca/health-officia…
Initial symptoms include fever, red watery eyes, runny nose, cough, followed by a rash that starts on the face and then moves to the rest of the body. 7/ Various symptoms of measles. Fever, Cough, Blocked or running nose, red, sore and watery eyes, spots in mouth, measles rash. Image from: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-12991379/Symptoms-measles-runny-nose-rash-tell-apart.html
Small white (Koplik) spots may also appear in the mouth or back of the throat and usually 1 day before the onset of rash ( ). 8/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK54979…
Symptoms may develop 7-21 days after exposure, the rash typically appears 3-7 days after symptoms start and lasts 4-7 days, symptoms can last 1-2 weeks ( ). 9/ottawapublichealth.ca/en/public-heal…
People can be contagious days before the rash (which is not itchy) and also days after the rash is gone so just because you feel better doesn't mean you can't infect others. 10/
Since measles is airborne, cleaning the air (ventilation, filtration) and wearing a respirator can prevent infection. 11/
How do air cleaners/HEPA filters or respirators actually work to capture tiny microscopic viruses? Learn here how they don't work like a sieve ( ). 12/
More and more of these almost eradicated or less common diseases are returning including things like scarlet fever. 13/
We really should be investing in infrastructure improvements to clean the air like we did for drinking water considering they all spread through the air ( ). 14/
The measles vaccine is also highly effective. Before the introduction of the vaccine in 1963, major measles epidemics occurred every 2-3 years killing an estimated 2.6 million people each year ( ). 15/who.int/news-room/fact…
"Measles is among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide during childhood, particularly in developing countries." ( ). 16/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK54979…
This is why there was a concerted effort to eradicate measles and why it is still important for people to get vaccinated for it. Parents should ensure their children and adolescents actually received both of their measles vaccines. 17/
These are usually given as a combo MMR (Measles-Mumps-Rubella) vaccine at 12 months and a second dose at 18 months or 4-6 years of age. Infants can receive a dose as early as 6 months if travelling to a high risk area ( ). 18/canada.ca/en/public-heal…
In Ontario, measles vaccination rates in 7 year old's were only 59% for the 2021-2022 school year where you need closer to 95% to protect the community (herd immunity) so a lot of children will not be protected ( ). 19/ottawa.ctvnews.ca/health-officia…
Adults also need to double check their vaccination history as some may have only received 1 dose decades ago. If you are unsure, speak to your healthcare provider about a potential MMR booster dose or getting a blood test to see if they are already immune to measles. 20/
Vaccines can also be obtained at walk-in clinics and travel clinics. The MMR booster vaccines are the same ones given to both adults and children. 21/
Most of us have never experienced measles or even know someone who had it so we do not understand how serious infection can be. 22/
Measles infection can lead to brain damage and death in 2-3 of every 1000 cases. If you are pregnant, older than 20, a child < 5, or immunocompromised you are at higher risk of complications. 23/
Measles can also cause deafness, blindness, severe diarrhoea and related dehydration, ear infections, and severe breathing problems including pneumonia ( ). H/T: @malolisica 24/who.int/news-room/fact…
"All children or adults with measles should receive two doses of vitamin A supplements, given 24 hours apart. This restores low vitamin A levels that occur even in well-nourished children." 25/
"It can help prevent eye damage and blindness. Vitamin A supplements may also reduce the number of measles deaths." 26/
Unfortunately infection from measles can also cause damage to your immune system and eliminates pre existing immune memory from previous infections ( ). 27/ science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
Close up image of measles virus. Image from: https://images.fineartamerica.com/images-medium-large-5/measles-virus-particle-alfred-pasieka.jpg
Epidemiological evidence found people who had been infected with measles had increased morbidity and mortality for up to 5 years after infection. 28/
Measles may have accounted for up to 50% of all childhood deaths from infectious disease mostly from non-measles infections that children could no longer fight off. 29/
Testing before and after infection they found children lost 33% (median) of their total pre-existing pathogen-specific antibody repertoires in mild measles infections and 40% (median) in severe infections while controls retained 90% over similar or longer durations. 30/ Probability of retaining initial antibodies at time 2 for individual pathogens per child. Each point represents a single pathogen per child. Probabilities are obtained by fitting a binomial random effects model controlling for interval duration (materials and methods). Each boxplot represents the interquartile range and median retention probabilities calculated across pathogens for a single child. Points indicate pathogen-specific retentions that are outside of the interquartile range per child. Children are rank ordered along the x axis by the median (black dot per boxplot) retention proba...
The study also looked at measles vaccination which confirmed that the vaccine does not impair the immune repertoire like an infection does. 31/ Click "Show replies" 👇 to continue.
How does measles do this? It seems that measles can infect 20-70% of immune memory cells including B cells, T cells, and plasma cells in the lymphoid tissue and peripheral blood during the first 3-10 days after infection. 32/
T cell immunity may also diminish after measles infection and explain why cutaneous tuberculosis tests no longer test positive and remission of autoimmune related disorders are more common. 33/
You can read more about how measles wipes out the body's immune memory here ( ) and ( ). 34/asm.org/Articles/2019/…
news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/…
When measles vaccination rates are reduced and outbreaks occur, herd immunity for secondary infectious disease can also be lost due to this destruction of immune memory from measles infections ( ). 35/royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.10…
Protecting against measles also provides added benefits of protecting against other diseases as well. 36/
It was expected that people with two doses of measles vaccines may be protected for life but a study in Brazil found seropositivity may be lower than expected in adequately immunized adults ( ). 37/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Seropositivity was higher among older individuals and those with a shorter time since the last MMR vaccine dose. 38/
"The high rate of seronegative individuals in adequately vaccinated populations raises concerns about the potential role of a third dose of the MMR vaccine, particularly during outbreaks." 39/
"Our data revealed that 67.3% of young adults considered adequately vaccinated had apparently non-protective IgG antibody titers, which may render them susceptible to measles." 40/
Low or undetectable levels of antibodies does not guarantee lack of protection with virus exposure but it is possible that cellular immune responses that were not measurable at the time may still provide some protection. 41/
"The measles-containing vaccine (MCV) is highly effective, but a small number of two dose-vaccinated people (around 3%) exposed to the virus contract measles." ( ). 42/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
"In Spain, from 2003 to 2014, around 3.5% of confirmed cases had received two doses of MMR vaccine, most of them having received the second dose more than 10 years prior." 43/
There are already signals that measles may be quietly spreading in Canada with at least 9 confirmed infections in 2024 after 2 months compared to 12 cases for all of 2023 ( ). H/T: @kristinaEBP 44/cbc.ca/news/health/me…
Two recent cases identified in Quebec and Ontario were not tied to prior travel or came into contact with any known measles cases suggesting they were infected within their community. 45/
One case hadn't been vaccinated and the other was a vaccinated man in his 30s who still had a breakthrough infection with milder symptoms. 46/
People previously vaccinated for measles who still get infected can have clinical presentations from mild to an illness that meets the full case definition so can make identification more difficult ( ). 47/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Cleaning the air isn't just important for measles but TB, COVID, and respiratory viruses also transmit through the air via aerosols ( ). 48/science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
For some reason Public Health will easily say that Measles and TB is airborne but they aren't educating the public that other viruses and bacteria use the exact same transportation network (aerosols) to spread in the air. 49/
TB bacteria which can be as long as 7000 nm ( ) use the same aerosol transportation as the 47x smaller measles virus (150 nm) ( ) and the even smaller COVID virus (90 nm) ( ). 50/erj.ersjournals.com/content/54/sup…
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
While it is important to wash your hands in general, protecting your airways is where the focus and biggest investments should be made. The risk of contact transmission via hands from COVID in a community setting is extremely rare. 51/
This study tested 925 swabs and found only 0.32% had any viral RNA detected and of those, none of the samples contained viable viruses so unable to infect ( ). 52/cureus.com/articles/22753…
Had Public Health and governments started investing in upgrading the infrastructure for clean indoor air early in the pandemic when it became obvious that COVID and respiratory viruses also spread via aerosols, we would be in a much better position today... 53/
...to deal with outbreaks of other viruses and increasing wildfire smoke pollution ( ). 54/
@threadreaderapp please unroll
@Velvetpage You can see in Ontario that confirmed cases of invasive group a strep (iGAS) have been a lot higher the past couple of years compared to pre-pandemic times ( ). publichealthontario.ca/-/media/Docume…
Figure 1: Confirmed iGAS Case Counts by Month for all Ages: Current Season (October 1, 2023 – January 31, 2024)* Compared to the 2022-23 Season (October 1, 2022 – September 30, 2023) and the Five Pre-Pandemic Season Average (October 1, 2014 – September 30, 2019). Image from: https://www.publichealthontario.ca/-/media/Documents/I/2023/igas-enhanced-epi-2023-2024.pdf?rev=83e76f2abcf54928ba1d6d7e43f33f33&sc_lang=en
People have been asking, if they were infected with the actual measles virus decades ago do they still have protection? This study in 2021 looked at that question vs vaccination ( ). 55/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
"Current evidence suggests that immunity after the disease is life-long, whereas the response after two doses of measles-containing vaccine declines within 10–15 years." 56/
In their vaccinated group about 20% of people lacked detectable circulating anti-measles IgG antibodies compared to only 6% of their previously infected group. This graph shows vaccine antibody level declines over time. 57/ Kaplan-Meier PAS estimates for the vaccine and disease groups. Image from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8189124/
"Prevalence of Italian HCWs susceptible to measles equal to 12% and so firm measures of control and prevention are needed to reduce the risk of measles in nosocomial environment and its complication especially in high risk patients." 58/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jeff Gilchrist

Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jeffgilchrist

Feb 10
#Ottawa, #Ontario, #Canada Virus Update:

You can see in the graph, COVID makes up the majority of new hospitalizations due to #Flu, #RSV or #COVID throughout the year, and even stays ahead during winter respiratory virus season. 🧵1/ A line graph displaying the percentage of patients hospitalized due to COVID-19, Influenza, or RSV over time, from September 1, 2023, to January 26, 2025. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, and the y-axis shows percentages from 0% to 100%. The graph has three colored lines: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. The graph shows fluctuations in the percentage of hospitalizations due to each cause over time, with COVID-19 consistently having the highest percentage, followed by Influenza and RSV.
New hospitalizations are increasing again. This last update was the first time Flu hospitalizations (42) were significantly higher than COVID (34) in the same week with RSV at 14 people. 2/ The bar chart shows the number of new hospitalizations per week in Ottawa from August 27, 2023, to January 26, 2025. The y-axis represents the number of patients, ranging from 0 to 100. The x-axis represents the weeks. The bars are color-coded: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. The chart shows fluctuations in hospitalizations over time, with notable peaks around December 2023 and January 2025.
In Ottawa, test positivity for Flu A (bright green) has really increased, COVID is still in second place, but seasonal human coronavirus is almost the same level, followed by Entero/Rhinovirus, and then RSV for the top 5. 3/ A stacked area chart displaying the percentage of positive tests for various viruses over time, from October 1, 2022, to January 26, 2025. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, while the y-axis represents the percentage, cumulatively stacked to 100%. The chart features the following viruses, each depicted in a distinct color: COVID-19 (red), Entero/Rhinovirus (yellow), Seasonal human coronavirus (purple), RSV (green), Parainfluenza (all types) (blue), Influenza B (dark purple), Influenza A (light green), Human metapneumovirus (pink), and Adenovirus (dark blue). The data shows fluc...
Read 6 tweets
Jan 20
Similar to #Canada, babies in the #UK are at higher risk for #hospitalization and #ICU admission from #COVID. Their data looks deeper at infants < 6 months old which have higher ER attendance, hospital admission and severe hospitalisation rates than the oldest adults 90+! 🧵1/
That data from the UK was taken from this pre-print study ( ). 2/medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
In Canada, babies < 1 years old had the highest ICU admission rates of all age groups from Aug. 27, 2023 to Aug. 24, 2024. Read on to see more details including Flu and RSV too ( ). 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 19
The @elastomaskpro () is a NIOSH approved reusable N95 elastomeric respirator. It is made of silicone so a higher chance it will fit and seal well and is super breathable at the same time. Read on to find out more about my experience with it. 🧵1/ elastomaskpro.comA blue respirator mask, called ElastoMaskPro, rests on top of a blue and white box. The mask has a smooth, curved design with two circular filters on each side. The mask's straps are neatly arranged.
A light blue ElastoMaskPro N95 reusable respirator mask with a soft, flexible facepiece rests on top of its packaging box. The mask features a large opening in the center, showcasing white pleated filters. Two elastic straps are attached to the mask for securing it to the face.
Full disclosure: ElastoMaskPro sent me a unit to evaluate. There were no strings attached, they just asked that I provided feedback after I tried it. This thread is the first time they are seeing my feedback, they did not review anything before it being posted here. 2/
The ElastoMaskPro is very cost effective at the current sale price of $29.99 which includes two N95 filtering pucks. You can continue using the filters until they either get too dirty or there is increased breathing resistance. 3/ ElastoMaskPro Filter Puck. Filter Pucks are constructed using an adhesive-free process that incorporates a large volume of long-lasting, highly durable mechanical filtration media.
Read 43 tweets
Jan 6
#Ottawa, #Ontario, #Canada Virus Update:

Ottawa updated its #respiratory #virus data again after a break for the holidays, respiratory related ED visits are up especially in kids 0-3, then 4-11 and age 80+. 🧵1/ A line graph showing the number of respiratory-related emergency department (ED) visits per 100,000 population by week, from September 1, 2023, to November 1, 2024, across different age groups. Six lines represent the age groups: Age 0-3 (purple), Age 4-11 (blue), Age 12-17 (green), Age 18-54 (yellow), Age 55-79 (red), and Age 80+ (orange). The Age 0-3 group shows the highest number of visits, peaking around 1000 visits per 100,000 population, while other age groups generally have rates below 250 visits per 100,000 population. The graph exhibits seasonal fluctuations, with peaks in the wint...
Quite a mixture of different viruses testing positive in the lab right now so people can pick up a variety of bugs in the air. 2/ A stacked area chart displaying the percentage of positive tests for various viruses over time, from October 1, 2022, to December 22, 2024. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, while the y-axis represents the percentage, cumulatively stacked to 100%. The chart features the following viruses, each depicted in a distinct color: COVID-19 (red), Entero/Rhinovirus (yellow), Seasonal human coronavirus (blue), RSV (green), Parainfluenza (purple), Influenza B (light blue), Influenza A (light green), Human metapneumovirus (pink), and Adenovirus (dark blue). COVID-19 maintains a high posit...
New hospitalizations also jumped a lot in the last two reporting weeks, not just due to #RSV but a big spike in #COVID as well.

Follow the latest updates here ( ). 3/ covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.htmlThe bar chart shows the number of new hospitalizations per week in Ottawa from August 27, 2023, to December 22, 2024. The y-axis represents the number of patients, ranging from 0 to 100. The x-axis represents the weeks. The bars are color-coded: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. The chart shows fluctuations in hospitalizations, with peaks around late 2023 and early 2024, and another peak towards the end of 2024.
A line graph displaying the percentage of patients hospitalized due to COVID-19, Influenza, or RSV over time, from September 1, 2023, to December 22, 2024. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, and the y-axis shows percentages from 0% to 100%. The graph has three colored lines: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. COVID-19 consistently shows the highest percentage of hospitalizations, with fluctuations throughout the period.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
#Variant update for #Ontario, #Canada (to Dec 10, 2024)

The KP.3.1.1 #DeFLuQE variant has finally been surpassed with XEC now in top place above 20% while the other 5 (MC.* and XEC.* descendants) remain < 7%. Graph tools by @Mike_Honey_ 🧵1/ A line graph showing the lineage frequency of the top 7 COVID-19 genomes in Ontario, Canada, up to December 10, 2024. The graph includes data from 4,928 sequenced genomes. The x-axis represents dates from October 27 to December 08, while the y-axis represents lineage frequency percentages from 0% to 35%. Different colored lines represent different genome lineages: KP.3.1.1 (blue), MC.1 (green), MC.13 (purple), MC.16 (pink), MC.24 (orange), XEC (brown), and XEC.8 (yellow). Below the main graph, there is a bar chart showing the number of samples (n) collected each day, ranging from 0 to 200 s...
XEC is a combination of KP.3.3 and KS.1.1 that recombined together. MC.1 is a direct descendant of KP.3.1.1 with one spike mutation at T571I. To learn more about how variant naming works, you can read this article I wrote with @paulseaman31 ( ). 2/docs.google.com/document/d/1q0…
This Sankey graph shows the proportion of variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario since October 27, 2024. You can follow the lineage backwards to see where a variant is a descendant from. 3/ The Sankey diagram visually displays the evolution and distribution of sequenced genomes in Ontario, Canada, up to December 10, 2024. The diagram uses colored bars and curved lines to show the flow and relationships between different genome variants over time. Each variant is labeled, such as "XEC," "BA.2," "BA.2.86," "JN.1," "KP.3," and various sub-variants. These bars and lines illustrate the transitions and derivations from one variant to another. The total number of sequenced genomes depicted is 4,928. This visualization helps to underst...
Read 16 tweets
Dec 22, 2024
Population rate vs raw numbers

This is a good example of why it is useful to understand the importance of population *rate* and not just look at raw numbers. The first graph shows raw numbers and the second graph population rate. 🧵1/ #ED #Respiratory #Virus #Population #Ottawa Chart of Respiratory Related ED Visits by Week and Age (Ottawa, ON, Canada) with raw numbers
Chart of Respiratory Related ED Visits by Week and Age (Ottawa, ON, Canada) with population rate per 100K
Ottawa Public Health makes only the raw data available for All causes and respiratory-related emergency department visits to Ottawa hospitals by age group and week ( ). 2/open.ottawa.ca/datasets/ottaw…
If I take the data and plot all the ages together, you can at least see all of the age groups at the same time but it is just the raw numbers. 3/
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(