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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Mar 10 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna and Avdiivka amid continued positional fighting along the entire frontline on March 9.

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2/ Geolocated footage published on March 8 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced east of Terny (west of Kreminna). Positional fighting continued NE of Kupyansk near Synkivka and Lake Lyman; SE of Kupyansk near Kyslivka; west of Kreminna near Yampolivka and Terny; and south of Kreminna near Spirne.Image
3/ Geolocated footage published on March 8 shows that Russian forces recently advanced further in central Orlivka (west of Avdiivka). Geolocated footage published on March 9 shows that Russian forces also marginally advanced in fields south of Tonenke (west of Avdiivka), though Russian forces likely did not make this advance recently.Image
4/ Ukrainian Tavriisk Group of Forces Spokesperson Dmytro Lykhovyi stated on March 8 that the situation in the Avdiivka direction has stabilized and that Russian forces are currently only achieving localized marginal advances. isw.pub/UkrWar030924

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 12
NEW: A Ukrainian military observer offered assessments of Russian force generation and defense industrial base (DIB) capacities that are consistent with ISW’s previous assessments. 🧵(1/5)


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2/ The observer stated that Russia is trying to create a “strategic reserve” for offensive operations in spring-summer 2024 but is not planning to equip new units/formations with the doctrinally required quantities of weapons & equipment due to current Russian DIB constraints.
3/ This assessment is consistent with ISW’s assessment that the RU DIB is capable of sustaining RU’s current tempo of operations, although not likely able to fully support a potential operational or strategic-level offensive operation in 2024.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 11
NEW: A Ukrainian military official confirmed that Russian forces are conducting strikes in Ukraine with improved glide bombs.

More key takeaways from the Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment for March 10, 2024 ⬇️(1/7) Image
2/ Russian sources reported that Northern Fleet Commander Admiral Alexander Moiseev has replaced Admiral Nikolai Yevmenov as Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy.
3/ Russian occupation authorities opened early voting in occupied Ukraine for Russia’s presidential election on March 10 that will last until March 14.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 9
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances northwest and west of Avdiivka amid continued positional engagements along the entire line of contact on March 8. (1/5)

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2/ Geolocated footage published on March 8 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced to windbreaks east of Berdychi (NW of Avdiivka). Additional geolocated footage published on March 8 indicates that Russian forces advanced within northwestern Tonenke (west of Avdiivka). Image
3/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the western outskirts of Berdychi and Orlivka (west of Avdiivka) and that Russian forces have recently shifted assaults towards the southern outskirts of Orlivka instead of trying to advance directly into the settlement from the east.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 9
More Key Takeaways from the March 8, 2024 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (🧵1/7):

Ukraine’s European partners continue efforts to send additional aid and materiel to Ukraine.
2/ Some Russian forces may have improved their tactical capabilities and leveraged limited tactical surprise during the final weeks of the Russian effort to seize Avdiivka, suggesting that select elements of the Russian military may have internalized tactical adaptations from conducting offensive operations in Ukraine.
3/ The IAEA Board of Governors approved a resolution calling for Russia’s withdrawal from the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, undermining Russian efforts to use the IAEA and other international organizations to legitimize its occupation of the plant.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 7
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kupyansk and Donetsk City and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on March 6.

Additional key takeaways ⬇️


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2/ Kremlin officials continue to invoke nuclear threats as part of ongoing Russian information operations aimed at weakening Western support for Ukraine and deterring Western aid to Ukraine.
3/ Russian forces conducted a relatively larger series of drone and missile strikes targeting Ukraine on the night of March 5 to 6 & on March 6, including strikes on Odesa City during Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit with Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 6
Eastern Ukraine:

Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Donetsk City amid continued positional engagements along the entire line of contact on March 5. 🧵(1/4)

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2/ Geolocated footage published on March 5 shows that Russian forces advanced in the fields south of Novomykhailivka (southwest of Donetsk City).
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3/ Russian forces continued to attack Ukrainian positions around Avdiivka but did not make any confirmed advances on March 5. Image
Read 4 tweets

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