arctotherium Profile picture
Mar 14, 2024 14 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Book thread on "The Billionaire's Apprentice," by Anita Raghavan, an Indian-American journalist. It chronicles the rise and fall of three-time McKinsey director and Goldman-Sachs board member Rajat Gupta and billionaire hedge fund manager Raj Rajaratnam. (1/n) Image
Raghavan refers to Rajat's generation as the "twice-blessed," benefitting from both the end of the Raj and the passing of the Hart-Celler act of 1965, which allowed them to escape their newly independent homeland and come to the US instead, where they quickly rose to the top.
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The book spends some time chronicling the ethnic divisions in NY finance and business. There was a WASP ethnic clique and a Jewish one, and the newly arriving Indians quickly set up their own. The usual process was firms beginning to hire Indians to get a leg up on...
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...their American competitors, followed by the Indians leaving or taking over and hiring more Indians, forming their own ethnic network, and shutting Americans out. This process is an example of a prisoner's dilemma; Americans...
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...are harmed by being shut out of large chunks of the market by Indian ethnic networks (note: ethnic networking is a zero-sum game; other groups doing it hurts you), but companies feel the need to hire Indians to compete. The solution to this dilemma is immigration restriction.
Raj Rajaratnam in particular used an ethnic Indian network of insiders at a number of American tech companies as a source of internal secrets to use for insider trading, making billions. Hindus, Muslims, and Sikhs got over ancestral hatreds to form a common front against whites.
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Despite being a book about Indians committing crimes, the book practically oozes Indian triumphalism, with Gupta's ascension to director of McKinsey representing the company rejecting the 'homogenous [read: white] past' in favor of the 'diverse and multicultural future'. Image
The first Indian at McKinsey, Tino, made it a priority to promote and mentor more Indians. His group then helped lead white collar outsourcing to India in the 90s.
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Raj Rajatnaram was incredibly successful with his insider trading, becoming one of the 400 richest people in America. Image
What brought Gupta down was selling information about Goldman Sachs to Rajatnaram while on the board. Both were jailed. Image
Funnily enough, Gupta's father was arrested during the Raj for impersonating someone else to take an exam for them. The author expects us to sympathize with him because he was doing it for a good cause (raising money for the socialists).
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The author concludes that the fact that two leading lights of the Indian-American community were arrested proves that Indians have made it, as they are powerful and secure enough to commit crimes at the top of American society, and are starting to flex their power. Image
I think the big takeaway from this book is that high-skilled immigration from India is a terrible idea, because they form ethnic networks (zero-sum) to shut out Americans. The small boost a company gets from hiring one is not worth the long term transformation of institutions.
May be interested:
@USTechWorkers
@moldbridge_
@russian_cosmist

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More from @arctotherium42

Dec 19
More on the long history of affirmative action/DEI in the US. These excerpts are from Chapter 5 of the 1992 book "Paved With Good Intentions," and cover affirmative action outside of education and employment. The 1978 Community Reinvestment Act forced banks into giving subsidized loans to nonwhites.Image
When broadcasting licenses change, citizens can challenge the racial bona fides of their hiring policy, allowing black activists to extort money and jobs through threat of lawsuit. Image
There are tax breaks for selling broadcasting stations to nonwhites, in the tens of millions of dollars. Image
Read 15 tweets
Dec 18
I want to break the impression that Affirmative Action/DEI began in 2014 or is limited to school admissions and a handful of infamously left-wing fields. Here are some excerpts from chapter 4 of the 1992 book "Paved With Good Intentions." First, firefighting. Image
Police, firefighting, sanitation work, federal civil service. All public fields throwing out tests because blacks scored lower. These fields don't have market competition, so eliminating these tends to make them very dysfunctional. Image
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Court order whites be fired first during teacher cuts, school boards who did not meet racial targets suspended. Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 2
Brief thread on human capital, education, and skilled immigration. The major source of human capital is on-the-job experience; the main function of education is getting your foot in the door for your first job. Image
There's a market failure here wherein firms don't invest in training because a trained worker can then easily leave, instead electing to only hire people who can already do the job (hence all the "entry level: 5 years experience required" postings). Image
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There's a huge entry-level job bottleneck. Entry level jobs, and not education, are the major source of skilled workers in a field, hence why you can have many grads not employed in their chosen field and a 'shortage' simultaneously. Image
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Read 8 tweets
Nov 2
Argument against doctrinaire free trade: (1) labor market scarring (2) loss of human capital (skills learned on the job, not schooling) (3) loss of physical capital (machines) (4) allocative/Ricardian benefits are a one-time windfall, while industry has high productivity gains. Image
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Note: all of these arguments are common in economics literature, just not typically presented to the public or used in the static models used to argue for free-trade agreements. Also note that these are actually args against *deindustrialization* not free trade per se.
Personally, my response to these arguments would be crushing what's left of unions, deregulation in certain areas, and trying to strangle the worthless parts of higher ed rather than tariffs.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 2
The Immigration Act of 1990, which greatly increased skilled immigration to the US (in part by creating the H-1B visa), led native-born Americans to shift out of STEM and into marketing and management, thus de-skilling the native-born American workforce. Image
In the same way that a country that receives immense quantities of free food is not likely to have a great agricultural sector, skilled immigration causes 'skill shortages' by reducing the incentive for natives to acquire said skills.
Does it matter if all technical jobs in America are done by Americans or foreigners? I think yes. First, obvious national security argument. Second, the cultural effects of math and tech being a foreign thing are awful. Third, a lot of wasted potential in native-born Americans.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 31
Paper on the decline of US manufacturing employment. I believe it illustrates some well-known limits of macro statistics. First, the fall in manufacturing employment 1980-2000 was illusory, just factories hiring temps through contractors being counted as 'services' employment. Image
Then, between 2000 and 2007 US manufacturing employment really did collapse, across all subsectors, far more than in any other major economy. The number of manufacturing establishments also fell. Image
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An anomaly: manufacturing share of GDP is plummeting, but real GDP in manufacturing is keeping pace with broader growth. How? Answer: price deflators in computers and electronics are very large. If you exclude computers, you do so manufacturing GDP stagnating. Image
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Read 13 tweets

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