I will never forget a conversation I had with a long time friend about climate change. He had all the lies that we've all heard memorized. I cared about this person quite a bit, so I spent an entire weekend in the back country debunking every single lie he had ever heard.
I completely upended his entire world view. Laid it bare. I was doing this because I cared about him and respected him as a human being. At the end of it, he basically asked me so what are we supposed to do. I told him point blank, if we don't transition off fossil fuels as
rapidly as possible. It will doom my children,your children & are eventual grandchildren to a dystopic future the likes of which you can't even imagine. I could see the pain on his face because he knows I'm right. I thought I had made real progress, I was happy.
After the trip was over we went home and he never spoke to me again. That was maybe 15 years ago. On other social media sites, I see that he is still posting the same old rubbish. He knows it's a lie. I proved it beyond any doubt. He wants to believe the lie.
He is captured by it exactly as Carl Sagan had predicted.
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So this is going to ruffle some feathers, but people are actually behaving correctly. They are not listening to anonymous Twitter accounts & random blogs, etc. They are waiting for health authorities, pediatric associations, doctors, etc to tell them that SARS2 is something they
should be concerned about still. It's actually correct what they're doing. The ones that are failing are those "authority" groups.
So what's going on with those groups?
People will often ask me to point out a definitive paper or something like that, but this is actually way more complicated. It's a body of evidence, it's dozens and dozens of papers.
This is why organizations like the heart and stroke foundation, pediatric associations, etc
I sometimes think that my immediate family understands the risk of long COVID because we've played dice based games like D&D. If you have, you immediately understand the risk. I have an app that I use to make multiple dice rolls sometimes. It's pretty easy to see why people don't
perceive the risk. If there is a 5% per infection risk of developing long covid, over a relatively small number of infections it's pretty easy to convince yourself that there's no risk. I did a few rolls with 10 20-sided dice to illustrate. The first four no long COVID.
But on the 5th person, they actually got unlucky twice.
So a lot of people are counting on a great "come to your senses" event. I'm not as certain. I say this because in my personal life I see no evidence this is happening. Quite the opposite.
Someone who I know quite well that also works in healthcare and has also dealt with long COVID patients wanted to get together over the holidays. I suggested that I would be open to that as long as we tested and took some basic precautions like running some HEPA filter & masking
I didn't think it was that big of a deal. This person got screamingly angry at me. They told me that they had a sore throat and a bit of a cough and they have it all them all the time & they aren't going to be put out anymore.
So I hope people understand the future, especially healthcare workers. A continuously circulating virus that causes immune dysregulation means that there will be more people sicker, forever. The gvt will not fund this situation.
For the public this means you will have reduced access to healthcare, forever. For the remaining healthcare workers this means that you will be overworked for the rest of your career. This will not end, this will not change.
There is no solution that permits continuous circulation of this virus without dramatically increasing healthcare funding (or just passing it off to the public in other ways) & increasing the workforce substantially.
1) The imaginaries: Observed reality is a conspiracy.
2) The don't rain on my parades: Ok some bad things are happening, but I don't want to acknowledge it or react to it, it's a buzz kill.
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3) The impossibilities: Ok some bad things are happening but there's nothing we can do, so just don't talk about it.
4) The delayers: Ok some bad things are happening, but we don't need to do anything about it just yet. We'll make a plan to plan to plan something.
5) The Royals: Ok some bad things are happening, but I don't think I personally should have to do anything. I expect you peasants to deal with it, while I vacation on the French Riviera.
Okay so the thing that's starting to annoy the hell out of me a lot right now is people saying that respirators need to be perfectly fit to be effective. This isn't exactly true. People need to start looking at this as a system. You need to look at system wide efficiencies.
If you have 10 people in a room and two or three of them are infectious & you are the only one wearing a respirator, yes the fit becomes very important. If you have 10 people in a room and two or three of them are infectious &
Those two or three are wearing a respirator, even not a perfectly fit one & six or seven other people are also wearing respirators. The rate of transmission in that room will drop dramatically.