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1/ Last thread on Russian AFVs in storage. As you all can guess, the final thread is on BMPs. 
2/ @HighMarsed and I found 5,766 BMPs of all kinds in storage before the war
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376647358443982?s=20
3/ as well as another 864-869 BMPs in BTRZs.
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1765131251416248497?s=20
4/ Worth noting that well over 1,000 BMPs were little more than broken hulls, clearly only useful as spare parts donors.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1740789723478827246?s=20
5/ We also found ~600-700 BMP-based support vehicles, such as BREM-2s or PRP-1s, which aren't actual combat vehicles but we included in the count.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1755972593658495164?s=20
6/ With all that said, numbers clearly dropped. There isn't that much on figures per se to say, as HighMarsed already did on his own a pretty good analysis on stored BMPs a few months ago and we barely found any new satellite footage this time around.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1740789720928624721?s=20
7/ Mostly, this thread is about caveats on Russian BMPs in storage. First, I counted BMPs per type in updated images: 539 BMP-2s, 5 BMP-3s, still close to 1,000 broken hulls, several BMP-based hundred supports vehicles and the many rest are BMP-1s.
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1768952662517539067?s=20
9/ We can clearly see that BMP-2s are gonna be added to the list of Russian armored vehicles that are goind extinct in Ukraine, just like MT-LBs or BTR-50s.
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1766488326633107534?s=20
10/ At the current rate of losses, I'd be thoroughly surprised if Russia still retain any BMP-2 in storage by this year's end. But we also have to account that not every hull will be worth restoring, some will inevitable be only good to cannibalize them.
11/ However, as with any equipment refurbished, there's a time delay between taking them fron storage yards and puting them in service, so time will pass between the moment the last BMP-2 is taken from storage and the moment is deployed in Ukraine.
12/ This will probably mean that Russia will devote more refurbishing capabilities to BMP-1s to compensate and keep their quantitative edge over Ukraine.
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1766488361059922309?s=20
13/ The number of total BMPs in storage nowadays from HighMarsed's thread to this one obviously very slightly increased as we found some more bases and we counted support vehicles.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1755972599518056518?s=20
14/ Now, let's take a look at some bases to see actual drops in storage. First, the Sevastopol base, where there were only BMP-2s: prewar vs June 2022.
15/ The 3018/6018th: prewar vs March 2023.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376656543912023?s=20
16/ The 769th: prewar vs September 2023.
17/ The 22nd: prewar vs July 2023.
18/ The only base were BMPs increased was at the 349th:
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1740145303448342679?s=20
20/ But besides the 349th, every other base has seen a big drop in stored BMPs. It's true that they didn't remove as many BMPs as tanks for most of the year, which is weird when you think about it. I think that's because they had a lot stored indoors, and
21/ possibly they also requisitioned BMPs and BTRs from other security services. TMB2021 stated that the Border Guard and Rosgvardia had up tp 2,700 BTRs and BMPs in service. Now,a dn for the past year or more, they're down to their storage facilities.
22/ Overall, even if always of a decreasing quality, Russia still has BMP(-1s)s to carry on the war effort for another 1,5-2,5 years IMHO. There's a lot of variables to that, such as how many stored BMPs are actually reparable, how long will it take them...
22/ But we shouldn't underestimate them. Refurbishing armor is clearly something they have become quite adept at doing over the last 2 years.
23/ And we also have to account for external variables, such as Russia buying armor from third parties, and that applies to all kinds of equipment, not just BMPs and AFVs in general.
24/ I'll post in a short while another thread to explain some bits and make the overall number of stored AFVs feel slightly less threatening by showing that many thousands of vehicles will never seel the light, but with I'm done with stored Russian AFV threads for now.
for most of the first year*
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