1. Did Trump's, there will be a bloodbath if he loses, statement violate his terms of release? Was that a crime of violence? Ordinarily such a statement would not be actionable because there is no imminent threat, but when a person is released pending charges for actions
2. that led to an insurrection, does that meet the Brandenburg v. Ohio imminent threat of lawless action test? Does it even apply in a case where the defendant is on pre-trial release?
The imminent lawless action test was addressed in
3. Stewart v. McCoy (2002) with an individual who had been accused of advising gang members on how to organize. Justice John Paul Stevens, addressing SCOTUS' denial of certiorari wrote: “Long range planning of criminal enterprises — which may include
4. oral advice, training exercises, and perhaps the preparation of written materials — involves speech that should not be glibly characterized as mere ‘advocacy’ and certainly may create significant public danger.”
5. He observed, however, that the Court had not yet decided on the scope of “such instructional speech.” Credit Prof John Vile." @MTSUHonors
In this case we are dealing with a defendant on pre-trial release for serious charges related to an attempt
6. to overthrow a national election that led an insurrection. Does that change the analysis that at least would lower the standard to preponderance and not beyond reasonable doubt for any factual determination?
7. Should judge Chutkan order Donald Trump to DC to face the possible loss of pre-trial release or should the drum beats of a coming civil war simply be ignored? @tribelaw @ACLU
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1. I've been on social media long time. I also minored in Chinese with my major focused on Chinese politics. My parents and sister left Shanghai in 1949 on a refugee ship where my dad covered the Chinese Civil War.
2. I have never touched #TiKTok because I believe it's a Chinese Communist Party intelligence service operation. FARA needs to be amended to address hostile foreign influence in our media. Propaganda can be regulated but as technology advances the manipulation of
3. content can allow a hostile actor to manipulate public perceptions in the same way as traditional propaganda.
The Govt should take #TikTok under the 5th Am and pay the claim in the Court of Claims. Then market the firm while under the operation of a custodian much like
One thing I never do is underestimate a known fraudster. Here's the address of the surety on Trump's Supersedeas bond.
It's 3.6 miles from Trump's Bedminster course
and AM Best says that this bond is about 5% of the company's total capitalization. I'd expect a security interest being filed to back this. Somebody should run a Donald Trump and Trump Enterprises lien search. @maddow a title company can do it likely less than $1,000.
1. I've pondered SCOTUS' cryptic order. Breaking it down, the court asks whether a former president has presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for conduct alleged to involve official acts during his/her tenure in office.
2. And if the president has presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for conduct alleged to have involved official acts during his/her tenure in office, what is the extent of the immunity? My late brother investigated two former presidents for criminal acts committed while
3. in office that were apparently official acts. The acts were done in such a way to lose presidential immunity. He didn't charge in large part because neither former president posed a threat to become president again and thus threaten to repeat similar offenses as president.
The reason Trump has to file bankruptcy is if he can't bond the judgments the judgment liens will likely attach soon and after 90 days will become unavoidable secured debt on his real estate junior to consensual mortgage debt but senior to Trump.
The state being a judgment creditor creates an interesting dynamic because the state can also file tax liens. For instance if they think he has had Russian mob debt forgiven they could do a jeopardy assessment for unreported discharge of indebtedness income and file the liens.
That might force the IRS to act to keep in first place and then the house of cards starts tumbling down and there isn't any money to operate the Chapter 11 bankruptcy. In Chapter 7 the trustee can get ahead of the taxes and operate long enough to sell everything at a fire sale.
1. I looked at Trump's finances seven years ago and concluded he was likely insolvent back then. I think he's melting down because financial collapse gnaws at normal people and could consume Trump with his frail ego fed by a fictitious image of wealth that made him someone who
2. simple people will want to be near. When the reality of his fraud and imaginary empire becomes clear as it all comes tumbling down, it remains to be seen if the crowds will remain to be be around a financial failure who's coming unglued.
3. The Koch machine likely has visibility into Trump's finances and they're betting big he won't be in the race in November. Nikki outraised Trump last month. Ask yourself what the Koch machine knows that we don't know?
1. Something about this photo bothered me, beyond the obvious. At first it was the Exit sign that looks like it's above a window. And old wood look was not Mar-a-Logo gaudy gilded gauche. Then I thought, why is Johnson there? It occupied my mind for a bit and here's my analysis.
2. First, the NY Post today confirmed my guess that they were at Trump's West Palm golf course today, not Mar-a-Lago. The style was all wrong. It's obvious that the Hitler Youth calendar boy didn't go there to play golf so why meet there? Of course that's where Trump was but
3. why did Johnson travel down there just for what was likely a brief meeting rather than a call?
The Pew Research poll has confirmed what many had thought that the @houseGOP decision to join forces with Putin against Ukraine