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laurence Profile picture
Mar 19 14 tweets 3 min read Read on X
I have thoughts

Not just because I run an undercollateralised lending protocol, but more widely on the notion of credit scoring on-chain

Strap in
Put simply, I think that there isn't really any bulletproof mechanism for determining a crypto-native credit score

Credora is currently the only game in town, and it suffers from an information problem: it only works if a borrower actually attests to all of the assets they own
If I say 'I have $100 million' and only provide wallet addresses and API keys for off-chain accounts attesting to half, then any score I receive needs to be scaled to account for this

Note: this is why Alameda never got a Credora rating - they never showed their full hand
They receive and operate over data in an SGX enclave so they don't see your raw exposure (e.g. asset and location, which broadcasts trading signal if you're a firm) but that messaging doesn't really penetrate, so borrowers are wary about using them

But they'll use Hidden Road(?)
So imagine you're a founder of a DEX for stablecoins, and you decide not to tell your credit score provider about your position on Aave LTV'd within an inch of its life

But you still say 'I have all of this collateral available and liquid'

What are they meant to do with that?
More generally, a Credora credit score is issued, then updated once a month - that isn't fast enough to account for the maglev speed markets we operate in

So I look at a 'BBB+' and have no idea if last weeks Bitmex scam wick means that should be a D now
Disclaimer: I do actually like Credora to the extent that it's trying to perform an impossible task, and we'll be integrating what reports they have available for a borrower into Wildcat dashboards for lenders to view

It's still information for risk assessment purposes
We're also moving towards finally being able to use ZK for this kind of thing

Accountable is a new startup working on this - allowing parties to prove statements about their positions without ever moving their data off-prem

'Here's a proof I've only ever had a max X% drawdown'
There's more reason there to show all your cards, because no one else sees them

You can compute/demand proofs in real time ('prove to me you have 50 million liquid right now')

But this isn't a credit score, rather pure information: what set of queries 'makes' a BBB+ rating?
I think Accountable is going to be an *extremely* important part of how we go about risk analytics in the next cycle

It's not a credit score provider as such, but it doesn't purport to be, and could be used to augment (or supplant) Credora ratings

We'll support them too
One of the reasons I believe we need Wildcat for on-chain credit is a bit of cart-before-horse thinking: reputation bootstrapping

Onboarding debt on borrower terms and honouring redemptions for all to witness is *very* good signal

Problem: 1001 days in the life of a turkey
Three years ago I stood outside the EthCC venue and told someone who wanted to create Moody's on-chain that it wouldn't work without auditors attesting to full and honest accountings of holdings

Most auditors won't touch a MM, much less a DAO

And so we spin our wheels
Measuring crypto risk fascinates me - there are so many strange vectors novel to our pit that would put a credit analyst in a coma

We'll get there eventually, but I don't know how it 'looks' - it CANNOT just be through CeDeFi prime brokerage though

We *need* open systems
Anyway, that's that for now, I should be out talking to funds

12k remains the target

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More from @functi0nZer0

Nov 25, 2023
Okay so here's what just happened to the Indexed DAO

The wreckage can be seen in the Tally panel below

This is a long thread, but I want to record it somewhere Image
During the first attack on Indexed governance (proposal 24, which was later linked to North Korea), we posted about it here on Twitter to rally the troops - problem is, this is an instant infohazard, because it broadcast the vector to everyone else
We figured someone would replicate the attack once they knew it was possible, so we threw poison pill proposals up that set the admin of the DAO timelock to a contract with no owner, so we could completely burn access if needed: these were proposals 25 and 26
Read 20 tweets
Mar 18, 2023
I've noticed a new type of 'attack' taking place that makes use of Etherscan, and I've seen at least one victim of it today

It falls into that zone between lazy bait and sick genius, so it's worth highlighting for everyone

Serious thread for a change [1/whatever]
I check the chain, a lot

Today I noticed the Idex Deployer wallet moving funds around alongside doing other various bits and pieces (the reason I was looking is irrelevant to this)

What's interesting is something that happened in the ERC-20 transfers for that wallet
What's happened here is that the wallet owner sent 22,000 USDC somewhere, then 0 USDC, then a further 8,542 USDC

I actually thought the ⚠️ was indicative of a dropped transaction, but looking at it a bit more deeply, there's something else happening
Read 9 tweets
Dec 21, 2022
“Stablecoins are a neat use case so we’re keeping them”
> Stablecoins require ETH at the base layer to settle
“ETH itself is dangerous because it’s conducive to creating scams so we’re delisting it”
“This is us showing integrity”

Impeccable logic, no notes
Yes, stables are a great use case (stability of issuers to the side)

You don’t get to say that a native asset is trash and you’re removing support for it while keeping its major application - per your own admission

Being rational would just lead to not listing other ERC20

lmao
Hell yeah I love me a good maxi civil war
Read 4 tweets
Nov 11, 2022
Okay, rare serious post for a minute because I have a bunch of non/anti-crypto followers and I’m getting lots of DMs.

The FTX collapse will be pushed as “a failure of crypto”. It was not: it was - and is - a failure of an opaque shadow bank.
There's some nuance here in terms of the mechanism through which their insolvency came about (low float, high market cap assets; read "illiquid shitcoins" that counterparties accepted as collateral), but otherwise this is isomorphic to the Lehman Brothers collapse.
We'd be in the same boat if FTX were trading flavours of soda or the rights to paint colours: the rehypothecation and opacity is exactly a reskinning of a story as old as money itself.

The fact that it's crypto as the numeraire is a red herring.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 31, 2022
You are asked to pick eight DeFi protocols, everything else gets banned or nuked

Choose your fighters
Uniswap V2
Maker
Curve
Aave
Yearn
Compound
Balancer
Alchemix

Fight me
I don’t consider Lido or RocketPool as DeFi, more infrastructure
Read 4 tweets
Jul 15, 2022
I’ve spent ten thousand hours mastering the hexadecimal system, and now I’m here to teach it to you

Here is a thread of the top 16 digits you NEED to know: 👇🏻🧵
0) 0
1) 1
Read 18 tweets

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