Put simply, I think that there isn't really any bulletproof mechanism for determining a crypto-native credit score
Credora is currently the only game in town, and it suffers from an information problem: it only works if a borrower actually attests to all of the assets they own
If I say 'I have $100 million' and only provide wallet addresses and API keys for off-chain accounts attesting to half, then any score I receive needs to be scaled to account for this
Note: this is why Alameda never got a Credora rating - they never showed their full hand
They receive and operate over data in an SGX enclave so they don't see your raw exposure (e.g. asset and location, which broadcasts trading signal if you're a firm) but that messaging doesn't really penetrate, so borrowers are wary about using them
But they'll use Hidden Road(?)
So imagine you're a founder of a DEX for stablecoins, and you decide not to tell your credit score provider about your position on Aave LTV'd within an inch of its life
But you still say 'I have all of this collateral available and liquid'
What are they meant to do with that?
More generally, a Credora credit score is issued, then updated once a month - that isn't fast enough to account for the maglev speed markets we operate in
So I look at a 'BBB+' and have no idea if last weeks Bitmex scam wick means that should be a D now
Disclaimer: I do actually like Credora to the extent that it's trying to perform an impossible task, and we'll be integrating what reports they have available for a borrower into Wildcat dashboards for lenders to view
It's still information for risk assessment purposes
We're also moving towards finally being able to use ZK for this kind of thing
Accountable is a new startup working on this - allowing parties to prove statements about their positions without ever moving their data off-prem
'Here's a proof I've only ever had a max X% drawdown'
There's more reason there to show all your cards, because no one else sees them
You can compute/demand proofs in real time ('prove to me you have 50 million liquid right now')
But this isn't a credit score, rather pure information: what set of queries 'makes' a BBB+ rating?
I think Accountable is going to be an *extremely* important part of how we go about risk analytics in the next cycle
It's not a credit score provider as such, but it doesn't purport to be, and could be used to augment (or supplant) Credora ratings
We'll support them too
One of the reasons I believe we need Wildcat for on-chain credit is a bit of cart-before-horse thinking: reputation bootstrapping
Onboarding debt on borrower terms and honouring redemptions for all to witness is *very* good signal
Problem: 1001 days in the life of a turkey
Three years ago I stood outside the EthCC venue and told someone who wanted to create Moody's on-chain that it wouldn't work without auditors attesting to full and honest accountings of holdings
Most auditors won't touch a MM, much less a DAO
And so we spin our wheels
Measuring crypto risk fascinates me - there are so many strange vectors novel to our pit that would put a credit analyst in a coma
We'll get there eventually, but I don't know how it 'looks' - it CANNOT just be through CeDeFi prime brokerage though
We *need* open systems
Anyway, that's that for now, I should be out talking to funds
12k remains the target
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Okay so here's what just happened to the Indexed DAO
The wreckage can be seen in the Tally panel below
This is a long thread, but I want to record it somewhere
During the first attack on Indexed governance (proposal 24, which was later linked to North Korea), we posted about it here on Twitter to rally the troops - problem is, this is an instant infohazard, because it broadcast the vector to everyone else
We figured someone would replicate the attack once they knew it was possible, so we threw poison pill proposals up that set the admin of the DAO timelock to a contract with no owner, so we could completely burn access if needed: these were proposals 25 and 26
I've noticed a new type of 'attack' taking place that makes use of Etherscan, and I've seen at least one victim of it today
It falls into that zone between lazy bait and sick genius, so it's worth highlighting for everyone
Serious thread for a change [1/whatever]
I check the chain, a lot
Today I noticed the Idex Deployer wallet moving funds around alongside doing other various bits and pieces (the reason I was looking is irrelevant to this)
What's interesting is something that happened in the ERC-20 transfers for that wallet
What's happened here is that the wallet owner sent 22,000 USDC somewhere, then 0 USDC, then a further 8,542 USDC
I actually thought the ⚠️ was indicative of a dropped transaction, but looking at it a bit more deeply, there's something else happening
“Stablecoins are a neat use case so we’re keeping them”
> Stablecoins require ETH at the base layer to settle
“ETH itself is dangerous because it’s conducive to creating scams so we’re delisting it”
“This is us showing integrity”
Okay, rare serious post for a minute because I have a bunch of non/anti-crypto followers and I’m getting lots of DMs.
The FTX collapse will be pushed as “a failure of crypto”. It was not: it was - and is - a failure of an opaque shadow bank.
There's some nuance here in terms of the mechanism through which their insolvency came about (low float, high market cap assets; read "illiquid shitcoins" that counterparties accepted as collateral), but otherwise this is isomorphic to the Lehman Brothers collapse.
We'd be in the same boat if FTX were trading flavours of soda or the rights to paint colours: the rehypothecation and opacity is exactly a reskinning of a story as old as money itself.
The fact that it's crypto as the numeraire is a red herring.