WHY AREN'T THE COWBOYS SPENDING MONEY ON PLAYERS???!!!!
Why are they one of the lowest cash spending teams in the league despite being the most valuable??
It's time to put our tin foil hats on and go for a ride through the world of the N. Texas ultra wealthy
BIG TIme THREAD ME
Before we get into the football payroll side of things, let's talk about a concept called the "Family Office" the family office is a tool used by the ultra wealthy to make significant investments into private companies.
These are fully incorp'd investment businesses...
In that vein, I would like to introduce you all to Blue Star Innovation Partners... The family office of the Jones Family... They currently hold significant stakes in 9 portfolio companies and have already made exits (ie sold their stock) from 2 add'l companies.
In addition to that, the Jones' own a massive NTX land/real estate developing company (Blue Star Land LLC), and a multitude of other significantly sized ventures with which the family are intimately involved, as well as Legends Hospitality, etc.,
Then there are the Oil & Gas holdings...
Including Comstock Holdings, of which the Joneses own a majority stake, and just placed an add'l $100M equity investment in (it was announced TODAY)... localprofile.com/business/jerry…
So if they can just toss $100M into a Nat'l Gas company to refinance some bank debt, they clearly have cash available...
So why won't they pay football players?
That's where the speculation comes in....
I have been preaching for a while that NFL teams operate more off of cash budgets when it comes to player payroll than the actual salary cap... and from a purely business perspective this makes a ton of sense.
See, despite what fans want to believe, the upside for return on investment of a dollar spent inside an NFL team is relatively capped, ESPECIALLY for a brand as prominent as the Cowboys.
League wide sponsorship and broadcast revenues are distributed evenly among the 32 teams, AT&T stadium is going to sell out every week, concessions and merch will be sold, and tours will be taken regardless of whether DAL is playing in a SB or getting bounced in rd 1 every year
This wasn't the case when Jones bought the team in 1989 when he essentially staked EVERYTHING into the team. Clark Hunt called it the greatest risk anyone had ever taken in sports.
Because of this risk, and the state of the Cowboys org. at the time, the only thing that could save them was winning on the field. Jerry's passion for being in the NFL and the fact that he burned the boats put him in a position to do one thing. WIN.
But now Stephen, who was placed high into the FO months after he graduated from Arkansas, doesn't have the same view.
His view revolves around the portfolio as a whole.
And in 2024, the return on investment of a dollar spent in the land development company, (which holds nearly 30 parcels of land in Collin County alone), or the Family Office, or O&G is virtually unlimited.
This is why I talked about the idea of a "loss leader" a few days ago. The Cowboys don't lose money for sure, but now, the Jones' main purpose is not to "win" based on the Cowboys, financially or otherwise it's to let the Cowboys brand be the thing that gets them ahead other ways
The Cowboys, despite being their most forward facing business, are no longer their only business, probably not their largest business, or even arguably their primary business, they are simply part of the portfolio.
With the goal being to maximize their ROI across the portfolio.
So my theory is that there is a cash budget set somewhere in the range of $200M cash for the year, and that that number likely hasn't changed for several years.
From 2021-2023 they never crossed $200M in cash spending, despite the size of their QBs contract.
In 2024 they sit at ~$183M in cash obligations, with a CeeDee Lamb extension likely to increase that by $7-10M depending on the signing bonus.
This is why even a $12M commitment to Tyron was too much, and why they are prioritizing CeeDee over Dak's contract.
Signing a Dak extension this spring, or really anything more than one vet FA over the league minimum would push them to the point where they are at or over their budget.
In short, they could easily spend another $100M cash on players this year, and stay well within cap compliance, but they'd rather invest that same $100M into an O&G company, and blame the salary cap for why they didn't do more.
WHY AREN'T THE COWBOYS SPENDING MONEY ON PLAYERS???!!!!
Why are they one of the lowest cash spending teams in the league despite being the most valuable??
It's time to put our tin foil hats on and go for a ride through the world of the N. Texas ultra wealthy
BIG TIme THREAD ME
Before we get into the football payroll side of things, let's talk about a concept called the "Family Office" the family office is a tool used by the ultra wealthy to make significant investments into private companies.
These are fully incorp'd investment businesses...
In that vein, I would like to introduce you all to Blue Star Innovation Partners... The family office of the Jones Family... They currently hold significant stakes in 9 portfolio companies and have already made exits (ie sold their stock) from 2 add'l companies.
In addition to that, the Jones' own a massive NTX land/real estate developing company (Blue Star Land LLC), and a multitude of other significantly sized ventures with which the family are intimately involved, as well as Legends Hospitality, etc.,
Then there are the Oil & Gas holdings...
Including Comstock Holdings, of which the Joneses own a majority stake, and just placed an add'l $100M equity investment in (it was announced TODAY)... localprofile.com/business/jerry…
In this article Jerry even states " The greatest wealth is in the gas, It’s much bigger than the Cowboys.”
So if they can just toss $100M into a Nat'l Gas company to refinance some bank debt, they clearly have cash available...
So why won't they pay football players?
That's where the speculation comes in....
I have been preaching for a while that NFL teams operate more off of cash budgets when it comes to player payroll than the actual salary cap... and from a purely business perspective this makes a ton of sense.
See, despite what fans want to believe, the upside for return on investment of a dollar spent inside an NFL team is relatively capped, ESPECIALLY for a brand as prominent as the Cowboys.
League wide sponsorship and broadcast revenues are distributed evenly among the 32 teams, AT&T stadium is going to sell out every week, concessions and merch will be sold, and tours will be taken regardless of whether DAL is playing in a SB or getting bounced in rd 1 every year
This wasn't the case when Jones bought the team in 1989 when he essentially staked EVERYTHING into the team. Clark Hunt called it the greatest risk anyone had ever taken in sports.
Because of this risk, and the state of the Cowboys org. at the time, the only thing that could save them was winning on the field. Jerry's passion for being in the NFL and the fact that he burned the boats put him in a position to do one thing. WIN.
But now Stephen, who was placed high into the FO months after he graduated from Arkansas, doesn't have the same view.
His view revolves around the portfolio as a whole.
And in 2024, the return on investment of a dollar spent in the land development company, (which holds nearly 30 parcels of land in Collin County alone), or the Family Office, or O&G is virtually unlimited.
This is why I talked about the idea of a "loss leader" a few days ago. The Cowboys don't lose money for sure, but now, the Jones' main purpose is not to "win" based on the Cowboys, financially or otherwise it's to let the Cowboys brand be the thing that gets them ahead other ways
The Cowboys, despite being their most forward facing business, are no longer their only business, probably not their largest business, or even arguably their primary business, they are simply part of the portfolio.
With the goal being to maximize their ROI across the portfolio.
So my theory is that there is a cash budget set somewhere in the range of $200M cash for the year, and that that number likely hasn't changed for several years.
From 2021-2023 they never crossed $200M in cash spending, despite the size of their QBs contract.
In 2024 they sit at ~$183M in cash obligations, with a CeeDee Lamb extension likely to increase that by $7-10M depending on the signing bonus.
This is why even a $12M commitment to Tyron was too much, and why they are prioritizing CeeDee over Dak's contract.
Signing a Dak extension this spring, or really anything more than one vet FA over the league minimum would push them to the point where they are at or over their budget.
In short, they could easily spend another $100M cash on players this year, and stay well within cap compliance, but they'd rather invest that same $100M into an O&G company, and blame the salary cap for why they didn't do more.
@Dan_Ruppert @DocShea @hancock_colby @geoffmendoza1 Or the opposite, they can select buckets that maximize current year cap, which puts them closer to the cap than other teams who are paying more players more cash.
@geoffmendoza1 @hancock_colby @Dan_Ruppert @DocShea @Eagles Go learn something since you don't wanna listen to me mayble you'll listen to Jason overthecap.com/thoughts-on-ja…
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Yall want a “fun” philosophical takeaway I learned from Sahil Bloom on Modern Wisdom that applies to the Cowboys and a lot of the “old guard” NFL in general?
It’s the Losers game vs Winners game dichotomy.
Let’s take a dive…
🗣️ Thread Me!!!
First of all, what is a Losers game vs a Winners game?
Let’s use tennis as Sahil did as an example…
Amateur tennis matches are not often won by the person who hits the BEST shots… they’re won by the person who avoids the unforced BAD shots.
This is a losers game
Amateur tennis players can win ALOT simply by serving the ball in every time, and just getting their racquet on the ball every time their opponent hits a shot, bc eventually that opponent bc they’re an amateur is very likely to screw up…
In honor of my friends who work in higher ed. I feel its time for a full refresher on the "Runningbacks Don't Matter 101" course as teams ready for their next big exam next week.
The data is overwhelming.
Thread Me:
The studies on the running game go back to as early as 2011 when Brian Burke clarified just how inefficient running the ball was compared to passing.
Then in 2014 Dr. Ed Feng looked at 10 years of data that showed that rushing efficiency contributed to only ~4.4% of the variance in wins, vs the passing game contributing ~62% thepowerrank.com/2014/01/10/whi…
First of all, Dak knows that barring an absolutely catastrophic injury, he is guaranteed between $60-70M over the next two years just by playing on the tag 2x.
He also knows that it’s extremely unlikely DAL will tag him 3rd time bc that winds up being like $50m+ in 2022. So worst case scenario for him, is he makes ~$60M in 2020-2021, and then signs somewhere in FA for like $45M a year w/ $150M gtd in 2022.