Joey Ickes Profile picture
Mar 22 41 tweets 7 min read Read on X
WHY AREN'T THE COWBOYS SPENDING MONEY ON PLAYERS???!!!!

Why are they one of the lowest cash spending teams in the league despite being the most valuable??

It's time to put our tin foil hats on and go for a ride through the world of the N. Texas ultra wealthy

BIG TIme THREAD ME
Before we get into the football payroll side of things, let's talk about a concept called the "Family Office" the family office is a tool used by the ultra wealthy to make significant investments into private companies.

These are fully incorp'd investment businesses...
In that vein, I would like to introduce you all to Blue Star Innovation Partners... The family office of the Jones Family... They currently hold significant stakes in 9 portfolio companies and have already made exits (ie sold their stock) from 2 add'l companies.
In addition to that, the Jones' own a massive NTX land/real estate developing company (Blue Star Land LLC), and a multitude of other significantly sized ventures with which the family are intimately involved, as well as Legends Hospitality, etc.,
Then there are the Oil & Gas holdings...
Including Comstock Holdings, of which the Joneses own a majority stake, and just placed an add'l $100M equity investment in (it was announced TODAY)...
localprofile.com/business/jerry…
So if they can just toss $100M into a Nat'l Gas company to refinance some bank debt, they clearly have cash available...

So why won't they pay football players?

That's where the speculation comes in....
I have been preaching for a while that NFL teams operate more off of cash budgets when it comes to player payroll than the actual salary cap... and from a purely business perspective this makes a ton of sense.
See, despite what fans want to believe, the upside for return on investment of a dollar spent inside an NFL team is relatively capped, ESPECIALLY for a brand as prominent as the Cowboys.
League wide sponsorship and broadcast revenues are distributed evenly among the 32 teams, AT&T stadium is going to sell out every week, concessions and merch will be sold, and tours will be taken regardless of whether DAL is playing in a SB or getting bounced in rd 1 every year
This wasn't the case when Jones bought the team in 1989 when he essentially staked EVERYTHING into the team. Clark Hunt called it the greatest risk anyone had ever taken in sports.
Because of this risk, and the state of the Cowboys org. at the time, the only thing that could save them was winning on the field. Jerry's passion for being in the NFL and the fact that he burned the boats put him in a position to do one thing. WIN.
But now Stephen, who was placed high into the FO months after he graduated from Arkansas, doesn't have the same view.

His view revolves around the portfolio as a whole.
And in 2024, the return on investment of a dollar spent in the land development company, (which holds nearly 30 parcels of land in Collin County alone), or the Family Office, or O&G is virtually unlimited.
This is why I talked about the idea of a "loss leader" a few days ago. The Cowboys don't lose money for sure, but now, the Jones' main purpose is not to "win" based on the Cowboys, financially or otherwise it's to let the Cowboys brand be the thing that gets them ahead other ways
The Cowboys, despite being their most forward facing business, are no longer their only business, probably not their largest business, or even arguably their primary business, they are simply part of the portfolio.

With the goal being to maximize their ROI across the portfolio.
So my theory is that there is a cash budget set somewhere in the range of $200M cash for the year, and that that number likely hasn't changed for several years.

From 2021-2023 they never crossed $200M in cash spending, despite the size of their QBs contract.
In 2024 they sit at ~$183M in cash obligations, with a CeeDee Lamb extension likely to increase that by $7-10M depending on the signing bonus.

This is why even a $12M commitment to Tyron was too much, and why they are prioritizing CeeDee over Dak's contract.
Signing a Dak extension this spring, or really anything more than one vet FA over the league minimum would push them to the point where they are at or over their budget.
In short, they could easily spend another $100M cash on players this year, and stay well within cap compliance, but they'd rather invest that same $100M into an O&G company, and blame the salary cap for why they didn't do more.
WHY AREN'T THE COWBOYS SPENDING MONEY ON PLAYERS???!!!!

Why are they one of the lowest cash spending teams in the league despite being the most valuable??

It's time to put our tin foil hats on and go for a ride through the world of the N. Texas ultra wealthy

BIG TIme THREAD ME
Before we get into the football payroll side of things, let's talk about a concept called the "Family Office" the family office is a tool used by the ultra wealthy to make significant investments into private companies.

These are fully incorp'd investment businesses...
In that vein, I would like to introduce you all to Blue Star Innovation Partners... The family office of the Jones Family... They currently hold significant stakes in 9 portfolio companies and have already made exits (ie sold their stock) from 2 add'l companies.
In addition to that, the Jones' own a massive NTX land/real estate developing company (Blue Star Land LLC), and a multitude of other significantly sized ventures with which the family are intimately involved, as well as Legends Hospitality, etc.,
Then there are the Oil & Gas holdings...
Including Comstock Holdings, of which the Joneses own a majority stake, and just placed an add'l $100M equity investment in (it was announced TODAY)...
localprofile.com/business/jerry…
In this article Jerry even states " The greatest wealth is in the gas, It’s much bigger than the Cowboys.”
So if they can just toss $100M into a Nat'l Gas company to refinance some bank debt, they clearly have cash available...

So why won't they pay football players?

That's where the speculation comes in....
I have been preaching for a while that NFL teams operate more off of cash budgets when it comes to player payroll than the actual salary cap... and from a purely business perspective this makes a ton of sense.
See, despite what fans want to believe, the upside for return on investment of a dollar spent inside an NFL team is relatively capped, ESPECIALLY for a brand as prominent as the Cowboys.
League wide sponsorship and broadcast revenues are distributed evenly among the 32 teams, AT&T stadium is going to sell out every week, concessions and merch will be sold, and tours will be taken regardless of whether DAL is playing in a SB or getting bounced in rd 1 every year
This wasn't the case when Jones bought the team in 1989 when he essentially staked EVERYTHING into the team. Clark Hunt called it the greatest risk anyone had ever taken in sports.
Because of this risk, and the state of the Cowboys org. at the time, the only thing that could save them was winning on the field. Jerry's passion for being in the NFL and the fact that he burned the boats put him in a position to do one thing. WIN.
But now Stephen, who was placed high into the FO months after he graduated from Arkansas, doesn't have the same view.

His view revolves around the portfolio as a whole.
And in 2024, the return on investment of a dollar spent in the land development company, (which holds nearly 30 parcels of land in Collin County alone), or the Family Office, or O&G is virtually unlimited.
This is why I talked about the idea of a "loss leader" a few days ago. The Cowboys don't lose money for sure, but now, the Jones' main purpose is not to "win" based on the Cowboys, financially or otherwise it's to let the Cowboys brand be the thing that gets them ahead other ways
The Cowboys, despite being their most forward facing business, are no longer their only business, probably not their largest business, or even arguably their primary business, they are simply part of the portfolio.

With the goal being to maximize their ROI across the portfolio.
So my theory is that there is a cash budget set somewhere in the range of $200M cash for the year, and that that number likely hasn't changed for several years.

From 2021-2023 they never crossed $200M in cash spending, despite the size of their QBs contract.
In 2024 they sit at ~$183M in cash obligations, with a CeeDee Lamb extension likely to increase that by $7-10M depending on the signing bonus.

This is why even a $12M commitment to Tyron was too much, and why they are prioritizing CeeDee over Dak's contract.
Signing a Dak extension this spring, or really anything more than one vet FA over the league minimum would push them to the point where they are at or over their budget.
In short, they could easily spend another $100M cash on players this year, and stay well within cap compliance, but they'd rather invest that same $100M into an O&G company, and blame the salary cap for why they didn't do more.
@Dan_Ruppert @DocShea @hancock_colby @geoffmendoza1 Or the opposite, they can select buckets that maximize current year cap, which puts them closer to the cap than other teams who are paying more players more cash.
@geoffmendoza1 @hancock_colby @Dan_Ruppert @DocShea @Eagles Go learn something since you don't wanna listen to me mayble you'll listen to Jason overthecap.com/thoughts-on-ja…

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More from @JoeyIckes

Jul 18, 2023
The Power Ball is over $1B, and the Mega Millions isn’t far behind… you are buying tickets, and you just won!
Congratulations!!!

What do you do now??

I’ve got 15 years in combined banking/personal finance and corporate finance experience…

Here’s what you do…

Thread me:
The first few steps are about protecting yourself and your anonymity

Step 1:
Don’t tell ANYONE… except your spouse if you have one…

Step 2: Make 3 photocopies of your ticket, put the original in a safe deposit box at a bank, keep the copies in a safe place at home.
Step 3:
Delete your existing social media accounts… if you insist on having SM, start new burner accounts without your name.

Step 4: Change your contact info:
New email addresses, phone numbers, a PO Box etc.
Read 23 tweets
Apr 21, 2023
In honor of my friends who work in higher ed. I feel its time for a full refresher on the "Runningbacks Don't Matter 101" course as teams ready for their next big exam next week.

The data is overwhelming.

Thread Me:
The studies on the running game go back to as early as 2011 when Brian Burke clarified just how inefficient running the ball was compared to passing.

slate.com/culture/2011/1…
Then in 2014 Dr. Ed Feng looked at 10 years of data that showed that rushing efficiency contributed to only ~4.4% of the variance in wins, vs the passing game contributing ~62%
thepowerrank.com/2014/01/10/whi…
Read 16 tweets
Jan 24, 2022
NBD… just a guard filling in at tackle, blocking 2 guys on the front side of an OZ play…
Hi Kenyon…
Read 9 tweets
Oct 27, 2020
I did this exercise in the #groupchat last week...

Let’s rebuild this DAL roster...

🗣 Longest Thread EVER me!
Let’s look at the offense first bc this is easy..

For 2021 at positions that contribute you will have returning players at:

QB1-4
RB1-21
RB2-20
LT-77
LG-52
C-63
RG-70
RT-71
OT3 - 69 (nice)
iOL3 - 66
X - 13
Z - 19
F - 88
WR4 - 11
TE1 -89
TE2 - 86
So that means you need QB2, another iOL depth player, and some competition for Steele as OT4. And that’s pretty much it.

Those guys are all pretty easy to find, so in other words you’re pretty much set on that side of the ball.
Read 21 tweets
Feb 19, 2020
The thing that absolutely too few people understand regarding the Dak situation right now, is that Dak literally has ALL the leverage.

Let’s talk about why...

Thread Me #afterdark
First of all, Dak knows that barring an absolutely catastrophic injury, he is guaranteed between $60-70M over the next two years just by playing on the tag 2x.
He also knows that it’s extremely unlikely DAL will tag him 3rd time bc that winds up being like $50m+ in 2022. So worst case scenario for him, is he makes ~$60M in 2020-2021, and then signs somewhere in FA for like $45M a year w/ $150M gtd in 2022.
Read 11 tweets
Aug 21, 2019
Thoughts on the Jaylon contract, and the press conference etc...

🗣Thread me!!!!
First of all, and we’ve known this for a long time, Jaylon is a cat who just “gets it”. From a long term value stand point, and from a time value of money stand point, as he said in the presser “Cash is King”.

He views himself as a business man and he’s incredibly smart.
In that vein, there isn’t a CEO in this country or the world who won’t take Jerry Jones’ call, and Jaylon gets that. He knows even if it’s not for “endorsements” if he needs a business relationship facilitated, he has the best resource in the world in his corner in Mr Jones.
Read 16 tweets

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