Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Mar 31 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ QUICK TAKE: Appreciate the thread by @WarintheFuture yesterday that highlighted key points in current and future combat UGV development that we can discern form this video. Would like to add the following points as well. Firsts, what we are witnessing is a rapid...
2/ ...proliferation of smaller, lighter combat and logistics UGVs across the front at this point in the war, with many coming from DIY-type projects by soldiers themselves and different volunteer organizations supporting the war effort. These are less simple designs that can be quickly put together.
3/ With so many FPV and quadcopter drones operating in tactical engagements in Ukraine, such UGVs can be quickly identified, tracked and ultimately destroyed. Therefore, it’s likely that other UGV types fielded in the coming months are not going to be large, sophisticated...
4/ ...and expensive UGV designs that were tested and evaluated by the Russian military prior to its invasion of Ukraine, or even as recently as early 2023, as with its Marker combat UGV series. At this point, larger vehicles can be easy targets. mwi.westpoint.edu/bureaucrats-ga…
5/ What we will witness is the use of many, cheap, light UGVs like those in this video that can be quickly put together, potentially quickly lost if necessary, and quickly replaced.
6/ Moreover, it’s not clear in this video if these UGVs were sent instead of solders, or together with soldier units in a combined arms formation. As more UGVs will enter combat, both sides will try to develop tactics and concepts for integrating them in assault/battlefield operations.
7/ The key tactic will be to send these combat vehicles ahead of or instead of soldiers to take humans out of dangerous situations – this is a whole point behind developing such systems.
8/ Finally, it’s very likely that these Russian UGVs were remote controlled, and once the cameras and sensors were incapacitated, it became very difficult for the UGV operators to pilot and maneuver these vehicles. Both sides in this war working on more autonomous operations...
9/ ...for such machines, and Russia claimed to run several R&D efforts in years past focusing on integrating aerial and ground unmanned assets. Once (or if) such UGV technology becomes as commonplace as FPVs and commercial quadcopters...
10/ ...the next development stage could be more/fully autonomous UGVs operating on their own. One of the reasons that we have not witnessed such autonomous UGV operations is the difficulty of developing training models and datasets for a complex battlefield terrain...
11/ ...such as in Ukraine right now that is teeming with countermeasures that are both man-made (like drones and weapons) as well as basic natural obstacles that such UGVs cannot yet overcome without additional and possibly costly assistance. Stay tuned for more...

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More from @sambendett

Mar 14
1/ QUICK TAKE on a Russian futurist's call for thinking about technologies that come after the "drone/UAV era runs its course." The futurist made this comment to the Russian state media. Is he too early to dismiss technology that is crucial in combat now? On the one hand... Image
2/...mass-scale UAV, USV/UUV and UGV has just started, and many of these technologies have not been properly tested and applied in combat yet - especially UGVs and UUVs. Ukraine, Russia and other nations have only recently started diverse utilization of these theologies, and...
3/...we can argue their true potential has not been unlocked yet - especially since we are just getting to the application of AI and ML in these systems. So their potential is definitely not exhausted yet and wont be for some time. On the other hand...
Read 11 tweets
Feb 15
1/ QUICK TAKE on the Russian deliberations about an "ideal" combat drone: "The US heavy drones were built by aircraft designers who perceived the UAV as an airplane without a pilot inside. The result is a large, expensive and complex aerial vehicle. In contrast..." Image
2/ "...many Chinese commercial drones were designed by IT specialists - therefore, a Chinese drone is “a smartphone from which the camera was detached and sent to fly, and all the controls are in the same smartphone.” This approach was better than the American one, but also not ideal."
3/ "Oddly enough, the closest thing to the ideal was made by “bearded dudes in running shoes from the Middle East”, who realized that the main requirement for a drone is maximum cheapness, and the ability to stay on course to target."
Read 5 tweets
Feb 13
1/4 Russia's Starshe Eddy telegram channel on the importance of drones: "Just a year and a half ago, I would not have thought that FPV drones could solve such problems as isolating the battlefield - and not just at the tactical level, but at the operational level." Image
2/4 "The supply of ammunition, troop rotation, removal of the wounded from the front line has long become an extremely dangerous quest - previously this only concerned the front line, and therefore there were problems with advancing to great depths."
3/4 "It’s possible to occupy the forested area, but it’s very difficult to carry water, ammunition, and food for several kilometers at night on your own two feet. Now the drones' battery capacity, night-vision camera, repeater power, the ability to launch several drones at one point, machine vision, make it possible to keep the supply lines of troops in the near rear in constant tension."
Read 4 tweets
Feb 10
1/ QUICK TAKE on the importance of a tank in modern conflict from Viktor Murakhovsky, one of Russia's key military experts who is also the chief editor of the "Arsenal Otechestva" military magazine. His main points are translated below. Image
2/ "A modern tank is beginning to lose its role on the battlefield and must undergo significant modifications to maintain its main functions. The tank must hit the enemy on the battlefield with direct fire, while maintaining its combat effectiveness under the counterbattery of the enemy’s main weapons."
3/ "The tank is the main offensive and most protected vehicle for the Ground Forces, designed for operations on the front line in direct fire contact with the enemy. At the same time, the experience in Ukraine shows that today the main tank in combat operations is..."
Read 9 tweets
Feb 6
1/ QUICK THREAD on the Russian thoughts about Ukraine's FPV advantage in combat, translated from the TG post. Main points below: "...its definitive that due to NATO’s inability to supply the required number of artillery shells..." t.me/projectArchang…
2/ "...to the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the moment, they (Ukrainian military) decided to overwhelm the front with kamikaze drones. The solution is of course temporary, but very effective. Why? A kamikaze drone costs tens of times less than a shell or a similar projectile."
3/ "When used correctly, its equal in efficiency (to an artillery shell). A year ago, all Russian military bloggers wrote that Ukraine is creating UAV companies - not an amateur activity like ours, but a military structure is being created."
Read 15 tweets
Jan 31
1/ QUICK TAKE on a review for a book titled "Algorithms of Fire and Steel" about modern technologies' impact on the battlefield. The review was written by General Yuri Baluevsky, former Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces. armystandard.ru/news/202412911…
2/ The book goes over main weapons, systems, technologies and tactics that Russia used in Ukraine. There are no real surprises here, and nothing that wasn't already said before by Russian commentators and military experts. Baluevsky goes over the following key points:
3/ "Russia's military "operation" has become an unprecedented test of basically all components of military affairs and military development - from tactics, operational art and strategy, the organizational structure of troops to combat testing of almost all non-strategic types and types of weapons and military equipment."
Read 25 tweets

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