Defensive fortifications sighted all over #Ukraine 🇺🇦
Building defenses is nothing new in Ukraine, the first ones were built in 2014 along the Donbass frontline.
However, since a few months, a nationwide program has been set up to protect Ukraine.
🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️
It is known that each oblast (or region) got allocated a budget to pay companies which will dig trenches and build bunkers.
Everything began in late january.
There are a few directions with priority: Zaporizhia, Odessa, Kherson, Donetsk or Kharkiv.
Before 2024, there were already defensive lines. For example, one was lying in front of Mykolaiv, one was south of Pokrovsk, one east of Kramatorsk...
These lines were mainly composed of some trench networks hundreds meters from each other.
In some part of the front, no defenses were built. This is exactly the case of Avdiivka. In fact, the city itself was defended with its old 2014/2015 bunkers.
However, the northern flank was not dug in, and the Russian managed to bypass the city and encircle it.
When Syrski was nominated, he ordered a nationwide program, even if Zalujny already begun before to build defenses.
3 months after, we can see a few interesting things.
First of all, and before I begin, I recommend you to follow the account of my Think Tank with other guys, @atummundi.
You can also support this mapping work here to help us buying things to shoot some YT videos ! buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
Begginning with Odessa.
This region is really important for Ukraine defenses since it is their only access to the sea.
They have to defend at least 3 directions :
-Black sea
-The corridor from Mykolaiv
-The border with Transnistria
For now, i have mapped some defenses east and north of the city but also on the seafront.
As you can see, there are some defenses positions west of the city itself, defending the border with Transnistria, a pro-Russian separatist state.
I think it is clearly impossible for Russia to reach Odessa. Why ? Because most of their landing ships are out of use and the Dnipro river is a good natural obstacle.
However, they are still building defenses :
Between Kherson and Mykolaiv, I mapped 3 lines.
The old one in front of the city of Mykolaiv, a new one, which is huge, going from the sea to Krivi Rih, and some trenches on the right bank of the river.
On Zaporizhia direction, multiple defenses are being built. Some are including bunkers and firing positions.
On the direction of Orikhiv, the Ukrainian are using old Russian defenses, + Zaporizhia line of defense and a new line stretching from Zaporijia to Donetsk.
This defensive line is huge, with anti-tank ditches, trenches, dragon teeths and sometimes bunkers. This was built between 20th February and today.
This line is mainly following the terrain, rivers and lakes. Part of it is present in Dnipropetrovsk oblast and finishing itself near the Mokri Yali river in southern Donetsk oblast.
Kourakhove is now a well defended city, while the approch to Pokrovsk, north of it, is defended by two main lines.
Fortification work is still underway in the region.
North of it, the defenses west of Avdiivka are being improved, while a line seems to be building east of Pokrovsk with the first scares of anti-tank ditches.
To see Kramatorsk defenses, you need to look east.
Make sure to click to see everything.
Here is Lyman being reinforced these days : the Russians are still trying to reach the Zherebets river near Terny but are failling for now.
Here is the city of Borova from Sentinel-2: you can see Ukrainian defenses on each red dot.
It is most of the time difficult to locate them and to be 100% sure it is one defensive position.
It is the first time I present a map of Ukrainian fortifications ongoing on the Russian border.
As you can see on the map, it is only the beggining, however, it will soon be improved to maintain a defense on Russian and Belarussian axis.
Here is an example south of Vovtchansk in Kharkiv oblast.
Soumy, Tchernihiv region, Kyiv city (fortifications from 2022) and Rivne oblast on the Belarussian border.
You have to understand this work takes hours to find, map and draw fortifications.
Just an example of my encouter on Tchernihiv direction, most of the time their are clouds, the luminosity is not always the same and it is a really tough job.
Here you will find high resolution images of these fortifications.
Click to zoom in !
Now it is time to follow my account, but also @atummundi
C'était le titre d'une conférence à laquelle j'avais assisté en 2022 auprès de la communauté arménienne en France. A l'époque, l'Azerbaïdjan🇦🇿 avait envahit 300km2 d'Arménie.
Pourtant, le contexte a changé et les enjeux aussi
🧵THREAD🧵1/19⬇️
J'ai terminé de cartographier l'ensemble des positions militaires arméniennes et azerbaïdjanaises le long de leur frontière bilatérale.
En tout, ce sont plus de 1 400 positions arméniennes et 1 000 positions azerbaïdjanaises recensées.
Ces positions nous permettent de voir la vulnérabilité arménienne, encerclée de deux côté, notamment au sud, par l'Azerbaïdjan.
On remarque également les quelques 300 km2 de terres arméniennes (frontière de 1991) occupés par l'Azerbaïdjan, ici à Vardenis.
'South Donetsk' the main battle in Ukraine 🇺🇦 for now 2 years
After two months of forced "pause" in Pokrovsk, it seems Russia🇷🇺 is pushing again. At the same time, the push for Pokrovsk'e has not observed any pause.
Let's talk about the main battle in Ukraine
🧵THREAD🧵1/22⬇️
You all know my classification of the ukrainian war into different battle : Kyiv, Kherson I, Kharkiv I, Donbass I, Kharkiv II, Kherson II, Donbass II, Zaporizhia, Kursk and Donbass III ongoing.
This third Donbass battle since 2022 is for Donetsk and now Pokrovsk.
To remember, the first one occured with the first reorganisation of russian forces after their failure to take Kyiv, taking Marioupol and Sievierodonetsk.
They moved then to Kherson and started after the withdrawal the second one for Bakhmut. The third one started in nov. 2023.
A regional war in the horn of Africa between many actors
I talked about Sudan🇸🇩, about Somalia🇸🇴, about Ethiopia 🇪🇹 and about South Sudan 🇸🇸. All these conflicts are in fact a larger regional war between local and foreign powers, we can see this map with Sudan
🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️
The war in Sudan is opposing the army led by Al Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces led by Hemetti.
However this cannot be only seen as a local civil war. Its implications are wider. Same for the Ethiopian, Somalian and South Sudanese conflicts.
The SAF allies :
-Turkiye 🇹🇷
-Egypt 🇪🇬
-TPLF (Tigray rebel forces in Ethiopia)🇪🇹
-SPLM-N (South Sudan Nuer rebellion of Machar)
-Iran 🇮🇷
-Qatar 🇶🇦
-Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 (traditionnaly, but with more neutral position currently)
En #Ethiopie 🇪🇹, 5 ans de guerre sans couverture médiatique
Oui, la "guerre civile éthiopienne" qui a commencé dans le Tigré en 2020 est toujours en cours, cette fois dans l'Amhara, depuis 2023 entre les rebelles "Fano" et l'armée.
🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️
L'arrivée au pouvoir d'Abyi Ahmed en 2019 coïncide avec la fin de la domination des tigréens, puissant peuple du nord sur les affaires éthiopiennes.
Dès 2020, Addis Abeba lance une opération militaire pour désarmer le TPLF, Front Populaire de Libération du Tigré.
L'Ethiopie, c'est une mosaïque de peuples, dont les deux principaux, Amhariens et Oromiens représentent chacun 1/3 de la population. Les tigréens et les afars suivent avec 4% et 7% de la population, avec ensuite une série de peuples plus petits.
Ce territoire moldave 🇲🇩 séparatiste depuis 1992 abrite environ 6 000 forces d'actives, dont 1 500 soldats russes 🇷🇺. Une épine dans le pied de l'Ukraine.
Enjeux militaires d'un territoire isolé ⬇️
🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️
En 2022, lors de l'invasion russe de l'Ukraine, les 49ème et 58èmes armées avaient pour objectif de prendre Kherson, Mykolaiv puis de se joindre aux forces en Transnitrie pour prendre Odessa.
Fin février 2022, les russes sont défaits devant Mykolaiv et tentent de trouver un pont
Leur expédition les amènent jusqu'à Voznessensk, premier pont bien plus au nord, dynamité au dernier moment par les ukrainiens.
Isolés et défaits, les russes se retirent entre Kherson et Mykolaiv et abandonnent la jonction avec la Transnitrie.
In #Sudan 🇸🇩, the war of the generals turned into a Turkiye 🇹🇷 - United Arab Emirates 🇦🇪 proxy war.
Both sides have been widely active to support the Sudanese Armed Forces (for 🇹🇷) and the Rapid Support Forces (for 🇦🇪).
Analysis of a forgotten conflit :
🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️
After 2.5 years of war that saw the RSF capture Darfur (west), the capital Khartoum, the south of the country (Gezira, Sennar) and the army recapture Khartoum and the South, the frontline now divides the country in a east-west division
The current battle is happening in Kordofan
Apart from this frontline dividing Sudan, we still have 4 encircled army bases in the west, the main one being El Fasher, home to both the 6th army division and the former Darfuri rebels.
Encircled for 2 years, the army garrison faced important defeats lately.