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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Apr 3 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
NEW: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a law on April 2 that lowers the Ukrainian military’s mobilization age from 27 to 25 years of age. The Verkhovna Rada approved the law in May 2023, and the law will come into force on April 3, 2024. 🧵(1/5)

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2/ Lowering the mobilization age is one of many measures that Ukraine has been considering in an ongoing effort to create a sustainable wartime force-generation apparatus.
3/ Lowering the mobilization age from 27 to 25 years of age will support the Ukrainian military’s ability to restore and reconstitute existing units and to create new units.
4/Ukraine will need to equip any newly mobilized military personnel with weapons, and prolonged US debates about military aid to Ukraine and delays in Western aid may impact the speed at which Ukraine can restore degraded and stand up new units.
5/ ISW continues to assess that Western-provided materiel continues to be the greatest deciding factor for the Ukrainian military’s ability to restore and augment its combat power.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 2, 2024: isw.pub/UkrWar040224
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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Apr 4
NEW: Russian forces appear to have increased the number and size of mechanized ground assaults on select sectors of the frontline within the past two weeks, marking a notable overall increase in Russian mechanized assaults across the theater. 🧵(1/8)


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2/ Ukrainian officials stated on March 20 that Ukrainian forces repelled a large Russian assault in the Lyman direction and published geolocated footage showing Ukrainian forces damaging or destroying several Russian armored vehicles east of Terny (west of Kreminna).
3/ Ukrainian forces later defeated a battalion-sized Russian mechanized assault near Tonenke (west of Avdiivka) on March 30 to which Russian forces reportedly committed at least 36 tanks and 12 BMP infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs).
Read 8 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Apr 2
NEW: A joint investigation by 60 Minutes, the Insider, and Der Spiegel strongly suggests that the Kremlin has waged a sustained kinetic campaign directly targeting US government personnel both in the US and internationally for a decade, with the likely objective of physically incapacitating US government personnel. 🧵Image
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2/ US Army Colonel Greg Edgreen, former head of the DIA’s working group investigating Havana Syndrome, believes that Russia is behind the Havana Syndrome incidents and that the incidents consistently have a "Russia nexus."
3/ Edgreen stated that the incidents all targeted the top five to ten percent "performing DIA officers" and that the victims were either experts on Russia or had otherwise worked to defend US national security interests against Russia.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 31
Russian forces are demonstrating technological and tactical adaptations and are increasingly using unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) on the frontlines of Donetsk Oblast. 🧵(1/5)
2/ Russian and Ukrainian sources amplified footage on March 29 and 30 showing Ukrainian forces striking Russian unmanned ground vehicles in southeastern Berdychi (northwest of Avdiivka) and in the Bakhmut direction.
3/ Russian milbloggers claimed that these UGVs are equipped with AGS-17 grenade launcher systems, which reportedly can fire 50 to 400 grenades per minute.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 30
NEW: The Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate held the World Russian People’s Council in Moscow and approved an ideological and policy document tying several Kremlin ideological narratives together in an apparent effort to form a wider nationalist ideology around the war in Ukraine and Russia’s expansionist future. (🧵1/9)Image
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2/ The document, "The Present and Future of the Russian World,” addresses Russian legislative and executive authorities with specific calls to amend Russian policy documents and laws.
3/ Putin and Kremlin officials have attempted to elaborate on amorphous ideological narratives about the war in Ukraine and their envisioned geopolitical confrontation with the West since the start of the full-scale invasion, and the ROC MP appears to be offering a more coherent ideological framework for Russians.
Read 9 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 30
NEW: Iranian Armed Forces General Staff Chief Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri met with Hamas Political Bureau Chairman Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on March 29.

More from the March 29, 2024 Iran Update⬇️ (🧵1/6)Image
2/ Israeli forces continued operating in and around al Shifa Hospital in Gaza City.

Palestinian militias claimed 11 attacks targeting Israeli forces in al Amal and al Qarara after several weeks of only a few claimed attacks around Khan Younis.

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3/ Israeli forces detained a PIJ fighter in the Nour Shams refugee camp near Tulkarm.

The IDF Air Force killed the deputy commander of Hezbollah’s missile and rocket unit in an airstrike in al Bazouriyeh in southern Lebanon.
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Read 6 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Mar 29
The further degradation of Ukraine’s air defense umbrella would not only limit Ukraine’s ability to protect critical elements of its war effort in the rear but would also likely afford Russian aviation prolonged secure operation along the frontline. (1/4)
2/ This security would allow Russian forces to significantly increase glide bomb strikes at scale and possibly even allow Russian forces to conduct routine large-scale aviation operations against near rear Ukrainian logistics and cities to devastating effect.
3/ Expanded aviation operations could allow Russian forces to heavily degrade Ukrainian combat capabilities and isolate sectors of the battlefield in support of efforts to make operationally significant gains.
Read 4 tweets

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