1/ Russia has lost at least 55 (visually confirmed) of their 100 pre-war active 152mm 2S5 Giatsint-S self propelled guns, with 10 more units being damaged. In this thread I will show how many 2S5 they had in storage and how many might be left⬇️
2/ Since there is a higher number of vehicles and bases here is an overview of the numbers. Russia has at least removed 288 (~48%) and some of the remaining 2S5 have had their gun removed.
3/ Once again the 94th arsenal is the main base for storing this SPG, where at least 175 units have been removed until January 2024 (2S5 marked in red).
4/ Interestingly not a lot of vehicles have been removed between July 2023 and January 2024. It is possible that many of remaining vehicles are cannibalized such as the ones shown below but the satelite images from Jan are not good enough to asses the extent of this.
5/ At the 120th all (visible) 2S5 have been removed since the start of the war.
6/ The 80th base had 31 2S5 in 2021 and after the base was reorganized in 2023 36 2S5 were visible which might have been stored inside. The most recent image I have from this base has very low resolution so some units might hve been removed since February.
7/ About 18 2S5 were stored at the 243rd, although it looks like 11 already had their gun removed before the war started, regardless all vehicles were removed until August of 2023.
8/ The 2S5 stocks at the 7020th also decreased significantly from 68 to 35 and it is visible in May 2023 that many of the remaining vehicles had their gun removed.
9/ All 2S5 were removed from the base in Lesnoi Gorodok and the 744th.
10/ There were also 12 2S5 stored at the 230th base on Sakhalin island and all of them were still there in October 2022, which is the most recent image I have. Additionally I am not sure if these might belong to active units.
11/ In conclusion the 2S5 is one of the most cannibalized types of the SPGs in storage and the pre-war stocks have likely decreased by more than 50% by now, considering many images are more than 6 months old.
12/ As with other SPG types the system is likely more limited by the availability of barrels (guns removed from stored units), but also ammunition, since the 2S5 ammunition is not compatible with other russian 152mm systems.
13/ Unfortunately I dont have any data on how many are currently in active service, but considering the visually confirmed losses and and the numbers of units removed from storage it is possible that more than 300 are still active, although the number is likely much lower.
14/ What do you want to see next?
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1. Russia pulled most of the tanks that were already in working condition from storage right after the mobilization started, in order to equip new units and quickly replace losses. This is why we started seeing un-upgraded T-54/55, T-62, and T-72Ural tanks at the front.
1. Since then, they have focused on refurbishing and upgrading stored T-72Bs, T-80B/BVs, and T-62s, in addition to expanding T-90M production. As a result, the share of upgraded tanks has increased, and the tank fleet has actually become 'newer'.
1/ Here are some interesting things I found in the new high resolution imagery from the russian 111th storage base. ⬇️
2/ Looking at tank and BMP numbers over the years since the 2022, it is clear that this base has been a large provider of tanks (mostly T-80, T-62 and some T-55).
3/ All T-80s have likely been removed and only some hulls that were partially scrapped in 2022 remain. Interestingly these have been moved from the red area to the area marked in blue. They might try to safe the hulls eventhough they have been without a turret for two years.
1/ Getting reliable data regarding attrition of the Russian artillery forces is very hard, but there are some trends that can be observed based on what is being removed from the storage bases, which I will present in this thread.⬇️
2/ Here are the equipment numbers visible on satelite images. Almost 11000 towed artillery units, self-propelled guns and towed mortars have been removed from visible storage since the start of the invasion.
3/ A large inital drop in the number of stored artillery systems can be observed. These were likely needed for the force expansion after the mobilization, since towed guns can be reactivated faster than SPGs, which have been removed at a more linear rate of roughly 900 per year.
1/ Since the start of the invasion Russia has removed at least 8300 units of towed artillery and mortars from their storage bases. I will provide some additional information to the count we published recently.
2/ First of all I would like to explain the new ID system. I tried to make more use of measuring the guns to put them into categories. I would like to thank @bentanmy , for looking into which systems might be in storage based on guns removed for exhibits.
3/ I have also linked all of his threads about the individual systems below. Interestingly there were even ZiS-2 and ZiS-3 removed from storage for exhibits.
1/ Here is our updated count of self propelled guns at Russian storage sites, with data points for 2022, 2023 and 2024. With @CovertCabal ⬇️
2/ As usual here is the data. Russia has so far removed roughly 1700 SPGs from storage and 60% of of their stocks remain at the bases in various conditions.
3/ Interstingly some systems have been removed at a roughly linear rate: ~220 per year for the 2S1, ~160 for the 2S3 and ~140 for the 2S9.
1/ Someone should update the "List of equipment of the Russian ground forces" on Wikipedia with Military Balance 2024 numbers. ⬇️ en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_e…
2/ Many bad assesments of Russian equipment are based on numbers from , which in turn seems to be at least partially relying on the Wikipedia article I mentioned above:globalfirepower.com
3/ The main problem with this article is that it is using some outdated numbers from The Military Balance 2022 that were corrected in 2023 and 2024.