Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Apr 8, 2024 19 tweets 9 min read Read on X
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll talk about the state of generative AI (GAI) today, and how it will affect propaganda & disinformation in the near future.The development of GAI right now is so fast, that it's very difficult to keep track of what's going on,but here's the latest.
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Generative AI is a technology capable of generating text, images, videos, or other data using generative models often in response to prompts. Some examples of GAI are platforms like Midjourney, DALL-E, ChatGPT and all those chatbots you find on every service desk these days.
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In the last two years, GAI platforms, especially those that generate images, have become much more powerful. For example below, you see a comparison between generated content with different versions of Midjourney: v1 was published in Feb 2022, and v6 came out in Dec 2023.

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In the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War, there have been multiple examples of GAI that's been produced as anti-Ukrainian propaganda.

Few weeks after the full-scale war started, a crude and badly made Zelenskyy deepfake surfaced on social media.

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There was also a big push to make Zelenskyy appear as a cocaine addict. This was done by cutting and pasting parts from his interviews, but there was also a video published which showed "white powder" on his workdesk. The video of course was a edited and fake.

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In Nov 2023, a deepfake video depicting then Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi made rounds on Telegram. In the fake video, he declared Zelenskyy as an "enemy of the state", and rallied people to "deploy their weapons and enter Kyiv".

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Another deepfake video was published in Feb 2024. In this video, deepfake audio of the governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, claims that Joe Biden should "deal with real internal problems" and not "play with Putin, from whom he needs to learn how to work for national interests".

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Another, more recent example was published in Mar 2024, some time after the Crocus City Hall terrorist attack. This deepfake video was a composition of two interviews with Danilov and it used a deepfake audio that was then dubbed on the video.

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At the beginning of the war, when only a tiny amount of information and media was coming from the front lines, people shared a lot of video game content and videos from previous conflicts. This same phenomenon was evident after the 7th Oct terrorist attack.

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Deepfake content is also used to sway opinions at the election polls. In the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election, a deepfake audio was used to construct a phone call about "rigging the elections" and raising the cost of beer. The latter may have even swung the elections!

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GAI is also used to generate text. One such example is recently launched fake news blog London Crier. According to @eliothiggins, most of the content on this site is stolen from other sites & then re-written by AI,with occasional hand-written fake news thrown in the mix.

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Most of the examples above are crude and not very convincing. Next, let's look at what can be done today with state-of-the-art GAI technologies. For example, here's a GAI video produced with Sora AI, a GAI video platform created by OpenAI.

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Here's another example that was made by TikTok user @tech.bible. The AI used 30 seconds of both webcam and audio content to create this completely fake video. This is already pretty convincing, and it's just the start.

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Generative AI can also be used to create music. Here's a song titled "Diapers and Deception (Fuck Vladimir Putin)", an electronic deep house song with vocals that took me around 15 seconds to make. As you can hear, it's a banger and a certified summer hit.

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Below you see photorealistic examples made with the latest version of Midjourney AI (v6). I, for one, have hard time telling that these images were generated by AI. Many platforms are also figuring out how to overcome the challenging parts, like generating human hands.

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Deepfakes, robocalls, and other techniques are already used for nefarious purposes. For example, fake robocalls that impersonated Joe Biden were used to sway voters in New Hampshire, and a finance worker transferred 25 million USD after a tele call with a deepfake boss.

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To conclude, GAI is developing FAST, and it will change our attitude towards information & disinformation. In the near future, it will be extremely difficult to notice a difference between real and fake content. People will also have hard time believing in anything anymore.
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Finally, I would recommend everyone to follow @Shayan86 and @O_Rob1nson, as they do the best fact-checking and de-bunking when it comes to fake content.

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Feb 22
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a former Ukrainian politician and president, Viktor Yanukovych. He’s best known for selling his country to Russia, trying to turn it into an authoritarian state, and eventually fleeing to Moscow once his plan failed.

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Now that Russia and the US are planning to replace president Zelenskyy with someone who’s more willing to sell the country to them (most probably Viktor Medvedchuk or one of his cronies), it’s a good time to remind people how Yanukovych and Putin almost took over Ukraine.

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Yanukovych’s first attempt at power came in 2004, when he “won” the Ukrainian presidential election through massive fraud. The rigged vote sparked the Orange Revolution, a wave of protests that forced the election to be re-run. His opponent, pro-Western candidate…

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Read 23 tweets
Feb 20
Russia uses Tucker Carlson as a vessel for its propaganda. Many of the most popular narratives originate from his misinformation-filled show, which is funded by Elon. Some of these lies include:

- Bioweapons labs
- Gonzalo Lira being a "journalist"
-Zelenskyy being a dictator
- The banning of the Russian Orthodox Church
- The banning of Viktor Medvedchuk's pro-Kremlin propaganda network
- Putin's interview and revisionism
- That ridiculous St. Petersburg propaganda piece

Bob Amsterdam, who Tucker has interviewed a few times is paid by a Russian oligarch, Vadym Novynskyi.

We now know from the Tenet Media case that Russian state media wants to spread Tucker's verbal diarrhea everywhere. These fake stories have finally made their way to Trump.Image
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Read 4 tweets
Feb 19
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll take out my crystal ball and predict what the alliance between the US and Russia could mean for Ukraine, Europe and geopolitics in general. These recent changes could be a real risk for the whole of Europe, and need to be addressed quickly.

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Some of us have been reporting on Trump’s pro-Kremlin tendencies for years now. His Moscow connections go back all the way to the late 80s, and the 2016 US presidential elections raised a lot of red flags about the close connections of his associates to Russian operatives.

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The recent Rubio-Lavrov meeting in Saudi Arabia was an eye-opening event for many who were still optimistic about Trump and Ukraine – the outcome was that Putin got absolutely everything he’s ever wanted from the war, and at the same time it seems that the US got nothing.

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Read 24 tweets
Feb 18
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce how the Elon’s Election Interference Machine™ (EIM) works. Since Musk & his broligarch allies won the presidency for Trump, they’ve now harnessed the machine to interfere in European elections, including the ones in Germany & Romania.

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At this point it is clear why Elon bought Twitter – his grand plan was to promote “free speech absolutism” (which, of course, doesn’t even exist on the platform) and tweak the algorithms so that they allow him to promote political parties that align with his worldview.

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First, let’s talk about “freedom of speech” that the Trump administration, especially Musk and VP Vance constantly rant about. Incidentally, they only blame the EU for “limiting free speech”, and there’s a good reason for this: they are driving for political change.

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Read 24 tweets
Feb 14
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce the Russian disinformation network “Doppelgänger”. Doppelgänger is an influence and hybrid operation spreading Kremlin propaganda via AI-generated fake news websites and social media sites, especially X.

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Doppelgänger is a massive influence operation that was initially exposed back in 2022. Their modus operandi is to create near-identical copies of large, legitimate Western news outlets to spread anti-Ukraine, anti-Western and anti-NATO narratives.

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The operation, overseen by Putin’s top aide Sergei Kiriyenko (who’s reportedly communicated with Elon), uses Russian firms like Social Design Agency (SDA) to create fake news sites that mimick legitimate media like The Washington Post, The Guardian, Bild and Fox News.

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Read 21 tweets
Feb 13
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’m going to talk about Europe’s information defense against foreign influence operations & disinformation.

The EU can’t rely anymore on America’s help in geopolitical struggles, and it’s time we created a united front against information threats.

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Recent news coming from the US should be the final wake-up call for European decision-makers. Recently, Trump’s rhetoric has been openly pro-Kremlin and both anti-Ukraine & anti-EU, and at the same time the US is dismantling all institutions fighting against disinformation.

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So far, the Trump administration has put staffers working on disinformation as well as a team of election security advisers at the Department of Homeland Security’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) on administrative leave.

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Read 25 tweets

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