Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Apr 8 19 tweets 9 min read Read on X
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll talk about the state of generative AI (GAI) today, and how it will affect propaganda & disinformation in the near future.The development of GAI right now is so fast, that it's very difficult to keep track of what's going on,but here's the latest.
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Generative AI is a technology capable of generating text, images, videos, or other data using generative models often in response to prompts. Some examples of GAI are platforms like Midjourney, DALL-E, ChatGPT and all those chatbots you find on every service desk these days.
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In the last two years, GAI platforms, especially those that generate images, have become much more powerful. For example below, you see a comparison between generated content with different versions of Midjourney: v1 was published in Feb 2022, and v6 came out in Dec 2023.

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In the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War, there have been multiple examples of GAI that's been produced as anti-Ukrainian propaganda.

Few weeks after the full-scale war started, a crude and badly made Zelenskyy deepfake surfaced on social media.

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There was also a big push to make Zelenskyy appear as a cocaine addict. This was done by cutting and pasting parts from his interviews, but there was also a video published which showed "white powder" on his workdesk. The video of course was a edited and fake.

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In Nov 2023, a deepfake video depicting then Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi made rounds on Telegram. In the fake video, he declared Zelenskyy as an "enemy of the state", and rallied people to "deploy their weapons and enter Kyiv".

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Another deepfake video was published in Feb 2024. In this video, deepfake audio of the governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, claims that Joe Biden should "deal with real internal problems" and not "play with Putin, from whom he needs to learn how to work for national interests".

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Another, more recent example was published in Mar 2024, some time after the Crocus City Hall terrorist attack. This deepfake video was a composition of two interviews with Danilov and it used a deepfake audio that was then dubbed on the video.

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At the beginning of the war, when only a tiny amount of information and media was coming from the front lines, people shared a lot of video game content and videos from previous conflicts. This same phenomenon was evident after the 7th Oct terrorist attack.

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Deepfake content is also used to sway opinions at the election polls. In the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election, a deepfake audio was used to construct a phone call about "rigging the elections" and raising the cost of beer. The latter may have even swung the elections!

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GAI is also used to generate text. One such example is recently launched fake news blog London Crier. According to @eliothiggins, most of the content on this site is stolen from other sites & then re-written by AI,with occasional hand-written fake news thrown in the mix.

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Most of the examples above are crude and not very convincing. Next, let's look at what can be done today with state-of-the-art GAI technologies. For example, here's a GAI video produced with Sora AI, a GAI video platform created by OpenAI.

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Here's another example that was made by TikTok user @tech.bible. The AI used 30 seconds of both webcam and audio content to create this completely fake video. This is already pretty convincing, and it's just the start.

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Generative AI can also be used to create music. Here's a song titled "Diapers and Deception (Fuck Vladimir Putin)", an electronic deep house song with vocals that took me around 15 seconds to make. As you can hear, it's a banger and a certified summer hit.

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Below you see photorealistic examples made with the latest version of Midjourney AI (v6). I, for one, have hard time telling that these images were generated by AI. Many platforms are also figuring out how to overcome the challenging parts, like generating human hands.

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Deepfakes, robocalls, and other techniques are already used for nefarious purposes. For example, fake robocalls that impersonated Joe Biden were used to sway voters in New Hampshire, and a finance worker transferred 25 million USD after a tele call with a deepfake boss.

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To conclude, GAI is developing FAST, and it will change our attitude towards information & disinformation. In the near future, it will be extremely difficult to notice a difference between real and fake content. People will also have hard time believing in anything anymore.
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Finally, I would recommend everyone to follow @Shayan86 and @O_Rob1nson, as they do the best fact-checking and de-bunking when it comes to fake content.

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Mar 30
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce confirmed cases where the Kremlin has funded or otherwise influenced European politicians & parties in order to gain their support with issues like conducting business with Russian businesses, aid to Ukraine & sanctions against Russia.

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On 28 Mar 2024,the Czech Republic & Poland exposed a Kremlin-backed propaganda network that paid European politicians & spread anti-Ukraine narratives on media. According to the investigators, the Voice of Europe website was used as a vehicle to pay politicians.

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But first of all, let's look at how to motivate people to work on behalf of a foreign agent. I have previously written about the acronym MICE, which translates to Money, Ideology, Compromise and Ego. More on this here:



3/14
Read 15 tweets
Mar 25
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce a Russian pediatric endocrinologist and businesswoman, Maria Vorontsova née Putina. She's best-known for being the daughter of Vladimir Putin, supporting the Kremlin's genocidal war on Ukraine, and for living a lavish life in the West.

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Maria was born in Leningrad (now St. Petersburg) but attended a German school in Dresden while her father was working there as an FSB officer. After the collapse of the Communist East German government, they moved back to Leningrad.

2/19
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Later, during Russia's violent gang wars, Katerina and her sister were sent to Germany to safety, and were safeguarded by Putin's old friend, Matthias Warnig.

Perhaps due to the babysitting, Warnig was later given a big role in the Nord Stream pipeline project.

3/19
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Read 20 tweets
Mar 18
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll iterate on the Kremlin's main narratives and how they're currently being used to legitimize Russia's sham election, protest military aid to Ukraine, and confuse people with "whataboutism" ("What about the US/Gaza/Iraq/Israel/Ukraine?").

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Of course none of this is new, it's just that the scale is much more massive than we've ever seen before. Russia's "Firehose of Falsehood" strategy attempts to flood us with a huge volume of emotional and biased content to confuse us and distract us from the topic at hand.

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I'll use few of my recent posts about the Russian sham elections as an example. In the second photo, you see the massive amount of comments compared to likes/shares of the post - a ratio of 1:4 is actually very rare and suggests that the post was found by trolls and bots.

3/15
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Read 16 tweets
Mar 16
This media bias chart from @adfontesmedia provides you a lot of interesting insights. First of all, we can see some usual suspects in the LESS RELIABLE end of the spectrum, including @TheGrayzoneNews, Natural News, Epoch Times, and of course @TPUSA.

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These are basically propaganda mills, and some of them are extremely political (pro-Trump Turning Point), some serve foreign interests and are connected to foreign intelligence (@TheGrayzoneNews) and some just post made-up BS for conspiracy theorists (Natural News).

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When looking at the top-middle part of the chart, you find the MORE RELIABLE sources: @pewresearch, @bellingcat, @WSJ and @AP can be considered both politically neutral and reliable. And this is exactly why people like @elonmusk and outlets like @TheGrayzoneNews attack them.

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Read 4 tweets
Mar 13
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce an American investor and social media commentator, Malachy J. (@The_Real_Fly). He's best-known for his extensive history as an investor blogger, for his extreme xenophobia and for spreading pro-Kremlin narratives on social media.

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Mal has been involved in the investment world for a long time & for example @TheStalwart published a story on Business Insider about his massive losses in the market already back in 2014. In the article, he was described as "a well-liked member of the community for years".

2/18
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His blog, "Trading with the Fly", has been active since 2007, and since then he's posted around 4 blog posts a day, and he's even published two books, "Journey into Fear: when the dot com bubble burst" and "In a Car Made of Dynamite, Racing Towards the Sun".

3/18
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Read 19 tweets
Mar 11
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll talk about TikTok (@tiktok_us), why some of the US legislators want to ban it, what are the app's connections to the Chinese Communist Party, and how the app has changed the social media landscape, especially among young people.

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Tiktok's potential reach and potential political impact is actually huge, which is why US politicians are currently having such a heated debate over it right now. First of all, TikTok has over 1 billion monthly active users & it's been downloaded more than 4.1 billion times.
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The app tends to appeal to younger users - 41% of the app's users are aged between 16 and 24. By Jul 2023, TikTok had become the primary news source for British teens and in Finland, around half of 13-18 year-olds get their news from TikTok.

3/23
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Read 24 tweets

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