Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Apr 10 5 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Russian forces recently advanced west of Avdiivka and likely captured Pervomaiske (southwest of Avdiivka) as of April 9. Additional geolocated footage published on April 9 shows that Russian forces advanced in fields northeast of Netaylove (immediately west of Pervomaiske). (1/5)

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2/ Russian forces recently advanced west and southwest of Donetsk City. Geolocated footage published on April 8 shows that Russian forces made gains along Vatutin Street in southeastern Krasnohorivka (west of Donetsk City) following a mechanized assault with roughly two platoons. Image
3/ Geolocated footage published on April 9 shows Ukrainian forces counterattacking in the same area on Vatutin Street, indicating that Ukrainian forces regained their positions following the initial Russian mechanized assault. Image
4/ Geolocated footage published on April 9 shows that Russian forces have also advanced westward along Tsentralna Street in Novomykhailivka (southwest of Donetsk City).
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5/ Russian forces recently advanced south of Kreminna. Geolocated footage published on April 8 shows that Russian forces made marginal gains in the chalk quarry area south of Bilohorivka (south of Kreminna). isw.pub/UkrWar040924

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Apr 12
US European Command (EUCOM) Commander and NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) General Christopher Cavoli reported that EUCOM and NATO are strengthening their ability to respond to the “chronic threat” that Russia poses to global stability and European security in hopes of deterring future Russian aggression against NATO. 🧵(1/6)
2/ Cavoli stated during a briefing to the US House of Representatives Armed Services Committee on April 10 that Russia poses a “chronic threat” to the world and warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin does not intend to limit or stop his aggression at the borders of Ukraine.
3/ Cavoli reported that EUCOM is responding to the Russian threat by enhancing its deterrence posture across Europe, including strengthening EUCOM’s eastern flank with rotational force deployments, expanding EUCOM’s pre-positioned stocks, and modernizing EUCOM’s infrastructure to enable a rapid reception of reinforcing forces.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 11
NEW: Russian forces conducted another large-scale series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of April 10 to 11 that caused notable and likely long-term damage to Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. 🧵(1/6)Image
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2/ Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba stated that Ukraine needs more Patriot air defense batteries to protect both Ukraine’s population centers and frontline areas.
3/ Russian strikes have forced Ukraine to make difficult decisions between providing air defense coverage to large population centers in the rear and active areas on the frontline, and Russia appears to be exploiting Ukraine’s degraded air defense umbrella...
Read 6 tweets
Apr 10
IRGC Navy Commander Rear Adm. Ali Reza Tangsiri implicitly threatened the United Arab Emirates (UAE) during an interview with Lebanese Hezbollah-controlled media on April 9, likely to pressure the UAE to sever ties with Israel.

More key takeaways ⬇️(1/7)
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2/ Tangsiri separately endorsed the strategy of “strategic patience” in response to the April 1 Israeli airstrike that killed seven IRGC officials in Damascus.
3/ Palestinian militias conducted several indirect fire attacks targeting Israeli forces in the northern Gaza Strip.

The IDF Air Force killed the Maghazi mayor, whom Israel says was a member in Hamas’ military wing in the central Gaza Strip.

The IDF Air Force conducted several airstrikes targeting Palestinian military infrastructure in the Gaza Strip on April 9.

Israeli media close to the IDF reported on April 9 that the Israeli forces withdrawn from Khan Younis will prepare for fighting in other areas and carry out large, unspecified humanitarian operations.

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin on April 8 that Israel has not yet set a date for a clearing operation into Rafah, according to an unidentified source with direct knowledge. Gallant’s comments follow Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu saying that Israel has set a date for the offensive.

Hamas said on April 8 that the latest Israeli ceasefire proposal does not meet its demands.

Israel reported that it has increased the amount of aid moving into the Gaza Strip.Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 10
NEW: US, Israeli, and Iranian officials told the @nytimes that Iran is operating a smuggling network through Jordan to arm Palestinian fighters in the West Bank. (1/4)Image
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2/ US and Israeli officials said that the Iranian-backed networks are specifically involved in moving small arms, anti-tank missiles, and RPGs.

Iran’s smuggling network in Jordan could enable already motivated militias in the West Bank to attack Israeli targets.
3/ The Iranian effort to build its capabilities and networks in the West Bank is part of a larger effort to encircle Israel militarily. Image
Read 4 tweets
Apr 10
Key Takeaways:

US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on April 9 that it transferred roughly a brigade’s worth of small arms and ammunition seized from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to Ukraine on April 4. 🧵(1/9)
2/ The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) is likely responsible for a drone strike against the Borisoglebsk Airbase in Voronezh Oblast overnight on April 8 to 9.
3/ Russian ultranationalist milbloggers continue to employ virulently anti-migrant rhetoric and calls for xenophobic domestic policies, but in doing so are exposing the inherent hypocrisy in Russia’s treatment of its own indigenous ethnic minority communities.
Read 9 tweets
Apr 9
NEW: Ukrainian drone strikes against Russian oil refineries are reportedly forcing Russia to seek gasoline imports from Kazakhstan. 🧵(1/7)Image
2/ Three unnamed industry sources told Reuters in an article published on April 8 that Russia asked Kazakhstan to establish an “emergency reserve” of 100,000 metric tons of gasoline that Kazakhstan could supply to Russia in case of shortages exacerbated by Ukrainian drone strikes and resulting refinery outages.
3/ One of the unnamed sources stated that Kazakhstan and Russia have already reached an agreement allowing Russia to use Kazakh gasoline reserves in some unspecified capacity.
Read 7 tweets

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