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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Apr 12, 2024 • 17 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X

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The war in Ukraine starts to escalate.

Evidence:

1. On April 11 Russia destroyed the largest power plant in Kyiv 1/

Russia used the latest X-69 to strike at Trypillia TPP, which more advanced than "Kinzhal"

X-69 is a subsonic cruise missile with the range of about 400 km 2/

2. On April 11, Russia attacked two Ukrainian underground gas storage facilities

Bloomberg reports that this attack propelled Europe’s prices: European gas futures rose as much as 9.5% 3/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

3. In addition, Russia damaged a large number of power facilities across the country.

Bloomberg: Moscow used more than 80 missiles and drones, U.S. envoy says situation is 'dire' 4/reuters.com/world/europe/r…

3. These attacks with dozens or hundreds of missiles and drones have been steadily increasing

The UN Assistant General Secretary: We are appalled by the increase in civilian casualties as a result of these relentless attacks. 5/

4. According to the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, at least 126 civilians were killed and 478 injured in March.

This is a 20 per cent increase compared with the previous month.6/

dppa.un.org/en/mtg-sc-9600…

5. In March, Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights also recorded a total of 12 medical facilities and 32 educational facilities destroyed or damaged. 7/

6. On Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant was attacked for the first time since November 2022. Russia accuses Ukraine, Ukraine accuses Russia of the attacks 8/ bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…

Gen. Christopher G. Cavoli, the top U.S. military commander in Europe, warned that Ukraine could lose the war with Russia if the U.S. does not send more ammunition to Ukrainian forces quickly. 9/

nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/…

7. Frontline Ukrainian forces are rationing artillery shells due to lack of a reliable Western supplier, allowing Russian troops to outfire them 5-to-1, a ratio that could soon increase to 10-to-1 without additional U.S. aid. 10/

8. Russia has reconstituted its army faster than initial U.S. estimates, increasing frontline troop strength by 15% to 470,000 and expanding the conscription age limit. Russia plans to expand its military to 1.5 million troops. 11/

politico.com/news/2024/04/1…

9. Russian missile attacks on Ukraine's energy system, bombardment of Kharkiv, and advances along the front are stoking fears that Ukraine's military is nearing a breaking point. 12/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Western officials say Ukraine is at its most fragile moment in over two years of war.

Ukrainian officials don’t comment on the “breaking point” but increasingly voice alarming pleas for weapons and air defense 13/

There is a risk of Ukrainian defense collapse which could enable Russia to make a major advance for the first time since the early stages of the war. The next few months will be Ukraine's toughest test. 14/

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged his country's allies to make good on their promises of military aid on Thursday, particularly in the form of desperately needed air defence systems as Russia scales up its air strikes 15/

reuters.com/world/europe/u…

So, in short, Ukraine is running out of air defense and weapons, and Russia is taking advantage of it.

Russia can break through unless the West overcomes its political infighting and dysfunctionality to provide support to Ukraine

16/

Democracies are messy, I often hear, but it is the best system. True, but this mess currently makes democracies unable to effectively address Russian threat. It looks more and more like a lack of leadership rather than the usual weakness of democracies. 17X

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 31, 2025

On New Year’s Day, I remember those in our university community who died defending Ukraine

Daria Lopatina 1/

Yar Batog 2/

Irina Tsibuh 3/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Dec 31, 2025

Hodges: The only way that Putin would not fill in to whatever part that Ukrainian troops came out of would be if there were thousands of American, German, British, French soldiers sitting there. Otherwise it will be a very short amount of time before you have Russian troops. 1/

Hodges: The fact that Ukraine can reach out and start hitting ships in the Mediterranean or in the Caspian Sea damages Russia's energy industry, jacks up insurance prices, makes companies less willing to take the risk. This is an important part of Ukraine's theory of victory. 2/

Hodges: Article 5 — an armed attack on one shall be considered an armed attack on all. If Russia attacked Ukraine again, that would be as if Russia had attacked the United States. Do you really think this administration would actually do something about it? 3X

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 31, 2025

“They executed my comrade Yura. Then showed me a bag with pieces of skin he had cut off.

He wanted to cut off my neck tattoo for his collection and cut off my arm. My last name saved me they thought I was Armenian” — Vasyl Davydian, Ukrainian POW, after 3 years in captivity. 1/

Vasyl: They burned my tattoo with a taser until it faded. Beatings were constant — stun guns, pipes, hammers, hands, feet.

They beat my nose, ears and groin. They shocked my tongue until I couldn’t speak. When I said my tongue was gone, they replied: We’ll cut it off anyway. 2/

Vasyl: They tried to sterilize us. I have cysts and tumors in the groin, but I’ll be able to have children. Two men with heart conditions asked for help.

A doctor was promised for tommorow. By morning, one was dead. I asked twice. The answer: “You’ll be treated in Ukraine.” 3/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 31, 2025

Putin, 2007: Why bomb and shoot at every opportunity?
Russia proved that a peaceful transition to democracy was possible.

Force is legitimate only as a last resort, under the UN Charter.

[After that, Russia attacked Georgia, Syria, and Ukraine. Russia never keeps its word.]
1/

Putin: We see unchecked use of military force. Conflicts multiply and cannot be solved politically.

International law is trampled, and one state’s system is imposed on others. Who would accept that?

[Now Russia itself imposes force and its rules on neighbors]

2/

Putin: A unipolar world means one center of power, one master. It is destructive and incompatible with democracy.

Unilateral actions solve nothing and only generate new conflicts.

[Russia here openly declared it would become a rival pole for the West].

3X

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 31, 2025

For two days, he shared dry bread with a chicken while evacuating from eastern Ukraine, after a Russian drone struck his home and burned it to the ground. — Suspilne 1/

Konstantyn Oleksiiovych, 89, left his village in the Dobropillia community in Donetsk region in his own car. He took with him the only living being he had left — a small red chicken. 2/

For two days, he slept in the car and ate dry bread together with the bird while moving away from the frontline. His house was completely destroyed by the drone strike. 3/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 30, 2025

Former Wagner mercenary: We killed seven during the assault. I was at a school, in a village in the Bakhmut area.

Not civilians — our own children. We buried them at the Wagner cemetery near Rostov. They were second-graders.

1/

I went from prison. I’ve committed my sins and I’m trying to atone for them. I signed a one-year contract. In the end, I’ve been there two years and eight months already.

I’m exhausted. I don’t have a kidney and a knee joint. And they still keep sending me into assaults. 2/

Our commander carries out “nullifications” — he kills his own guys. His call sign is “Uzor.” Guys come back after an assault — and he just shoots them dead.

Uzor ordered me to shoot and I shot. There is 63 men on my count. They come to me every night in my dreams. 3/