Post

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
Click again on or Share Via icon
Click on Copy Link to Tweet
Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
More info at Twitter Help

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Apr 12, 2024 • 17 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X

Scrolly

The war in Ukraine starts to escalate.

Evidence:

1. On April 11 Russia destroyed the largest power plant in Kyiv 1/

Russia used the latest X-69 to strike at Trypillia TPP, which more advanced than "Kinzhal"

X-69 is a subsonic cruise missile with the range of about 400 km 2/

2. On April 11, Russia attacked two Ukrainian underground gas storage facilities

Bloomberg reports that this attack propelled Europe’s prices: European gas futures rose as much as 9.5% 3/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

3. In addition, Russia damaged a large number of power facilities across the country.

Bloomberg: Moscow used more than 80 missiles and drones, U.S. envoy says situation is 'dire' 4/reuters.com/world/europe/r…

3. These attacks with dozens or hundreds of missiles and drones have been steadily increasing

The UN Assistant General Secretary: We are appalled by the increase in civilian casualties as a result of these relentless attacks. 5/

4. According to the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, at least 126 civilians were killed and 478 injured in March.

This is a 20 per cent increase compared with the previous month.6/

dppa.un.org/en/mtg-sc-9600…

5. In March, Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights also recorded a total of 12 medical facilities and 32 educational facilities destroyed or damaged. 7/

6. On Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant was attacked for the first time since November 2022. Russia accuses Ukraine, Ukraine accuses Russia of the attacks 8/ bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…

Gen. Christopher G. Cavoli, the top U.S. military commander in Europe, warned that Ukraine could lose the war with Russia if the U.S. does not send more ammunition to Ukrainian forces quickly. 9/

nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/…

7. Frontline Ukrainian forces are rationing artillery shells due to lack of a reliable Western supplier, allowing Russian troops to outfire them 5-to-1, a ratio that could soon increase to 10-to-1 without additional U.S. aid. 10/

8. Russia has reconstituted its army faster than initial U.S. estimates, increasing frontline troop strength by 15% to 470,000 and expanding the conscription age limit. Russia plans to expand its military to 1.5 million troops. 11/

politico.com/news/2024/04/1…

9. Russian missile attacks on Ukraine's energy system, bombardment of Kharkiv, and advances along the front are stoking fears that Ukraine's military is nearing a breaking point. 12/

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Western officials say Ukraine is at its most fragile moment in over two years of war.

Ukrainian officials don’t comment on the “breaking point” but increasingly voice alarming pleas for weapons and air defense 13/

There is a risk of Ukrainian defense collapse which could enable Russia to make a major advance for the first time since the early stages of the war. The next few months will be Ukraine's toughest test. 14/

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged his country's allies to make good on their promises of military aid on Thursday, particularly in the form of desperately needed air defence systems as Russia scales up its air strikes 15/

reuters.com/world/europe/u…

So, in short, Ukraine is running out of air defense and weapons, and Russia is taking advantage of it.

Russia can break through unless the West overcomes its political infighting and dysfunctionality to provide support to Ukraine

16/

Democracies are messy, I often hear, but it is the best system. True, but this mess currently makes democracies unable to effectively address Russian threat. It looks more and more like a lack of leadership rather than the usual weakness of democracies. 17X

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 12

Sen. Kelly: With force that we're going to take your territory — is that who we've become? That's Russia.

We are not that kind of a nation. I'm really concerned when you listen to Miller, what he’s said about this. We're the United States of America. We follow the rules. 1/

Sen. Kelly: United States uphold a standard of morality and an ethical code. We just don't go around and take territories from other countries or threaten to do that. I am rather concerned about where this is headed. 2/

Sen. Kelly: If the United States takes Greenland, it would mean NATO, which has been a driver of peace in the world since WWII, as an organization, that is done.

This has huge consequences. 3X

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 11

Russia has lost at least 19 generals since launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Ukraine has killed senior Russian officers — by artillery, sniper fire, strikes on command posts, and suspected sabotage — both near the front and deep behind it, The Insider reports. 1/

Recent losses include top figures from across Russia’s military hierarchy:

- Igor Kirillov, head of Russia’s radiation, chemical and biological defense troops,
- Yaroslav Moskalik, deputy head of the General Staff’s main operational directorate, 2/

- Mikhail Gudkov, deputy commander-in-chief of the Navy,
- Fanil Sarvarov, head of the General Staff’s operational training department. 3/

Read 6 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 11

Ukraine should study Baltic integration policies — what works and what backfires. Because after the war we will need to encourage a shift to Ukrainian without pushing Russian-speaking citizens into alienation.

The Economist uses Latvia as a warning case and calls it a “gift to the Kremlin.” 1/

Latvia shut down Latvian Radio 4 (LR4) on Jan. 1, ending public Russian-language broadcasting after nearly 25 years.

LR4 had a stable audience and an anti-Kremlin, pro-Latvian editorial line. It went silent because it broadcast in Russian. 2/

The legal basis is Latvia’s 2023 National Security Concept: public media content must be in Latvian or “languages belonging to the European cultural space.” Russian does not qualify.

Russian-language media can exist only with private funding. 3/

Read 13 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 10

Sen. Tillis: We had 17 military installations in Greenland, and they'd be happy to have us back. We could do it without taking over a NATO country.

And I would defy you [Trump] to find any credible general with a star on his shoulder who would say that it is a good idea. 1/

Sen. Tillis: Stephen Miller speaks for the President of the United States. But when he says that the US government thinks that Greenland should be a part of NATO, he should talk to people like me who have an election certificate and a vote in the US Senate. 2/

Sen. Tillis: What makes me cranky is when we tarnish the extraordinary execution of a mission in Venezuela by turning around and making insane comments about how it is our right to have territory owned by the kingdom of Denmark. 3X

Read 4 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 10

“He stepped on a mine. His foot was torn apart. He couldn’t walk. Medicines were dropped by drones. Dressings were done. He stayed there for 2.5 months — until he could walk out on his own.”

This is how military surgeon Vadym Kryzheminskyi describes his daily work to UP. 1/

Vadym Kryzheminskyi has served as a military surgeon for seven years.

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion, he has operated at every stage of medical evacuation — from stabilization points 10 km from the front to mobile hospitals and city hospitals in the rear. 2/

On February 24, 2022, he was deployed with a mobile hospital in the Chornobyl exclusion zone.

Then came Kyiv region, Donetsk region, and Kharkiv region. 24-hour shifts often turn into nonstop work as wounded arrive continuously. 3/

Read 8 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jan 10

Kellogg: Zelenskyy's a tough son of a b*tch. He's stubborn. He has his opinion. He's unafraid to say that. He knows how to use media.

I said [to Trump] he was an embattled and courageous leader. We in the United States have not seen a leader like him since Abraham Lincoln. 1/

Kellogg: There are some malevolent actors out there. You have North Korea, China, what's left of Iran, and Russia. In the past, we didn't allow those four to come together. We kept them separated. Now they've come together. The point is to separate them. 2/

Kellogg: I don't think Putin wants Ukraine to succeed. Putin as a former KGB officer, I don't think they ever outlived their roots. He's got a goal in mind. What we want in the West is not necessarily what he wants. 3/