—Ode pass forces him to change body shape, sends him outside rather than inside
—Ode pass is too early again, destroys any opportunity of attacking inside, Saka's run/shape/destination changes
—Pass not played
—Pass near perfect
For me, this illustrates how much Odegaard quietly limits Saka's potential without anyone suspecting a thing.
Saka is a magician type. His brain is too quick, too adaptable for opponents. Whatever a situation optimally requires (a run, a pass, a cross, a dribble) Saka is there.
There are infinite possibilities of actions for Saka. This is his genius. One of these infinite possibilities are his out-to-in runs in behind the opposition, despite him not being the fastest winger in the world.
When Saka is in this mode, he requires quality passing to support
his run. The evidence I have seen of Martin Odegaard's passes to Saka is
—Either he doesn't play it at all (defusing and refusing Saka's genius)
—Or he sends him wide (treating Saka as a flank breaker/dribbler rather than an inside forward going to goal; he forces his own
perception/interpretation of Saka's qualities onto the moment, rather than support the situation)
I can say that these are costing Arsenal and Saka some 5 goals per season.
Sometimes, this is not entirely Odegaard's fault. His ballstriking prowess especially at RCM can be
—Unimaginative (constantly using the left which forces wide angles for a runner from the side rather than the right to send the ball rolling inside)
—Lacking in power during transitions, slowing down attacks/situations (because of how he sidefoots it like he's playing an
intricate slipped ball in between legs in no space rather than finding a runner into large amounts of space)
Also, as you can see in the 2nd clip, Odegaard lacks sufficient carrying power to keep up the pace, attract a player to himself and hold until his team have an advantage.
When Odegaard is on the left or has left sided angles, the inconsistency and inefficiency of his passes/releases greatly reduces.
Have you never wondered why you never see such passes releasing Saka into space on the right hand side?
This is because
—It is on his strong foot and strong side, which means he can be more dynamic in the carry and can turn and still face play vertically (KDB on the right)
—The way he has to strike it is different (engages more power into it)
—He can better perceive depth (his options are limited)
—Also his body opens up away from pressure on the left rather than into pressure (he is facing the flank which is less defended rather than facing the goal on the right when he opens up his body, where it is more defended)
Rough illustrations here
You can simulate the depth that Martin Odegaard has on the left on the right if you change the partnership from a Saka type to a Jesus/Martinelli type.
This is why our RHS attack of Odegaard-Jesus looked good against Manchester City when Saka did not play in the Emirates game.
This is because Odegaard now has a runner/pacey type such that his drifting, sidefooted passes which arrives awkwardly and away from Saka's strong foot
—Arrives on Jesus' right strong foot
—Jesus is a stronger 1v1 operator so him being sent wide rather than through is effective
In other words, the partnership between Saka and Odegaard is not the most efficient right-sided partnership at Arsenal, ESPECIALLY when Arsenal are not playing against a lowblock.
Consider this partnership against a midblock or high press, for example.
I am incredibly confident that Saka's potential is being held back at this point by his partnership with Martin Odegaard.
There is an even better, stronger player than what you currently see were he to have access to a more empathetic, more dynamic passer or an overlapper.
Right now, BOTH Saka and Martinelli are being underutilized by Arsenal.
Arsenal have one of the most inefficient attacks in the world, especially against a midblock. Their best players' strengths are not being maximized. This is the cause of their results against such teams.
Since 2021, I have been proposing the idea of Martin Odegaard on the left.
Since 2021/22, I have been recommending that Martin Odegaard plays deeper and away from Saka
My recommendations for maximizing Odegaard
—Move him to the left
Or
—Play him deeper and away from Saka
Or
—Play him with a runner/1v1 type (a Jesus or Neto)
Arsenal listened to the 2nd recommendation this season and our chance creation exploded into November/December.
Martin Odegaard is not the problem. His partnership with Saka definitely is, esp in certain games.
You may not see it because you are only perceiving what has happened rather than what could happen or what could have happened better but this is the difference between us.
Maximizing your assets is one of the most important aspect of elite level management. This is what I try to do on this platform. Obviously, fans have no idea what this means when things are going well. They interpret it as “hate” & “agenda” but my track record speaks for itself.
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When I talk about using all of the squad, it is for days like this. When I talk about recruiting a LCM and a Saliba alternative it is so we can have squad depth and rotate our most important players for days like this.
Mikel is overly conservative with his squad usage/selection.
I understand the place of getting players physically fit and in rhythm and the point of playing your best players, but some games require different players.
Even if these players are not fully in rhythm, they have an opportunity to show something on the pitch.
I expected a Jesus, Nketiah and Martinelli lineup today. Why? Because Villa usually play a mid to high block with a very strong offside trap and you can get to them with the right amount of pace
Also because that means Saka can rest and the others can get some needed minutes.
Isak is one of the best in transition, but there are some question marks over how much he can help dominate the penalty box against mass defences as he can be a bit contact shy rather than dominant and his game is more about slipping through spaces.
I'm really annoyed by the stats websites who push “Chances created”, “Key passes”, “Big chances created” as creative metrics to an ignorant Twitter crowd that consume it all.
None of these metrics capture real creativity. They only capture good decision-making in the final 3rd.
A side pass for a crowded shot that flies out the stadium is a “key pass” or “chance created”.
Far as I know, there are only two mainstream, public passing metrics that really matter
“Expected xG assisted”
“Progressive passes”
Neither are perfect but they are much better.
Isn't it funny how Martin Odegaard always leads Europe for chances created but never for expected assists?
It is not that Odegaard can't be a creative passer. It is more that his style in passing isn't brutally unstoppable. He likes to play orchestral passes together with others
When looking at players, you need to be sure that they don't need to totally reinvent themselves as players when they move to a higher level.
Some are talented enough to do it, mind you, but it's a massive risk. Nunez at Liverpool is still mostly the same guy as Nunez at Benfica
Haaland at Salzburg and Dortmund is still mostly the same guy as he is at City right now.
Transfers where a player has to completely reinvent who he is have such large risks of failure. Kalvin Phillips is an example of this.
This is why recruitment staff like to look at
1. Teams who play similarly to them in style and intensity and level. Manchester City, Arsenal and Bayern Munich can exchange players at will in this scenario.
2. Players who don't have to change much, if anything, about themselves.
I don't think De Zerbi is the best coach in the world. But he's an elite coach that's a particular fit for particular environments.
Elite clubs that need elite in-possession models (Liverpool less so, Barcelona more so), maximization of individual talent (Chelsea, Barca)
and the technical ambitious football that De Zerbi proposes for their identity (Barcelona) and maybe don't have as much money as their competitors (Liverpool, Barcelona) would all be great fits for him.
This is why he's my No. 1 recommendation to Barcelona.