A few observations on overnight strikes in #Iran:
- targeted a military installation, no civilian casualties reported
- Tehran leadership will note that air defenses not effective
- all of the questioning about HOW this strike was executed reinforces #Israel deterrence
- no country has claimed responsibility. public message- or lack there of- is part of package and allows for de-escalation
If the intent of last night’s strike inside Iranian territory was to make clear that Tehran will not be allowed to unilaterally change the rules of the game, message delivered. Their air defenses were ineffective, a military base was targeted, the attack was limited but precise. The long-held pillar of Iranian security strategy to keep the war on their periphery fought through proxies is no longer.
But this strike is clearly intended to not escalate the situation further. If everyone decides that further rounds of state on state attacks are not in their interest, this chapter can closes…for now.
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