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auonsson Profile picture
@auonsson
Apr 23, 2024 • 6 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Russian support ship Nefrit is making a very slow steam along the coasts of Lithuania and Latvia.

The week before this she patrolled the perimeters of Kalingrad waters while the Baltic fleet held missile exercises.

IMO 9297773 She is nominally civilian. Image
Who called for cavalry? Nefrit is getting a Latvian Navy inspection by the looks of it. But both ships turned off their AIS 24 minutes ago. (I have sat access, coverage is good, other ships nearby get through even without sat.) Image
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Russian conspicious supply ship Nefrit is continuing a slow steam along coasts of Baltic states. Slightly faster than previous 24h, but only at a fraction of normal speed.

Besides the Latvian navy inspection last evening a Swedish minesweeper passed within a km 01UTC. Image
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Nefrit was also inspected by my favourite Baltic Sea ISR aircraft: Estonian 44 BLACK At noon UTC. Image
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A hypothesis of mine was that Nefrit is towing something secret. Nopes. Found matching echo on Sentinel1 sat images from this morning, nothing behind her. Sentinel2 from today is cloudy, but there is a hit and nothing behind.

sentinelshare.page.link/EhgiImage
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More from @auonsson

auonsson Profile picture
Jan 30
4 days ago Baltic States + UK wrote a letter interpreted as "Baltic Sea closing for shadow fleet".

No sanctioned tanker has arrived since (unusual*) but coming 24-36h the claim will get its first test with 5 sanctioned tankers inbound. Image
* It is unusual to not see daily sanctioned tanker arrive to Baltic Sea, usually a few each day.

But, the last 4 days lull ismight be explained by weather: Atlantic storms, low temperature and an increasingly frozen Gulf of Finland.
The ice is growing thicc around Russia's Baltic oil terminals.

Ice data outlets list a bunch of ice-breakers in service, but other sources have stated Russia lack capacity to keep the ice-sensitive rust-bucket tankers in play. Image
Read 10 tweets
auonsson Profile picture
Jan 17
Underappreciated fact:

The paths and positions of the cable damages around New Years 2026 were to most of Estonia's internet backbone routes.

Had it fully succeeded/happened by accident (lol) Estonia would have been left with a crippled connectivity. Image
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Read 5 tweets
auonsson Profile picture
Dec 31, 2025
I just deleted a post where I had misread a press release.

5 cables have been damaged, but 3 of those from storm conditions. Image
I might not have been that wrong.

There is a SE-EE incident and a FI-EE incident.

The SE-FI is described as two breaks on the same cable last I read.

As per usual the details, allusions and contexts are vague in news and statements.
Updated map of cable breaks between Sweden and Estonia, based on press release from Estonian ministry for digital affairs.

The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.

Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable. Image
Read 8 tweets
auonsson Profile picture
Dec 20, 2025
Russian logistics ship ADLER is at anchor IN Sweden.

Possibly broken down. Usually runs heavy weapons to Russian bases in Africa / Middle East.

Was inspected by military aircraft 2h ago. Swedish Coast Guard just arrived to area.

Tnx @butafly over at the better site. Image
@butafly Coast Guard patrol is about to dock in Höganäs, port a few kms south.

Here they will likely pick up more staff for whatever they plan.

Guess: Nationella Insatsstyrkan or something similar. NI are police, but carry proper guns. Or, a cadre of really nitpicky bureaucrats =) Image
@butafly ADLER is very much IN Sweden, only 2 nautical miles from the coast.

Legally Sweden have much more legroom here then if she was outside our territory.

Let's see if we use it. Onboard one would likely find weapons or supplies headed for Libya/Syria or similar Russian base.
Read 18 tweets
auonsson Profile picture
Sep 23, 2025
@pmolpmol lists three ships interesting as suspected drone carriers in last night attack on Copenhagen Airport.

In this thread, I will argue that Russian ship ASTROL 1 is an excellent fit.

Right time, right type, erratic track just before attack, highly suspicious background. Image
Article that led me down this rabbit hole, by @pmolpmol nyheder.tv2.dk/live/krimi/202…
ASTROL 1 is a largely flat cargo ship with hatches that likely would serve well as drone pads.

She is a similar model to SCANLARK, recently apprehended by German authorities on drone suspicions and to PORT OLYA 4, drone import ship on Iran trade. Sunk by Ukraine. Image
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Read 15 tweets
auonsson Profile picture
Sep 22, 2025
Copenhagen Airport is closed for operations because of drones in the air.

Northern Europes most busy airport. Image
Plane diverting last minute. Image
Copenhagen Police in a ”massive operation on scene” (commanding police officer to news)

dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
Read 21 tweets

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