Crémieux Profile picture
Apr 23, 2024 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Does diversity make teams work better?

Apparently not!

A new, comprehensive preregistered meta-analysis found that, whether the diversity was demographic, cognitive, or occupational, its relationship with performance was near-zero. Image
These authors were very thorough

Just take a look at the meta-analytic estimates. These are in terms of correlations, and they are corrected for attenuation

These effect sizes are significant due to the large number of studies, but they are very low, even after blowing them upImage
You may ask yourself: are there hidden moderators?

The answer looks to be 'probably not.' Team longevity, industry sector, performance measures, power distance, year or country of study, task complexity, team interdependence, etc.

None of it really mattered.

Here's longevity: Image
Here's power distance: Image
Here's collectivism: Image
But let's put this into practical terms.

Using these disattenuated effects, if you selected from two groups you expected to have comparable performance otherwise, but one was more diverse, you'd make the 'correct' (higher-performing) decision in 51% of cases (vs. 50%).
That assumes there really hasn't been any bias in what gets published. If there has been, you might want to adjust your estimate downwards towards zero, or upwards if you think the literature was rigged the other way.
The paper paints an unsupportive picture of the idea that diversity on its own makes teams more performant.

I recommend giving it a read.

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Feb 23
This study is being investigated since it includes results by convicted fraud Stephen Breuning.

Without his huge, fake estimates, the meta-analysis is riddled with publication bias. Correcting for it makes the meta-analytic estimate practically and statistically nonsignificant. Image
It is also just unserious to think that a meta-analysis including obvious rubbish should overturn much better established facts.

For example, one of the cited studies claimed to show IQ scores improving by 3.64 g (55 IQ points) when kids (n = 10) were offered a $5 cash prize.
You reveal a lot about yourself if you take nonsensical and unreplicable results seriously.

This meta-analysis never should have been published because of the included fraudulent work, the included garbage work, and the failure to consider psychometric bias explaining results.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 21
People across the political aisle engage in conspiracy theorizing at markedly similar rates, just about different things. Image
Q: Does each side do this to the same extent?

A: Probably not! In the case above, to get the appearance of total symmetry, you have to include a lot of different conspiracies that are very Trump-related.
Q: What about general conspiracist intent and ideation?

A: That's plausibly higher on the right in the U.S., even after accounting for measurement non-invariance. It's not globally higher, but few correlates of politics are globally consistent. More on this soon.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 20
The biggest news today should probably be about one of the Executive Orders from yesterday evening.

Trust me, it's big.

The President just authorized DOGE to start cutting regulations🧵 Image
This order starts off huge.

Remember those recently-created DOGE Team Leads going into every agency? They're going to work with agency heads and the OMB to review all of the regulations across a number of huge categories.

Which categories? Let's see.

Image
The first category is those rules and regulations which violate the law of the land: unlawful and unconstitutional regulations, things that agencies enacted but which they shouldn't have been able to. Image
Read 17 tweets
Feb 16
It's projected to take the City of Boston 20 years to build a single train station.

So here's a thread on how long it took to build other things.

It took six years to build the Transcontinental Railroad from Omaha to Sacramento, including hundreds of stations along the way. Image
It took 410 days to build the iconic Empire State Building. Image
After the French failure to build a canal in the Isthmus of Panama, the U.S. set out on a second attempt to connect the Pacific and the Atlantic.

It took the U.S. and Panama just eight years to build this enormous megaproject that still facilitates billions in trade each year.Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 13
The biggest news of the day is not so much that @RobertKennedyJr was confirmed by the Senate, but what he's going to do next.

@realDonaldTrump just issued an Executive Order making it official:

America stands against chronic disease and closed science🧵Image
The first thing the EO does is outline the problem

It talks about how unhealthy America is, how unacceptable that is, and how we have a duty to change that

We do: Americans should not just be the richest people in the world, they should be the hottest, healthiest, and strongest Image
Now beyond outlining the problems America faces, the Order outlines some policy prerogatives that will be front-and-center during this new administration.

I want to preface something here: Regardless of what you think about the people involved, something here will make you happy Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 12
The biggest news of the day should once again be about DOGE.

A new Executive Order was passed a few minutes ago.

It empowers DOGE to spearhead the complete reorganization of the federal government🧵 Image
The first part of this Order is simple:

The OMB will put out a plan to make the federal workforce smaller and more efficient, including a stipulation that agencies must remove four existing employees for each new hire, with some exceptions. Image
The second part is meatier.

New hires have to be approved by newly-installed DOGE Team Leads in each agency. These Team Leads will report what goes on in the agency they're assigned to on a monthly basis.

But that's not even the big part yet. Image
Read 10 tweets

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