Crémieux Profile picture
Apr 23, 2024 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Does diversity make teams work better?

Apparently not!

A new, comprehensive preregistered meta-analysis found that, whether the diversity was demographic, cognitive, or occupational, its relationship with performance was near-zero. Image
These authors were very thorough

Just take a look at the meta-analytic estimates. These are in terms of correlations, and they are corrected for attenuation

These effect sizes are significant due to the large number of studies, but they are very low, even after blowing them upImage
You may ask yourself: are there hidden moderators?

The answer looks to be 'probably not.' Team longevity, industry sector, performance measures, power distance, year or country of study, task complexity, team interdependence, etc.

None of it really mattered.

Here's longevity: Image
Here's power distance: Image
Here's collectivism: Image
But let's put this into practical terms.

Using these disattenuated effects, if you selected from two groups you expected to have comparable performance otherwise, but one was more diverse, you'd make the 'correct' (higher-performing) decision in 51% of cases (vs. 50%).
That assumes there really hasn't been any bias in what gets published. If there has been, you might want to adjust your estimate downwards towards zero, or upwards if you think the literature was rigged the other way.
The paper paints an unsupportive picture of the idea that diversity on its own makes teams more performant.

I recommend giving it a read.

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Dec 29
The whole "nanny dog" thing is made up. There is no historical evidence that pit bulls were ever bred to be stewards or friends to children.

The evidence for that myth is basically 'someone said it on Facebook'🧵 Image
Even many sources that are favorable towards pit bulls or active promoters of them will occasionally admit there's no real basis for the "nanny dog" claim.

Example: Image
Another example (and yes, I know "loyal and loving demeanor" is a lie; this is posted for the admission of myth): Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 22
The Australian pension system is funded through mandatory contributions into private retirement accounts

During the COVID pandemic, the government allowed people to pull up to $20,000 from those accounts decades early

What happened?

Firstly, uneducated people pulled the most: Image
Australia did this because they needed fiscal stimulus.

If they didn't allow people to make early withdrawals from their accounts—which normally remain inaccessible until retirement age—, they would have ended up in a very bad position.

But people did withdraw. Image
About a quarter of those aged >34 withdrew.

The most common amount to take out was $10,000 each time the possibility became available.

All said and done, that typically meant pulling down 51% of the total balance. That also meant foregoing $120,000 on average by retirement! Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 21
The biggest argument against using GLP-1s for weight loss is that they cause excess muscle loss.

But as it turns out... GLP-1s do not cause any more muscle loss than traditional weight loss methods!

Let's discuss🧵Image
The differences in weight loss in that chart showing data from different trials are not

1. Clinically significant—they're not large enough to matter physiologically

2. Statistically significant—each weight loss method is not distinguishable in current data

But that's lean mass
Lean mass includes water.

Unfortunately, if we use DXA scans to understand body composition, we include that with muscle.

But if we use MRIs, we can separate water and muscle! As it turns out, the UK Biobank has just the required data. Image
Read 13 tweets
Dec 7
Why do identical twins have such similar personalities?

Is it because they're reared together? Is it because people treat them alike due to their visual similarity?

Nope! Neither theory holds water. Image
Despite looking as similar as identical twins and being reared apart, look-alikes are not similar like identical twins are. In fact, they're no more similar than unrelated people.

This makes sense: they're only minimally more genetically similar than regular unrelated people.
The other thing is that twins reared apart and together have similarly similar personalities.

In fact, there might be a negative environmental effect going on, where twins reared together try to distinguish their personalities more!
Read 7 tweets
Dec 2
Society is cognitively stratified:

Smart people tend to earn higher educations and higher incomes, and to work in more prestigious occupations.

This holds for people from excellent family backgrounds (Utopian Sample) and comparing siblings from the same families! Image
This is true, meaningful, and the causal relationship runs strongly from IQ to SES, with little independent influence of SES. Just look at how similar the overall result and the within-family results are!

But also look at fertility in this table: quite the reverse! Image
Source: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

And to learn more about this general phenomenon, see: cremieux.xyz/p/intelligence… (I've added this citation to this article!)
Read 5 tweets
Nov 25
After this article came out, several people responded, alleging that a cultural model made more sense.

Clark has a point-by-point response🧵

Let's start with the first thing: parent-child and sibling correlations in status measures are identical—hard to explain culturally! Image
The reason this is hard to explain has to do with the fact that kids objectively have more similar environments to one another than to their parents.

In fact, for a cultural theory to recapitulate regression to the mean across generations, these things would need to differ! Image
Another fact that speaks against a cultural explanation is that the length of contact between fathers and sons doesn't matter for how correlated they are in status.

We can see this by leveraging the ages parents die at relative to said sons. Image
Read 10 tweets

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