Artur Rehi Profile picture
Apr 24, 2024 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
There is now a lot of discussion about the arrest of Deputy Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Timur Ivanov on charges of bribery. This is the second person in the ministry after Shoigu. No matter how funny it may sound for Russia, yes. Precisely for bribes. But
1/12 Image
the detention of Timur Ivanov is a strong blow to Shoigu. Apparently, Shoigu himself did not know about the upcoming arrest, because the day before he held a meeting where Ivanov also took part. It was Shoigu who brought Ivanov to the ministry and covered for him more than
2/12 Image
once in previous cases. Ivanov’s arrest is in no way a fight against corruption - in Russia everyone steals as much as they can. In the Russian system, each official has a separate folder in the FSB, and when a signal comes from above that a person needs to be processed,
3/12 Image
they take it off the shelf and put it into action. A person working for the Russian government, even if he has palaces, yachts and expensive cars, actually does not possess any of this. It does not belong to him and can be taken away at any moment, and he is sent to prison.
4/12 Image
The reasons why he was removed from his post are not yet clear, but most likely it will be known later. Artur Ivanov was not a military man, although he wore a uniform. He was involved in the construction of military and other facilities. For example, he was responsible for
5/12 Image
the construction of the Vostochny cosmodrome, where record amounts were stolen. He was responsible for the construction of the Patriot Park and construction in Mariupol, destroyed by the Russians. He held the civil position of Acting State Councilor of the Russian
6/12 Image
Federation, 1st class. In the army this would correspond to a general's post. That’s why there were all these uniforms with medals. His arrest actually indicates that a serious intra-clan struggle has begun in Putin’s system. Ivanov’s place is very profitable, because during
7/12 Image
construction there are some of the largest kickbacks. Now the struggle for this place will begin and all the contenders will now rush to compromise and snitch on each other in the fight for this place. Putin created a system, like any dictator, where he pits everyone against
8/12 Image
each other and forces one to fight with another. His task is to ensure that no one can unite so much as to become a threat to his own power. Whether clouds are gathering over Shoigu himself is also difficult to say now. After Prigozhin’s rebellion, Putin does not risk
9/12 Image
introducing new players, relying on old, proven and loyal people, albeit absolutely useless. In this system, such people are actually allowed almost everything. Steal, send soldiers in batches to their deaths, but the main thing is to remain loyal. But failures at the
10/12 Image
front may force Putin to make some personnel decisions. So it’s now difficult to vouch for Shoigu’s safety. But no matter what happens there, it’s all for the benefit of Ukraine, because the Russian system is devouring itself in this way, begins to collapse from the inside
11/12 Image
and weakens, and with it, naturally, Putin’s power. The list of Russia's problems is only growing every day. Kadyrov is also preparing to kick the bucket, and if the struggle for power begins in Chechnya, it will explode significantly.
12/12 Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Artur Rehi

Artur Rehi Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ArturRehi

Jun 20
The war in Iran benefits Russia in the short term, but in the long run, the loss of Iran would be a major defeat for Moscow in the region, further weakening its already diminished position in the Middle East. The fall of Syria has significantly undermined Russia’s influence
1/15 Image
there, and Iran remains its last major ally in the region. Russia is trying to squeeze every possible advantage out of this unfavorable situation. The war in Iran distracts the West and its allies from the conflict in Ukraine, but the main gain for Russia is the rise in oil
2/15 Image
prices. Russia’s 2025 budget is under enormous strain because it was planned based on an oil price of $80 per barrel. However, since the summer of 2024, oil prices have been steadily falling, reaching around $50 per barrel for Urals crude in the spring of 2025. The war in
3/15 Image
Read 16 tweets
Jun 19
British intelligence notes that the conflict between Israel and Iran may put Russia in a difficult position; however, the Kremlin also sees the escalation as an opportunity for its own benefit. The agency recalled that Russia has no formal obligations to provide Iran with any
1/5 Image
military assistance in its conflict with Israel. The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement signed between Russia and Iran in January 2025 covers cooperation in a number of areas, including defense and security, but does not include a mutual defense clause.
2/5 Image
This contrasts with agreements between Russia and Belarus or North Korea. As noted in the review, Russia almost certainly sees some benefit in this conflict, as it diverts the attention of the international community from the war it has unleashed against Ukraine. "However,
3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 16
Israel has demonstrated what it truly means to possess powerful air power — something Ukraine unfortunately still critically lacks. What else do Israel's strikes in the war with Iran reveal? Russia’s weakness. In January 2025, Russia signed a military cooperation agreement
1/11 Image
with Iran, in which both sides promised mutual military support in case of "security threats." But Russia's air defense systems did not work — nor did the agreement itself. The air defenses were neutralized in advance by Mossad agents during an operation similar to Ukraine’s
2/11 Image
Spiderweb. Israeli agents launched drones at numerous targets, including air defense systems, with these drones assembled inside Iran and launched from within the country. Now we have two countries — Russia and Iran — both bogged down in their own wars and unable to help
3/11 Image
Read 11 tweets
Jun 12
The best gift for Russia Day has been prepared by the Armed Forces of Ukraine – one million Russian army personnel neutralized. This figure does not represent the number of Russians killed, but the total losses suffered by Russia, including the wounded. The number of killed
1/13 Image
is estimated at approximately 400,000. However, this is not a reason for joy, because behind every killed Russian there is also a killed, wounded, missing, or captured Ukrainian. Ukraine’s total losses are currently estimated at around 400,000, of which about
2/13 Image
100,000–150,000 are KIA, the rest are wounded. About 10,000 Ukrainians are in captivity. One must not forget the conditions of Russian captivity compared to Ukrainian. It is no secret that Russian captivity is a real concentration camp with torture and murder. The exact
3/13 Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 11
The threat of "little green men" appearing in the Baltic states is becoming increasingly real amid reports of Russia preparing a hybrid operation involving unmarked soldiers, as cited by German intelligence. Vladimir Putin seems to be growing more confident that with
1/8 Image
Donald Trump in the White House, he can test NATO’s resolve, exploit hesitation among some member states, and probe the reaction to the invocation of Article 5, hoping to sow doubt and create division within the alliance. However, the window of opportunity for such actions
2/8 Image
is rapidly closing for the Kremlin—Russia is exhausted by the war in Ukraine, its combat-ready forces are depleted, and its resources are limited. Yet the risk of such a step remains high, as for a limited scenario involving the deployment of a 30–50 thousand strong group
3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Jun 6
Ukraine does not strike at random or hit arbitrary targets. Every operation is a well-planned step. Last year’s series of strikes on oil depots, the drone attacks on military electronics factories in recent months, and now—carriers of long-range missiles. The list doesn’t end
1/7 Image
with the destruction of over 20 bombers. A fuel storage facility for those bombers was also hit in Engels, and for the first time, Ukraine successfully targets Russian Iskanders before launch. They are almost impossible to intercept and extremely deadly. The principle is
2/7 Image
simple: kill the archer, not the arrows—because that archer continues to terrorize Ukraine’s civilian population. On the night of June 6, Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones. According to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia launched
3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(