There is now a lot of discussion about the arrest of Deputy Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Timur Ivanov on charges of bribery. This is the second person in the ministry after Shoigu. No matter how funny it may sound for Russia, yes. Precisely for bribes. But
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the detention of Timur Ivanov is a strong blow to Shoigu. Apparently, Shoigu himself did not know about the upcoming arrest, because the day before he held a meeting where Ivanov also took part. It was Shoigu who brought Ivanov to the ministry and covered for him more than
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once in previous cases. Ivanov’s arrest is in no way a fight against corruption - in Russia everyone steals as much as they can. In the Russian system, each official has a separate folder in the FSB, and when a signal comes from above that a person needs to be processed,
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they take it off the shelf and put it into action. A person working for the Russian government, even if he has palaces, yachts and expensive cars, actually does not possess any of this. It does not belong to him and can be taken away at any moment, and he is sent to prison.
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The reasons why he was removed from his post are not yet clear, but most likely it will be known later. Artur Ivanov was not a military man, although he wore a uniform. He was involved in the construction of military and other facilities. For example, he was responsible for
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the construction of the Vostochny cosmodrome, where record amounts were stolen. He was responsible for the construction of the Patriot Park and construction in Mariupol, destroyed by the Russians. He held the civil position of Acting State Councilor of the Russian
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Federation, 1st class. In the army this would correspond to a general's post. That’s why there were all these uniforms with medals. His arrest actually indicates that a serious intra-clan struggle has begun in Putin’s system. Ivanov’s place is very profitable, because during
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construction there are some of the largest kickbacks. Now the struggle for this place will begin and all the contenders will now rush to compromise and snitch on each other in the fight for this place. Putin created a system, like any dictator, where he pits everyone against
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each other and forces one to fight with another. His task is to ensure that no one can unite so much as to become a threat to his own power. Whether clouds are gathering over Shoigu himself is also difficult to say now. After Prigozhin’s rebellion, Putin does not risk
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introducing new players, relying on old, proven and loyal people, albeit absolutely useless. In this system, such people are actually allowed almost everything. Steal, send soldiers in batches to their deaths, but the main thing is to remain loyal. But failures at the
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front may force Putin to make some personnel decisions. So it’s now difficult to vouch for Shoigu’s safety. But no matter what happens there, it’s all for the benefit of Ukraine, because the Russian system is devouring itself in this way, begins to collapse from the inside
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and weakens, and with it, naturally, Putin’s power. The list of Russia's problems is only growing every day. Kadyrov is also preparing to kick the bucket, and if the struggle for power begins in Chechnya, it will explode significantly.
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Russia actively hires Africans not only in the ranks of its army. African female students are actively involved in the assembly of Shahed drones in the city of Yelabuga in Tatarstan. In the special economic zone called "Alabuga" there is a plant for the mass assembly of 1/5
Iranian drones. In Russia it is called Geranium-2. The girls are brought mainly from Uganda, where they are selected on the basis of a competition, showing good results in studying natural sciences in high school. They are paid $ 1,000 per month, which is three times higher 2/5
than the average salary in the country, free flights and accommodation, a university diploma. As a rule, they are not told that they will be assembling drones, but are offered work and study in the "high-tech sector". Before this, Russian students were involved in the 3/5
1/6 Japan is retiring its older Type 74 tanks. I know a country that would likely be happy to receive them. Take by @joni_askola
2/6 To clarify, the Type 74 is a considerably outdated main battle tank from the same generation as the Leo1. While its contribution would not be substantial, it would also necessitate significant modernization, similar to the process the Leo1 underwent.
3/6 Ukraine is currently mobilizing and forming new units. Given Ukraine's shortage of armored vehicles across all categories to equip these units, even old modernized tanks would be preferable to having nothing at all.
We are on the front line of an information war. The media plays a huge role both in covering the conflict and as a weapon. Hybrid warfare tactics are used by both Russia and China, but unfortunately, many Western media pick up various news and messages
🧵by @iljaandreev
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that can be called dubious. When foreign media quote an anonymous government source and present it as the majority opinion or present it as the official position of the state, it causes harm and creates division in society. I don’t want to encourage people not to trust the
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media, especially since even the most reliable agencies sometimes make mistakes, but with the development of the Internet and social media, news agencies often strive to release an article with a loud headline before others, for the sake of traffic and clicks. Russia and
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1/5 The fact that russia is classifying its fuel data indicates that Ukraine's strikes are having the desired impact. Take by @joni_askola
2/5 The russian Ministry of Energy has designated fuel production statistics as a state secret, leading to their exclusion from the weekly fuel data provided by Rosstat. It can be inferred that the damage to the fuel infrastructure is having a significant impact.
3/5 The increasing lack of transparency in the economic data released by Rosstat is making it challenging to make accurate calculations for indicators like GDP.
1/7 It is impossible to defend Western Ukraine with ground-based air defense systems based in Poland. Take by @joni_askola
2/7 The only feasible way to protect the airspace above Western Ukraine is to have the gound-based air defense systems positioned within Ukrainian borders.
3/7 The range for intercepting incoming threats varies based on the type of threat, with limitations against ballistic missiles but extensive coverage against high-flying, slow-moving aircraft. The commonly discussed theoretical range has little practical significance.
Why the Swedish aid package can be called historic. As part of this package, Sweden will transfer to Ukraine an ASC 890 radar reconnaissance and control aircraft. There is currently no such equipment in Ukraine. The F-16s themselves cannot make much of
🧵@iljaandreev 1/5
a difference for Ukraine. Complex systems are what make a difference. This aircraft will help detect targets at greater distances. In recent weeks, Ukraine has been actively destroying Russian air defense, opening the way for arriving F-16s. A-50 planes are also shot down. 2/5
There were also attacks on the Voronezh-M and Voronezh-DM long-range detection radars, located 1500-1800 km from Ukraine. Ukraine leaves Russia blind and reduces its ability to monitor Ukraine's military activities. More and more countries are lifting restrictions on the use 3/5