Ulf Laessing Profile picture
Apr 24, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Today, I went to the Chad-Sudan border - Darfur starts behind the trees. It was eerie to see a RSF checkpoint, the first houses, a telco mast and Sudanese crossing to shop. It looked peaceful but there's also a rather dark backstory showing the conflict's complexity.. Image
1. You can't see much on the mobile phone pictures but there is in the background a tent housing RSF fighters next to the first houses -- they check Sudanese crossing into to a Chadian village. The border is just a wadi separating two villages.
Image
Image
2. There was a market day on the Chadian side. You can see Darfuris coming with carts to buy sugar, fruit and beans. It was a constant flow of people. Chadian security checks everyone but lets civilians pass. Chad has an open door policy for refugees. Image
3. Now it gets even more interesting. Many market traders were Darfuris -- people among the 750k who'd fled the conflict. I was surprised that Sudanese pounds were changing hands.... The vendors had businesses in Darfur, lost it and try to make a new start in Chad. So far so good
4. So where is the dark side ? The vendors are victims of RSF's killings. Many are from the Masalit or other non-Arab tribes targeted by the Arab-led RSF. They were victims of "Janjaweed" fighters in the first Darfur war. They simply cant go back though they lived close. Image
5. And the Sudanese shoppers ? There could be a harmless explanation as there has been no recent fighting in this area so some normal life has resumed for the villagers living next to Chad. But ... Image
5. the shoppers come from villages where RSF is in charge and are (apparently) from groups which have at least arranged themselves (if not worked) with the RSF. People on the Chadian side said the RSF only lets those cross who are not against them. So some Darfuris suffer less
6. It's great that markets in Chad serve food-scarce Darfur. But it also shows Sudan's complexity with pockets of peace amid despair just nearby and different dynamics. El-Geneina city is another case. The RSF is accused of having killed or expelled non-Arabs. Arabs stayed.
7. I remember from covering Darfur for @Reuters 2011-13 that you had camps such as Zam Zam full of Africans tribesmen, mostly farmers, who had fled. Their abandoned fields were sometimes just 10km away -- but they couldn't go back as Arabs backed by Khartoum were cultivating them
8. After the border trip I met many Masalit in a camp who had fled El Geneina - they said Arab neighbours had helped the RSF identify them. But some 30,000 (mostly Arabs) are thought to have remained in El Geneina (once a major city) Image
9. The refugees are unlikely to return as RSF controls much of Darfur/Sudan. Next to the camp is an old one from the 2000s when 400,000 fled. Like Zam Zam camp in Darfur tents became houses -- see the difference. Some new arrivals now collect stones assuming they cant go back
New camp
Image
10. Another interesting detail of Sudan's complexity is that despite the wars Darfur used to supply eastern Chad with food and petrol, even imports coming via Port Sudan. Darfuris are great business people and found ways to keep trading routes open
11. Now, food is brought from as far as N'Djamena and Cameroon to the east - prices for sugar or petrol have risen 4-5 times, adding to the hardship in one of the world's poorest regions. This is what a roads looks like in the eastern Chadian countryside. Image

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More from @UlfLaessing

Mar 4
Hard to get through with any non-Trump news but here are some observations from a Mauritania trip. Two main takeaways – the country has turned into the fastest-growing migration route to EU attracting people from as far as India and gets more EU development funds - Niamey vibes
1. Mauritania started online visas in January to curb migration from nationals such as India, Pakistan and Bangladesh arriving with airport visas who continue by boat to Canary Islands. Numbers are very low but growing signs of these communities with an Indian shop in Nouakchott
2. Arrivals at Canary Islands more than doubled to 47,000 last year. Number are way lower than on the central/eastern Med route but show fastest growth rates. Spain is very worried, with the PM visiting twice last year and the Canary Islands president coming while I was there.
Read 14 tweets
Jul 30, 2024
Sharing some observations from my trip to Chad last week. After visiting the east bordering Sudan in April I made it this time to Lake Chad, a long time dream. I will write about the lake situation separately. This thread is about the post-election situation.
1. All foreign partners are relieved that the elections passed uneventfully. Nobody questions publicly the results. Chad is very strategic with the risk of a Sudan spill over and the new Cold War. Deby seems keen to wrap up the transition 2024 so local elections could be next.
2. There has been much excitement about Lavrov’s visit leading to speculation of a new deal for the Afrika Korps, which is already active in Mali, Niger and also Burkina Faso (where P Traore was seen with bodyguards). Wagner's Mali losses this week certainly won't help sales.
Read 12 tweets
May 14, 2024
EU officials have been busy sealing anti-migration pacts with Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and Lebanon as the boat season is about to start in Libya and Tunisia and European elections coming up. But pressure is building up in Agadez. Some observations from my trip: Image
1. The Agadez-Libya route has been busy since it officially reopened in December. This year, some 160k made it to Libya (113k) and Algeria (52k). Almost 65% were from Niger who tend to seek work in Libya. I remember living in Tripoli and always having Nigerien guards. Image
2. Still, there will be more pressure on the Mediterranean route. The second largest group are Nigerians. I met two at the bus station who had run out of money but wanted to make it to Italy. In Germany alone there are some 14,000 Nigerians which have no legal residency status.
Read 13 tweets
Apr 23, 2024
Arrived for the night at Farchana in eastern Chad, home to a huge refugee camp and UN/ NGO hub to bring aid to Sudanese fleeing war - arrivals have surged again since last week with fighting flaring up near El-Fasher, Darfur's last city so far largely untouched by the conflict Image
1. When the 2023 Sudan war between Hermedti's Rapid Forces Forces and Burhan's army reached the western Darfur region some thousands fled every day to Adre, a small Chadian town on the other side of the border. Recently, numbers dropped to some 200 a day -- still many but
2. Since Hermedti last week attacked villages near El-Fasher, up to 1,000 have fled to Adre on some days. There are already 750,000 refugees in eastern Chad plus 400,000 "old" ones who fled the first Darfur conflict in the early 2000s.
Read 11 tweets
Apr 15, 2024
Last week, flying to Vienna I had a strange but fascinating encounter. There were five very fit young men hand carrying each a huge bag – there were so heavy that two had to lift each bag step by step, holding up at Istanbul the terminal bus. Guess what was in there ?
1. Being very tired after an overnight flight, I didn’t really figure out what they were carrying until I approached them -- and was told they were hand-carrying a total of 250 kg gold bars to Dubai.
2. This is most likely gold from informal mines, a major source of employment in the Sahel. Thousands dig for gold at makeshift sites, whose output is bought up by traders and then smelted at Bamako market into bars. Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 4, 2023
I am in Burkina Faso this week but plenty of news coming out of Niger tonight. A break with EU defense cooperations and a new military assistance with Russia. Mali 2.0 ? A few quick thoughts
1. Niger's new military government basically ended the EU police and military missions @EUCAPSahelNiger and EUMPM, which had provided training and equiment for Niger's police and army - part of a massive Western push in recent years to stabilise the Sahel country.
2. Niger had already ten days ago suspended a 2015 anti-migration pact with the European Union which had (pretty much) closed the main transit migration route from sub-Saharan Africa to North Africa. In return, Niger got massive aid.
Read 12 tweets

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