Regan Bozman Profile picture
Apr 25 26 tweets 7 min read Read on X
The biggest winners of this cycle will be apps that vertically integrate and build on-chain biz models

As web3 infra becomes increasingly commoditized, distribution is THE thing that matters

1/ Here is how consumer apps are quietly eating infrastructure
2/ Apps will finally have their day by commoditizing the crypto infra stack and vertically integrating

Attention, Distribution, Brand

These are what matters in this industry and the leading apps have it in spades
3/ If you have proprietary brand and distribution why are you going to let ETH, OP, SOL make money off your success?

You're going to vertically integrate and start rolling more of your own infra

The simplest way to do this is to roll your own L1 or L2 and so teams start here
4/ This generally fits into the appchain thesis but market leaders will take it even further

They don't just want their own L1/L2, they also want everyone else to deploy there
5/ There have been existential questions about whether anything in consumer crypto will ever make any money and I think the answer is increasingly clear

Consumer apps will make money by becoming 'infrastructure'
6/ Why now?

(A) Tech stack has gotten good enough that its easy to roll own blockchain
(B) Top crypto apps real hitting scale
(C) Disillusionment with endless infra cycle
7/ It's getting easier and easier to roll your own L1/L2

LP's always ask the question of where has the $1B+ invested into blockchain infra gone and we are now seeing the answer

The answer is that it's making it WAY simpler to launch blockchains
8/ @Blast_L2 is the poster child

The team built a top 3 NFT marketplace and has executed insanely well

They needed to deploy an L2 to support new products like NFT perpetual products

They told OP and ARB to GTFO and rolled their own L2
9/ Blast's largest innovations are not technical

They integrated Lido and Maker for yield (financial innovation)

They successfully leveraged Blur's stellar brand (marketing innovation)

These are different innovation vectors than last cycle's L2's like OP and ARB
10/ Same thing with @MantaNetwork

-Smart financial innovation in introducing yield to bridging
-Great marketing

But a lot of it is 3rd party tech (OP stack + Caldera)

Tech is not the primary innovation here
11/ Users clearly love it!

Blast + Manta are 4th and 7th biggest L2's

They are ahead or on par with more technically innovative products like zkSync and Starknet Image
12/ If you take a bunch of third party infra and layer on a smart proprietary incentive scheme, is that infrastructure?

I think yes because its a blockchain and 3rd party apps can deploy there

But these things are slowly redefining what infrastructure is
13/ We will see more of this as leading crypto apps hit scale - they will roll their own infrastructure and generate larger outcomes than a lot of the underlying software stack
14/ Let's look at @Galxe (lattice portco) - they have built the top identity protocol in the industry and 3-5M wallets per month complete their quests

If they rolled their own L2, they would *day one* be top 10 users wise
15/ Over 800K users have *paid* to KYC on Galxe and mint a passport

OP has something like 30-40k DAU's

Galxe is in tentpole position to vertically integrate and if their userbase keeps growing, other consumer facing apps will want to build on that Image
16/ Let's look at @cyberconnecthq (lattice portco)

They are consistently seeing 100K's MAU's across their social products

This is more than most generalized L2's!

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17/ And now they're rolling their own social focused L2 with a native AA wallet + no seed phrases

Purpose built L2 for social apps and you can tap into their large userbase on day one

Will be a no brainer for more social apps to deploy here

18/ Layer3 (lattice portco) is aggregating consumer attention at mass scale across chains

They are already bigger than some of the established L2's

Why wouldn't they vertically integrate?

19/ Devs will deploy where the users are

Users will follow flagship apps

20/ Zora is an OG at this and launched its own L2 last summer

It seems to be doing well although I no longer live in brooklyn and am a bit out of the nft crowd so I am not that familiar Image
21/ Apps eating infrastructure is happening at the exact time that retail is increasingly disillusioned with the endless infra cycle

There are limited bids for the 100's of random infra tokens

22/ This is leading to broader questions about market structure and whether the whole crypto vc market is broken

I think people are just bored of the 5th DA solution

23/ This brings us to the battle between pro and anti meme coin investors

The pro meme coin crowd will point out that many meme coin critics have funded a bunch of infra no one uses

They aren't wrong!

24/ Funding useless infra because liquid comps trade well is the OG form of Western crypto financial nihilism

And now the meme coin investors have figured out the racket and are running it much more efficiently

25/ This markets seems to be much more selective and favors stories that are easy to tell

What's a better meme?

We're a better L2 bc we use zkEVM and 10x faster DA blah blah

OR

We are the leading social app with 250K MAU's and we are building the L2 for social
26/ If you're building something novel in consumer crypto, reach out

We've been day one backers of a handful of the teams mentioned above and would love to roll the dice a few more times

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More from @reganbozman

Apr 19
The current structure of token launches is feeding a 'down only' paradigm where prices will get rekt

Tokens launch at a high FDV, slowly bleed out as airdrop recipients sell, and then collapse as VC's unlock

1/ Some jumbled thoughts on how to unfuck the current paradigm
2/ @MikeZajko always describes worst case scenario for a teams token trajectory as the ICP chart

If your token price looks like this, you are fucked long term Image
3/ Reflexivity can be a beautiful thing for protocols and price go up can help catalyze a real community/developer ecosystem

But the reverse is also true and can be brutal

Read 49 tweets
Apr 12
I spent the week talking to founders, VC's, and family offices in Hong Kong

It was my first time in Asia in a crypto context and utterly fascinating

1/ Here's what I learned over many dim sum meals
2/ My conversations generally focused on three categories:

-Crypto adoption in Asia
-How Asian allocators are approaching crypto
-Macro backdrop/where we are in the cycle
3/ I am far from an expert on the Asian crypto scene and have spent less than a week in Asia over the last five years

So take this gweilo's views with a grain of salt
Read 23 tweets
Apr 5
Spent a few days this week skiing with some crypto VC's and folks who allocate to crypto venture

There are some common themes on everyone's mind

1/ This is what crypto vc's are chatting about over $11 coors lights
2/ The industry meta ATM is to what extent 'useful projects' are currently being built

And whether it matters at all

No one has captured this better than Travis:

3/ Useful is clearly a subjective term

Meme coins may not be that 'useful' to investors with 6 fig salaries

Meme coins can obviously be useful for people trying to get ahead financially
Read 23 tweets
Mar 25
One of the easiest ways to get rekt in crypto is making the right directional bet but placing the wrong wager

You can get rekt by introducing embedded risks

You can get rekt by trying to minimize downside

1/ Some jumbled thoughts on how to properly express market views
2/ One of the most frustrating mistakes we've made is making the right directional bet but placing the wrong wager to capture the upside

You need to make sure that your bets express your market views as purely as possible
3/ You can fuck this up by either

(a) embedding too many underlying risks into a single bet
(b) picking the wrong asset to get the exposure you want
Read 39 tweets
Mar 18
It is widely accepted that the way to make money in VC is to be contrarian and right

This is absolutely false in crypto venture - all that matters is your ability to front run the narrative

1/ Some jumbled thoughts on the bizarre memetic economy we call home
2/ In VC the common logic is that being right is not enough - if many other investors share the same outlook, it will be priced in

This more or less applies the efficient market hypothesis to private markets

3/ Let's use B2B businesses to dig in

They are the largest category of venture and the easiest to value

B2B vc-backed businesses generally
(a) don't have a ton of assets and
(b) are growing quickly

So let's assume they are valued on their future cash flows
Read 40 tweets
Mar 12
Will applications finally have their day?

Will cash flows every matter in crypto?

How many times can we run back the infra play?

1/ Some jumbled thoughts on where opportunities lie in this cycle...
2/ Historically the way VC's framed opportunities in the crypto market was around applications vs protocols

In the modern internet era, applications (Google) had captured much more value than protocols (HTTP)

Apps are where VC's had made money - Ebay, Facebook, Google
3/ In 2016 @jmonegro published the Fat Protocol Thesis

He posited that in Web3 this would be different - protocols (Ethereum) would capture more value than applications on top of it (Compound)

usv.com/writing/2016/0…
Image
Read 36 tweets

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