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Apr 26 19 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1/ Updated BMD count. Let's how the Russian airborne IFVs in storage are looking after more than two years of peer warfare. Image
2/ First, the actual figures. After recounting prewar stocks, @HighMarsed and I found 637 BMDs or BMD-based support vehicles in Russian military depots. Now the number has been reduced to just 244 units, just over a third of the initial number, of which at least 58 are not actual combat vehicles.Image
3/ Two months ago I did a BMD thread where, will not disclosing numbers, I did provide some useful data. I recommend checking that one, as it already contains a lot of info also published in this thread:
4/ With that said, let's talk about the subject at hand. Only two storage bases hold actual BMDs: the 2544th and the 3018th/6018th. Image
5/ Let's see first the 2544th, as most BMDs were and still are stored there: in 2021 there were 514 BMDs there, mostly BMD-1s but possibly also some BTR-Ds (footage is too blurry to tell them apart).
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6/ Now only 139 remain, possibly some are broken but I can't tell from @Vishun_military's footage. Unfortunately, I can't post pictures of said footage as I don't own it, so you'll have to believe me. Some could be broken too, but I can't prove it.
7/ Then there's the 3018/6018th. There were 65 BMD-1s there in 2021. Here too it's possible that there were also other types of BMDs, but I also can't tell for sure. Image
8/ Again, unfortunately I can't post Vishun's footage as the 6018th also didn't feature in their recent article. However, there are just 47 BMDs left, of which at least 8 are visually broken. Image
9/ Finally, while not actual AFVs, @ModernMicroArmy recently found 58 BMD 1V119 artillery fire command vehicles at the 120th arsenal while looking at a picture from HighmMarsed's thread on SPM 2S9 Nonas in storage.
10/ It makes sense that they're stored alongside 2S9s, considering they're designed to direct fire from said self-propelled mortars. And they also have been occasionally used in Ukraine by Russian forces.
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11/ My reasoning to include them in the BMD count.
12/ Anyway, back to the main topic, stored BMDs were mostly BMD-1s, the oldest type which, according to TMB2021, most had been retired and there were mostly in storage. They probably have been slowly refurbished to BMD-2s, mostly at the 144th BTRZ.
14/ It's also worth noting that, although it looks like BMDs will also go extinct in storage by this year, BMD-4s and BTR-MDMs are in active production, manufactured by Kurganmashzavod, that also produces other armored vehicles such as BMP-3s. Image
15/ Vishun's estimates on their recent BMP article that the rate of production and refurbishment of BMDs in probably close to 150-300 units per year nowadays. Image
16/ So, in conclusion, considering that the VDV left their vulnerable airdroppable IFVs long ago for more conventional armor such as BMPs and tanks, the probable reduction in BMDs in the field once stocks are depleted and refurbishment is deduced from production lines, it won't be felt in the battlefield.Image
17/ IMHO for at least one year BMDs are actually delivered to cannon fodder formations that don't require survivable armor to carry out their assaults. Image
18/ And that's it from BMDs, hopefully I can deliver another thread today!

Also hopefully this time links actually show up, unlike in the MT-LB thread.
/19 As usual I always have to make a typo, the date of the 2544th footage is 02.12.2023.

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More from @Jonpy99

Apr 28
1/ Analysis on @Vishun_military footage of the 22nd, 227th/769th, 1295th, 111th, 1311th, 3018th/6018th and 2544th Russian storage bases. Image
2/ Here you have the numbers of all bases and the comparison with the prewar numbers @HighMarsed and I counted. First, BMPs: Image
3/ BTR-60/70/80s: Image
Read 41 tweets
Apr 27
1/ Time for the last of my individual AFV counts for now. This time is the BRDM-2, the obsolete Soviet armored scout car. Image
2/ Here are the numbers from prewar and latest footage of BRDM-2s in Russian storage by @HighMarsed and me: 1300 vehicles in 2021 and 1188 nowadays, including 251 visibly broken ones.

I had to split the table in two screenshots because otherwise it wouldn't fit. Specially old footage is marked in orange, as usual.Image
Image
3/ Here's my previous thread on stored BRDM-2s:
Read 21 tweets
Apr 27
1/ Updated MT-LBu count. There haven't been a lot of movement of MT-LBus in storage, but still, let's see how things have changed since 2021. Image
2/ First, numbers from prewar and recent footage. @HighMarsed and I found 1229 stored MT-LBs before the war, and now there are 1053, so at least 176 have been removed from military storage bases. As usual, especially old footage dates is marked in orange. Image
3/ A bit of a reminder of my previous MT-LBu thread, where I explained some bits about them.
Read 17 tweets
Apr 26
1/ Updated BTR-50 count. This thread is gonna be very short, as there were never many BTR-50s in storage in the first place, but it is what it is. Image
2/ First, here you have the prewar and current count. As you can see I eventually found some extra stored BTR-50s during prewar times compared to the original count made by myself and @HighMarsed: 125 BTR-50s in total. By now only 50 remain, less than half, and probably all of them broken and unparable husks.Image
3/ I also made a thread with interesting bits on BTR-50s in storage a while ago, and most of the information released in that thread has stayed exactly the same as of 2024 footage provided by @Vishun_military:
Read 22 tweets
Apr 25
1/ It's finally time to publish some actual figures from the updated AFV count made by @HighMarsed and myself. First thread is on MT-LBs, the humble workhorse of the Russian military, and how it's close to storage depletion. Image
2/ First of all, here are the prewar numbers, including MT-LBs, in Russian storage. As you can see, after a second recount of prewar storage we found 2,461 MT-LBs in storage:
3/ However, in the most recent footage there were only 921 left. Image
Read 28 tweets
Apr 22
1/ On sheds, scrapyards and parking lots: short thread on some caveats about Russian military storage bases. Image
2/ I mentioned a while ago that I was planning a thread on these topics, and finally it's here. This is mostly about explaining some interesting subjects about Russian stored equipment and how it can help unsolve part of the mistery of how much more potential equipment remains there.
3/ First I want to talk about scrapyards. On the thumbnail is the most famous one, the local scrapyards of the 1295th base at Arseniev, of which I have talked several times and that's a great example of this particular subject.
Read 34 tweets

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