🔥Mutiny!

Crimean resistance group Atesh reports Cuban 🇨🇺 mercenaries killed their Russian commander due to “constant humiliation, beatings, and nonpayment of wages” in Donetsk.

Russia is the colonizer it says 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇬🇧 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 are.

1/


https://t.me/atesh_ua/4487
Image
Credit: Institute for the Study of War
Russia has recruited 10,000s impoverished men from India, Ghana, Cameroon, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Jordan, Iraq, China, Serbia, France, and other countries by promising $2,000/month.

☠️ Their survival is measured in hours, not days.

There’s an endless supply.

2/
https://kyivindependent.com/foreign-pows-on-being-lured-to-fight-for-russia-in-ukraine/
Image
In Cuba, Russia uses Facebook ads (@jason_kint follows Meta and its abuses closely) to lure men to the front.

The U.S. could do more by investigating @Meta for allowing mercenary recruitment.

3/
https://kyivindependent.com/foreign-pows-on-being-lured-to-fight-for-russia-in-ukraine/
https://kyivindependent.com/foreign-pows-on-being-lured-to-fight-for-russia-in-ukraine/
According the National Resistance Center of Ukraine, Russia recruits foreign mercenaries because it’s cheaper and causes less domestic upheaval.

The recruits are used in meat wave attacks. But it gets better!

4/
https://unn.ua/en/news/russia-recruits-mercenaries-abroad-due-to-high-cost-of-mobilization-in-the-country-intelligence
https://unn.ua/en/news/russia-recruits-mercenaries-abroad-due-to-high-cost-of-mobilization-in-the-country-intelligence
Russia is destabilizing Africa, especially in the Sahel and Central African Republic, by creating an “Africa Corps.”

The goal? Destabilizing and outcompeting the West. Russia supports dictators, exploits natural and human resources, and weaponizes migration against the EU.

5/

Image
Image
Image
Back to foreign mercenaries caught fighting for Russia in Ukraine.

A legal nightmare: if they become POWs, 🇺🇦 must treat them as such under the Geneva Conventions. It’s really hard to prove, under international law, that they’re mercenaries.

So, they can’t be prosecuted.

6/
https://www.un.org/en/genocideprevention/documents/atrocity-crimes/Doc.34_AP-I-EN.pdf
https://www.ohchr.org/en/node/3383/international-standards
Finally, a logistical nightmare.

The mercenary “POWs” don’t want to go back home, where they could face prosecution. Ukraine has to take care of them because it’s really resource-intensive to prove they’re mercenaries. And the home countries might not take them.

7/
https://kyivindependent.com/foreign-pows-on-being-lured-to-fight-for-russia-in-ukraine/
https://kyivindependent.com/foreign-pows-on-being-lured-to-fight-for-russia-in-ukraine/
The sooner Russia is crushed on the battlefields in Ukraine, the sooner this whole ecosystem collapses.

We must send Ukraine what it needs to win! I hope there will be another massive aid bill soon after the election.

Fin!

8/8

(Links are in alt text, btw).

https://africacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Regional_disinfo_total_Africa_final.png
https://dailybrief.oxan.com/Analysis/GA267634/?code=nl0b423537-6562-4404-8802-e31e4b07141d
Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Rob Gaudette 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇺🇸

Rob Gaudette 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇺🇸 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GaudetteRob

Apr 21
🧵 Outstanding points made by @RepMcCormick in a hearing 2 weeks ago.

1. The war in Ukraine is obviously winnable.

2. Ukrainian victory is in the U.S.’s strategic security and economic interests.

3. The U.S. isn’t sending what Ukraine needs to win.

1/n
McCormick would know. He spent 20 years in the military, reaching the rank of commander in the Navy. He also was a helicopter pilot in the MarinesC and served in Africa, Afghanistan and the Persian Gulf. He’s also an ER doc, which checks out 🤣

2/n Image
@RepMcCormick asked whether the war is winnable to @US_EUCOM Supreme Allied Commander Gen. Cavoli, “which is the coolest title ever.”

Cavoli unequivocally answers “yes, with our Ukrainian colleagues.”

Read 11 tweets
Apr 17
Ukraine Supplemental 🧵

1. Personnel:
$207M - Army
$3.5M - Marines
$23M - Air Force
$4M - Space Force
Image
2. Operations and Maintenance

$4.888B - Army
$0.997B - Navy
$0.069B - Marine Corps
$0.371B - Air Force
$0.009B - Space Force
$27.931B - General Defense
• Includes $13.772B for USAI, of which ~$300M is used for replenishment, refurbishment, and repair

Subtotal: $34.265B
Image
Image
3. Procurement

$2.743B - Missiles (Army)
$5.613B - Ammunition (Army)
$0.309B - Other (Army)
$0.707B - Weapons (Navy)
$0.212B - Unspecified (Marines)
$0.366B - Missiles (Air Force)
$3.284B - Other (Air Force)
$0.048B - Unspecified (General)

Subtotal: $13.282B ($3.11B missiles) Image
Read 19 tweets
Mar 19
The House is voting now on H.Res. 149 - Condemning the Illegal Abduction of Children from Ukraine to the Russian Federation. Under Suspension of the Rules, it requires 2/3 majority to pass. It will pass - there are already 360+ votes.

There are 9 “no” votes 👀.
384-9. Image
The final vote passed overwhelmingly, 390-9.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 29
Look at the Polish responses to this post. Most are positive and understanding. Agriculture accounts for just 2.1% of Poland’s GDP. By comparison, it’s 0.96% of the U.S.’s economy and 8.2% (!) of Ukraine’s economy.

statista.com/topics/11324/a…

Image
USAID estimates that agriculture accounts for 20% of GDP, 40% of Ukraine’s exports, and 17% of the workforce. Russia caused an estimated $6.6 billion in agricultural sector damage, which is ongoing.

usaid.gov/news-informati…

Image
Image
Polish farmers’ dumping grain and blockading Ukraine’s borders is criminal.

However, the EU needs to increase its support for its farmers, especially in Poland and Slovakia (Hungary shouldn’t receive any EU subsidies). The first step is banning Russian agro imports.
Image
Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 24
🧵 How screwed is Trump?

Trump must come up with $661,502,661 at a MINIMUM within the next 30 days to stop enforcement of two judgments against him (E Jean Carroll I & NY Civil Fraud).

If he doesn’t pay, plaintiffs can start seizing his assets.
Image
Image
I had a beautiful thread and Twitter refused to post it. Thanks Elmo.

I caveated this by saying Trump doesn't lose his appeal rights if he doesn't pay. Just that he can't stay the enforcement of the order while his appeals are pending.
On February 8, a federal judge entered the judgment in this defamation and sexual assault case. Confusingly, this is known as E Jean Carroll I (it concluded after E Jean Carroll II). He has 30 days -- or until March 9 -- to post a bond of 111%. That's $92,463,000.Image
Read 30 tweets
Feb 16
Total judgment against Trump.
$453,424,598!

The prejudgment *interest* is killer, if I’m calculating it correctly. 9% per annum interest. The calculation is judgment amount x 0.09 / year 365 days/year x days of interest owed + leap year days.

There are three judgments against him, with pre-judgment interest starting on different dates.

1. $168,040,168 starting March 4, 2019. Judgment = $168,040,168 + ($168,040,168 x 0.09/365 x 1806 days) = $168,040,168 (civil penalty) + $74,830,818.90 (pre-judgment interest) = $242,870,986.

2. $126,828,600 starting May 11, 2022.
Judgment = $126,828,600 (civil penalty) + $20,233,505 (prejudgment interest) = $147,062,105.

3. $60,000,000 starting June 26, 2023. Judgment = $60,000,000 (civil penalty) + $3,491,507 (prejudgment interest) = $63,491,507.

Total against Trump = $453,424,598.

But wait, there’s more!
Don Jr and Eric Trump were both slapped with their own individual penalties:

Each has to pay $4,013,024 (civil penalty) + $640,215 (prejudgment interest starting May 11, 2022) = $4,653,239.

Allan Weisselberg has to pay $1,000,000 (civil penalty) + $99,616 (prejudgment interest starting Jan 23, 2023) = $1,099,616.

Total monetary damages awarded to the state = $453,242,598 + ($4,653,239 x 2) + $1,099,616 = $463,830,692.Image
Image
In order to appeal the E Jean Carroll (1) judgment, he has to put up 110% of the judgment or $91,630,000 by 3/9/2024. He already put up $5,550,000 in cash for the E Jean Carroll (2) appeal.

In order to appeal the NYS judgment, he’ll need to put up the judgment + 9% per annum. Assuming appeals take 2 years, let’s go with 120% of the judgment. He has to put up $544,159,240. He has 30 days from the date the judgment is ordered, which the AG will move to do swiftly.

In sum, in the next month, he’ll need to put up $635,789,240.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(