1/ Analysis on @Vishun_military footage of the 22nd, 227th/769th, 1295th, 111th, 1311th, 3018th/6018th and 2544th Russian storage bases. 
2/ Here you have the numbers of all bases and the comparison with the prewar numbers @HighMarsed and I counted. First, BMPs:
3/ BTR-60/70/80s:
4/ BMDs, MT-LBs, BTR-50s and BRDM-2s, alrady shown along with numbers at the rest of storage bases in my previous threads:
5/ So, now that you have seen the numbers at the seven major Russian AFV depots, let's see what has changed in them in these plus 2 years of warfare in Ukraine.
6/ Let's start with the 3018/6018th base. Although it might look like this place still holds a lot of equipment, it's to practical effects mostly depleted by now. I can't share footage of this base because Vishun didn's show it in their recent article. Still, some tips on it: half the remaining equipment remains at what looks to be the local scrapyard, where most armored vehicles haven't been moved in all this time and have been slowly cannibalized.
7/ This base was one of the major MT-LB storage bases, and a good one at that too, with most of them pretty well preserved. Now they're almost all gone.
7/ Most of what remains are BMP-2s in this section of the base, and from the look of the footage from January, they were waiting to be shipped out. In total, BMPs at this base decreased in number from 969 to 502, of which I think 273 are broken in some way.
8/ Now a base from which there's footage: the 22nd. A pretty interesting storage base, as it stored mostly modern equipment such as T-80U/UDs, BMP-3s and BTR-80s. This one also looks on its last legs by January 2024. Here's a comparison with how it looked before the war:
9/ It might look like this one also isn't that close to depletion either, but there are caveats. For starters, you cann that they unmothballed all their BMP-3s and almost all their BTR-80s. Of the latter ones, only 90 remain, 39 of them completely rusted, compared to over 429 by 2021.
10/ BMPs also dropped massively. Not a single BMP-3 left, and most of the remaining ones are old BMP-1s and BRM-1s that haven't been moved for so long. They dropped from 727 to 409, of which I estimate 155 are broken, even without visual proof for all of them.
11/ See, there are certain sections of the 22nd that clearly stored old equipment to be cannibalized for spares, and that's mostly what it's still at the 22nd nowadays. A lot of the equipment was already pretty rusty in 2021:
12/ Recent footage of these same spots. You can see that they just started now to move equipment from these areas:
13/ This contrast with what the 22nd sent to the frontline earlier in the war. Now what remains is a bunch of old BMP-1s, BRDM-2s, badly conserved BTR-80s and even BTR-50s:
https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1462010799082385415
15/ The next base I want to take a look at is the 769th/227th at Buryatia. This one outright shocked me when I first glanced at Vishun's images. During the last 6 months the rate of BMP cannibalization at this base has sky rocketed.
16/ In fact, this base was the main factor to reasses my previous estimates:
https://twitter.com/Jonpy99/status/1782022326776676732
17/ You can see in this pics some comparisons, and the extent of cannibalization of BMPs.
18/ In fact, many of the remaining BMPs are located at what was already a cannibalization depot even before the war, over 200 nowadays. Here too a lot are missing now:
19/ Overall, this base mostly held BMP-1s, and by now there seem to be no BMP-2 left, or at least they are also cannibalized and indistinguishable from BMP-1s. There were 918 BMPs at the 769th/227th before the war, now only 552 remain, of which all but 15 appear to be broken and missing parts.
20/ The next base is the 111th. This one is a junkyard, so it's no surprise that the Russians barely removed AFVs from here, and mostly BMP-1s. The only section that appeared to held working equipment was this one. BMPs decreased from 937 to 878, and I doubt they'll take many more as they have almost depleted this spot.
22/ The next base to analyze, and the last with disclosed footage that I can post here, is the 1295th. This base, like I said in other occasions, is done:
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1776883885181149329
23/ Now only 156 BMP-1s remain there, 69 of them visibly broken.
24/ Even BTR-50s have been long been unmothballed.
https://x.com/HighMarsed/status/1737227289841049882
25/ X was messing with me as usual and didn't let me keep writing more posts. I'll get back to this in a few minutes.
26/ So, as I was about to say before, the next base to look at is the 2544th. Once again, like I said in my recent BMD thread, I can't disclose footage of this base. But still, there are some interesting things to say about it.
27/ First, the number of BMDs dropped terribly, and this is specially interesting because, besides a few dozens of BMD-1s at the 3018th/6018th and BMD-based 1V1119 artillery command vehicles at the 120th arsenal, this base held most of the stored BMDs, mostly BMD-1s but also some BTR-Ds.
28/ By now they have been reduced to just 139 vehicles compared to 514 stored here before the invasion of Ukraine started. They won't last until 2025 before they all are unmothballed and refurbished into BMD-2s.
https://x.com/trip_to_valkiri/status/1773299790362603691
29/ This base also stored many BMP-1s and BTR-70s. BMPs have obviously dropped as expected, from 343 to 285, of which at least 48 are visibly broken. The interesting thing is that here BTR-70s were also removed at some point in late 2023 or early 2023, going from 306 before the war to 250 nowadays.
30/ Here you can see the comparison of the BTR-70 section of the 2544th:
31/ The last base that Vishun bought footage of was the 1311th. This base is the only Russian storage base that was exclusively devoted to tanks. HighMarsed and I only found 11 BMP-2s here before the war, 6 of them broken.
32/ While I also cannot disclose footage of this one, suffire to they still remain there and their number hasn't increased nor decrease. They'll most likely will never be moved, as Russian are clearly focusing on tanks on this base. Check @CovertCabal's video:
@CovertCabal 33/ And that's it! Overall, BMPs decreased in these bases from 4191 before the war 2793 in recent months, of which two thirds, 1814, look to be cannibalized or in dire needs of repairs before being put in active service. Most of the working hulls are also BMP-1s.
@CovertCabal 34/ BMP-2s keep descending into extinction as well as other kinda modern armor such as BTR-80s, and BMP-3s, BTR-82s and the like are nowhere to be seen in storage anymore.
@CovertCabal 35/ As Vishun said in their article, I was a bit less conservative with classifying equipment as broken, as you can see in my reasoning of the 22nd or the 3018/6018th.
vishchun.com/post/tempy_roz…
vishchun.com/post/tempy_roz…
36/ Still, the shared conclusion between them and me is that Russian cannibalization has gone up recently and a huge share of their remaining armor stockpiles isn't useful anymore due to the lack of spares, or is destined to be consumed to be keep their active fleet operational in Ukraine.
37/ I'll soon get one final thread with my estimates on cannibalization and remaining equipment in Russian storage. Other than that, unfortunately Vishun couldn't get updated footage of the 349th and 2546th/103rd storage bases, that by the latest footage I counted still held over over a thousand and half BMPs and BTRs, among other equipment.
I know they also want to get footage of those, so if that happens I'll collaborate with them again to bring you updated numbers.
I know they also want to get footage of those, so if that happens I'll collaborate with them again to bring you updated numbers.
38/ Whooops, ignore the bit about hundreds of specialized vehicles in the table. I forgot to delete that because this table also held the number of BMPs at all other storage bases, including BMP-based artillery support vehicles at artillery depots.
https://x.com/Jonpy99/status/1784519290537824385
39/ This doesn't mean that those cannibalized or scrapped aren't entirely useless. Russian BTRZs have recently started to start refurbishing even those, and they can refurbish them. The problem is that it takes a lot more time and resources.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1782126099939426324?t=bMaOv2l_asUzkwd-dZJHlA&s=19
40/ Actually, I just found some extra ground footage and the number of BMP-2s might be even lower, as many of them are actually BRM-1s, the reccon variant of the BMP-1 with a 73mm gun but a bigger turret.
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