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May 3 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/8 In this thread, we will dive into the intricacies of Free Cash Flow Yield.

A powerful compass that guides us toward treasures in the market.

With FCF Yield as our companion, we'll uncover the treasures of profitability and unlock their potential for wealth creation.

🧵⬇️ Image
2/8 Similar to the earnings yield, FCF yield helps investors find companies generating good returns on the cash investing in them. Some investors prefer FCF yield to earnings yield as they believe it represents the true earning power of a company.
3/8 To calculate FCF Yield, you divide the company's free cash flow per share by its market price per share, and then express the result as a percentage. The formula can be represented as follows:

💸FCF Yield = (Free Cash Flow per Share / Market Price per Share) * 100
4/8 To use our example from above, $MELI, we see:

Free Cash Flow per share = $72.1
Current market price = $1359

FCF Yield = $72.1 / $1359 = 5.3%

Simple huh? Image
5/8 Free cash flow represents the cash generated by a company after deducting its operating expenses, capital expenditures, and taxes. The surplus cash can be used for various purposes, such as reinvestment in the business, debt reduction, dividend payments, or share buybacks.
6/8 The FCF Yield ratio helps investors evaluate a company's financial health and profitability. Below is a list of some of the leading e-commerce players and their FCF yields:

$MELI - 5.30%
$AMZN - (1.97%)
$SE - (7%)
$SHOP - (0.42%)
$BABA - 4.15%
$WMT - 3.12% Image
7/8 A ⬆️ FCF Yield suggests that the company generates substantial free cash flow relative to its market value, indicating potential undervaluation or an attractive investment opportunity. A lower FCF Yield may indicate lower profitability or overvaluation.
8/8 It's important to note that we FCF Yield should with other metrics and qualitative analysis to understand a company's financial situation comprehensively. Comparisons with industry peers and historical performance can provide valuable context when interpreting FCF Yield.

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More from @IFB_podcast

Apr 25
Ever wondered how you can estimate a company's growth?

As an investor, estimating the growth potential of a company is crucial. Here are three effective methods you can use:

Historical
Analyst Estimates
Fundamentals

Short 🧵⬇️ Image
Historical Performance: Examining a biz's past performance provides valuable insights.

Analyzing revenue growth, profit margins, and EPS trends helps gauge its ability to generate consistent growth.

Historical performance serves as a foundation for estimating future growth.
For example using $GOOG as our guinea pig, we can see the company has grown revenues at:

✅19.38% 10 year CAGR
📊18.38% 5-year CAGR
📈21.36% 3-year CAGR

Giving us an average of 19.84%
Read 9 tweets
Apr 24
1/12 Today's short thread will cover ROIC or return on invested capital and one of the ways I like to calculate the ratio.

We will look at the formula, and inputs and briefly discuss why. Keep in mind there are a gozillion ways to determine ROIC, this is my fav.

🧵⬇️ Image
2/12 "A company creates value when the present value of the cash flows from its investments are greater than the cost of the investments. In other words, one dollar invested in the business becomes worth more than one dollar in the market."

Michael Mauboussin
3/12 ROIC helps investors measure how effectively management reinvests the one dollar to grow beyond the initial investment. As with many metrics, the higher the better, and the longer the better.

It is one way to measure how well mgmt effectively allocates capital.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 19
1/10 One of the best ways to measure $MSFT's investment efficiency is the return on invested capital or ROIC.

Today's short thread will cover calculating the ratio from the financing side. Last week we covered the operations side.

Short 🧵⬇️
2/10 "A company creates value when the present value of the cash flows from its investments is greater than the cost of the investments." - Michael Mauboussin.

Measuring cash flows is important, but measuring the efficiency using ROIC compared to the cost of capital is crucial.
3/10 When companies invest, they have two choices where to invest and how they finance those investments. Using the operations i.e. inventories, accounts receivable, PP&E, accounts receivable, and others remain one option.

The other centers around equity and debt.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 18
Stock buybacks vs Dividends.

How companies return capital to shareholders.

Did you know buybacks have become the number one way companies return value to shareholders? 🧵⬇️
It's true, dividends have seen a steady decline since the early 1980s, while buybacks have grown.

Let's look at both and see what the plusses and minuses are: Image
💵 𝗦𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗯𝘂𝘆𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀:

Definition - Companies repurchase their own shares from the marketplace.

Effect on Shares - Reduces the number of shares outstanding, potentially increasing earnings per share.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 17
1/9 Today's show thread will focus on Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF).

FCFF represents the base of most calculations using a DCF to value a company.

Below we will uncover how to calculate FCFF.

🧵⬇️ Image
2/9 FCFF represents the amount of cash flow available to shareholders after we account for depreciation, taxes, working cap, & investments.

Many would argue, including myself, FCFF remains the most important metric representing the fair value of Google, for example.
3/9 Generally, a postive FCFF indicates the biz has enough cash to cover its operations plus investments, with money left over to allocate elsewhere, i.e. dividends, buybacks

A negative FCFF, indicates the company has not generated enough cash to cover its expenses + investments
Read 9 tweets
Apr 13
Want to learn the art of valuing companies?

Try reading McKinesy's "Valuation."

Here are 9 lessons from the book.

1. Valuation Creation Fundamentals Image
- Focus on ROIC Above Cost of Capital: Emphasize generating returns on invested capital that exceed the company's cost of capital to create shareholder value.
- Long-Term Perspective: Encourage a long-term outlook for value creation, steering clear of short-term earnings manipulation.
Read 12 tweets

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