Samuel Bendett Profile picture
May 3, 2024 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.

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More from @sambendett

Feb 1
1/ QUICK TAKE: Russia's Rybar, an active pro-Kremlin TG channel, is at it again - "What if "Geran-2 drones were launched at America from Cuba?": "Given the current US actions, the main question is not whether the US will strike Cuba, but when and how." t.me/rybar/77101 x.com/sambendett/sta…Image
2/ "Cuba, along with Venezuela and Nicaragua, has been an anti-American stronghold in the Caribbean region, and after the overthrow of Maduro, US interest has increased. But what will the Cubans do in the event of a conflict?"
3/ "Let's hypothetically imagine that Havana decides to fight back against the Americans and wants to wage war. And this is where the now familiar "Geran" attack drones could come to the rescue. What targets could be threatened if these UAVs were deployed?"
Read 17 tweets
Jan 30
1/ QUICK TAKE from a Ukrainian mil blogger on the formation of Russia's 50th Unmanned Systems Forces Brigade in Yeysk area, Rostov region. Its estimated active date is December 1, 2026. The brigade has the following units: t.me/zvizdecmanhust…Image
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2/ The brigade will include the following number of UAV, UGV and USV crews:
- Forpost/Inokhodets UAVs – 4
- Orlan/Supercam UAVs - 150
- Lancet loitering munitions - 22
- Geran-type attack UAVs - 21
- aerial targets – 6
- FPV quadcopter type – 52
- FPV fixed-wing type – 52
3/ - FPV on fiber optic cable – 50
- quadcopter type UAVs – 2
- heavy quadcopter type UAVs – 2
- UGV – 80
- USV – 24
- UAV interceptors – 63
- Electronic intelligence (ELINT) – 54
- Radar stations (RADAR) – 18
- Counter-UAV systems – 9
Read 18 tweets
Jan 29
1/ THREAD on the impact of the Ukraine combat on the Russian capacity to fight the emerging warfare style, described by Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: kommersant.ru/doc/8380069 x.com/sambendett/sta…Image
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2/ "The events of the war in Ukraine have demonstrated a fundamentally new form of large-scale military conflict, characterized by a shift from the "mechanized warfare" of the industrial era to "drone warfare," or "digital" ("information") warfare of the post-industrial era."
3/ "In fact, we are now witnessing a new revolution in military affairs – the "drone revolution," and it is clear that this revolution will continue to develop and deepen, as the possibilities for expanding "drone warfare" clearly outweigh the possibilities and prospects for overcoming it."
Read 36 tweets
Nov 13, 2025
1/ THREAD: Now that the Rus MOD has signaled that the Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) are established, here is a take from Rus mil commentators on what USF can mean for the larger force - main points translated in this thread below. t.me/gvZapad/17121 x.com/sambendett/sta…Image
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2/ "People: Without developing human potential, nothing will work. We need to change approaches, constantly improve UxS training, and, once again, learn to value the personnel in whom we've invested so much time and money. The quality of work improves with experience."
3/ "Mistakes are inevitable, and people must be unafraid to make them if progress is to be high-quality. We can't send drone operators to assault units, as some commanders do. Otherwise, the whole process becomes meaningless. Plugging (tactical) holes on the battlefield is a consequence of many problems."
Read 14 tweets
Oct 31, 2025
1/ THREAD on the new "digital warfare" as seen in Ukraine, described Russia's Gen(ret) Yuri Baluyevsky, former Chief of the General Staff in 2004-2008, and Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: globalaffairs.ru/articles/czifr…Image
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2/ "There's every reason to believe that the "digital warfare" process will continue to expand and deepen, as the potential for escalating "drone warfare" exceeds the ability to effectively counter this type of weaponry."
3/ "The miniaturization and cost reduction of componentry, along with the development of networked solutions (specifically networked ones; the trendy artificial intelligence will likely remain a secondary factor for a long time to come) are leading to combat operations..."
Read 57 tweets
Oct 3, 2025
Ukraine's @Textyorgua_Eng on the gray zone in the war - an area that stretches 25-30 km, and as much as 40km, "a chaotic kill zone riddled with trenches, dugouts, mines and rubble, constantly monitored and hit by drones, with both sides using a wide range of weapons." texty.org.ua/projects/11592…Image
The rotation in this gray zone is a difficult and dangerous: "Pickup trucks take the infantry 1–7 km to the trenches/dugouts. Then the guys walk the rest of the way, carrying 20–40 kg of stuff: ammo, gear, water, food, and tactical electronic warfare equipment." Image
"Sometimes UGVs are used for logistics and evac on the front lines. This type of technology is still in its infancy, and there are many problems with UGVs. But often they are the last straw that people grab onto when they need to make an important delivery or pick up a wounded soldier."Image
Read 9 tweets

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