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Samuel Bendett Profile picture
@sambendett
May 3, 2024 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.

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More from @sambendett

Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 24
1/ From Russia's Rybar, one of the top pro-Kremlin Telegram channels, on the possibility of delivering Geran drones to Venezuela as a deterrent against US: "How will the situation change if Russian Geran UAVs are delivered to Venezuela?" t.me/rybar/73048Image
2/ "Let's imagine that, say, 2,000 Gerans are delivered to the Bolivarian Republic. Then the Venezuelans will be able to reach American bases in the Caribbean region, and under certain conditions, even facilities on the US mainland. What can the Gerans hit when launched from Caracas?"
3/ "The Guantanamo Naval Base in Cuba, which can accommodate about 50 ships of different classes and about 5,000 servicemen. It was from there that one of the littoral ships LCS-21, which is now circling near the coast of Venezuela, has departed."
Read 11 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 18
1/ QUICK TAKE: For a long time, many Rus commentators and bloggers decried the lack of enough SIGNIT (radio electronic reconnaissance, or RER in Rus) at the front to identify and go after Ukr drones. In a translated post from a Ukr commentator Serg Marco, Rus bloggers note the following. t.me/RVvoenkor/97984Image
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2/ Serg Marco explained some of the reasons for the Ukrainian military's difficult situation in the Pokrovsky direction. According to Marco, the problems began at the end of spring 2025, when the greenery bloomed, and the Russian army had the opportunity to actively use...
3/ ...mobile groups and equipment under the cover of foliage, which greatly complicated the defense, and the Ukrainian forces simply did not have the means to stop all Russian soldiers marching under the cover of treetops.
Read 12 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 17
1/ QUICK TAKE by a Rus mil commentator on the importance of going after Ukrainian small tactical radars: "Why is it important to knock them out first? Many have wondered why there are fewer videos of strikes on airfields and air defense systems in the enemy rear?" t.me/rybar/72883Image
2/ "The answer is simple - since last year, the Ukrainian forces have been actively shooting down our recon fixed-wing drones with their interceptor UAVs, and it is no longer possible to fly there freely."
3/ "The enemy manages to effectively ensure interception of our UAVs by using air target detection stations. It would seem that this is a priority target for destruction, but for some reason there is still no systematic fight against them."
Read 8 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 5
1/ THREAD: Rus TG channels on flying and operating drones in bad weather - when there is rain, snow, fog, wind and frost: "Key battlefield scenarios for using UAVs are collecting information and physical destruction of targets. For both, we depend on the viewing range..." t.me/Notes_of_the_J…Image
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2/ "...for which the camera is responsible. Also, recon drones and FPVs have electronics that require moisture protection and power elements, the energy of which is spent not only on movement, but also on stabilizing the drone in flight. We will therefore consider..."
3/ "...how different weather factors will affect the drone components, and therefore, what restrictions on use will be imposed. Precipitation: rain and snow are water in the atmosphere, in a liquid or solid state. The size of the droplets varies from 0.5 to 5 mm."
Read 18 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 4
1/ Russia's Rubicon Center, where most experienced drone operators are using radio-controlled and fiber-optic UAVs with devastating success, is officially a year old. A few observations from TG: "Rubicon's main achievement is not a quantitative or technical improvement, but an organizational one." t.me/VictoryDrones/…Image
2/ "Previously, a Russian UAV operator was simultaneously an operator, an engineer, a sapper, and a reconnaissance officer (while being some kind of grenade launcher according to the documents), but in Rubicon all these functions are separated."
3/ "The drone operator basically only controls the drone that is being prepared for him. Reconnaissance is separate, and the engineer is separate. Vertical connections are built in parallel, the video also directly mentions that reconnaissance and destruction work..."
Read 9 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Jul 9
1/ THREAD: What do Russia-based military experts think of the impact of drone warfare in Ukraine? In an analysis translated below, Director of Moscow-based CAST (Center for Analysis of Strategies and Tech) sounds off on the key battlefield changes. rg.ru/2025/07/09/dro…
2/ "It is obvious that as the element base becomes miniaturized and cheaper, combat operations will increasingly take the form of actions by incredible hordes of drones of the most diverse types, shapes, sizes and purposes (but mostly smaller and cheaper)..."
3/ "...and at the same time increasingly long-range and autonomous, which will become the main means of war, since they allow combining reconnaissance and strike capabilities. The battlefield and the rear for tens of kilometers will become a total "kill zone", in which drones will destroy everything."
Read 28 tweets

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