1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.
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1/5 QUICK TAKE from Rus mil bloggers on the importance of FPVs in combat: "In recent years, it has become clear: the front has changed. FPV drones have proven themselves to be at their best, literally and figuratively. They are cheap, accessible, adaptable. They..." t.me/MariaBerlinska…
2/5 "They fly where traditional means are powerless. They fight 24/7, without sleep, fear or fatigue. Behind every operator is the art of control, behind every drone is astonishing efficiency. More and more resources - personnel, technology, financial - are now concentrated here."
3/5 "The industry is adapting. Budgets are being rewritten. Tactics are being rethought. Electronic warfare systems, autonomous routes, AI tracking algorithms, mobile launch stations - everything is developing around FPVs."
1/ QUICK TAKE by Rus mil bloggers on the technical aspects of today's Ukrainian drone strike: "FPV control was carried out via mobile networks (4G, LTE and the like). The bandwidth of modern mobile networks is more than enough to perform such tasks." t.me/ZarodinuVmeste…x.com/United24media/…
2/ "There were no ground control stations and, especially, no saboteur operators nearby. The truck driver in particular and the logistics chain in general are another story that our special services will have to figure out."
3/ "The FPV drone was controlled via the ARDUPILOT software and hardware solution (system). Absolutely the same solution on the "Baba Yagas", only instead of the Starlink terminal, there is an LTE modem with an Ethernet output, to which a single-board PC a la "Raspberry/Orange"."
1/ QUICK TAKE by Rus commentators on the consequences of today's strike: "Reinforcement of air defense will be necessary - not only from fixed-wing (Ukr) drones, but also from FPV drones, specially since there has already been an experience of such an attack in Machulishchi, where (our) A-50 was damaged. Obviously, the security at the airfield was not prepared for this type of attack." t.me/boris_rozhin/1…
2/ "Strengthening counter-intelligence and counter-terrorist measures. The enemy was able to prepare and carry out a complex operation on our territory. This is a clear failure of the special services that allowed this to happen."
3/ "The drone revolution is not over. It should be taken into account that the options for using kamikaze attack drones will only become more numerous in the future. The possibility of using drones from hidden carriers (containers, ships with containers, trucks) is not new..."
1/ QUICK THREAD on the key military tech seen during Russia's May 9 Victory Day parade in Moscow. Since 2022, such parades have been getting smaller in scale as more and more mil tech was used in the ongoing Ukraine invasion. Was this year different?
2/ The parade was opened by a T-34 WW2 tank, just like last year. This year, multiple T-34s went through the Red Square, compared to a single tank in 2024.
3/ Multiple armored vehicles, APC and IFV types followed.
1/5 What will the future tank look like? Russa's Uralvagonzavod, the main manufacturer of Rus tanks, offered the following ideas: The prospective tanks will receive echeloned protection and more powerful guns, will receive standard radars and UAVs... ria.ru/20250328/tank-…
2/5 ...will be designed according to the modular principle and have an optional crew. "To date, (we) have already developed a significant portion of these technologies, and are working on the implementation of this scientific and technical potential."
3/5 At the same time, Uralvagonzavod noted that even with completely unmanned tanks, their size is unlikely to be significantly reduced given the need to carry medium and large caliber weapons...
1/ QUICK TAKE by a Russian volunteer on what happens to the "People's VPK" - a vast ecosystem of Rus volunteer and start up efforts that manufacture and supply Russian forces with drones, CUAS and other equipment. Translation of main points below: t.me/rogozin_alexey…
2/ "If we imagine a scenario in which the SVO (war) is suspended, the first to feel the consequences will not be the quasi-state defense enterprises, but the so-called people's military-industrial complex: those same hundreds of private companies and teams of enthusiasts who..."
3/ "...in two years, have transformed from garage workshops into independent production chains. These structures grew out of the urgent and often informal needs of the troops. When drones were needed at the front "yesterday", when according to the classic logic..."