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Samuel Bendett Profile picture
@sambendett
May 3 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.

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More from @sambendett

Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Sep 23
1/3 Ukraine's Robert "Magyar" Brovdi, talking with The Economist: During the next 6-8 months, humans will no longer be needed to control drones in Ukraine - the war will become truly unmanned. The evolution of such technologies will... unian.ua/weapons/bezpil…
2/3 "...lead to the fact that artificial intelligence will be the main tool of warfare, since already 50% of all "strike activity" is formed by drones. Hundreds of AI systems are currently being developed at the same time, and they are being tested in experimental modes."
3/3 "In six months, pilots will no longer be needed. The drone itself, depending on its development, will decide what to attack, how to distinguish "Zhiguli" from a tank and definitely not confuse a Ukrainian with an enemy." Starts at 32:46
Read 4 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Sep 19
1/ QUICK TAKE on the possible evolution of FPV/quadcopter drones from a Russian drone commentator - key point below: "First, a combat quadcopter will be comparatively large: it is key to fly it further and stay above the target longer." Image
2/ "Accordingly, the "gray zone" will grow, and mortar crews and enemy logistics will often be in the area of ​​active drone use. Second, practice has shown that a drone should work "out of the box": fixing it right there in the trenches is extremely difficult..."
3/ "...and this means that its use should be as simple as possible. Most likely, over time, attack UAVs (primarily FPVs) will occupy an intermediate position between relatively specialized and few-numbered ATGMs and more classic artillery."
Read 6 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Sep 5
1/ On September 6, Russia will host a third annual "Dronnitsa" meet up organized by KCPN, a pro-Russian volunteer movement in Donbas. This year, the event will build on the previous two years to delve deeper into tech used in Ukraine. This year, the topics will include...
Image
2/ ...trends in the development of electronic warfare systems and FPV-type strike multicopter UAVs; tactical experiments as a refection of limited combat experience; studying Ukraine's experience in managing the "Drone Army"; myths and misconceptions about swarms; and a view from abroad at the SVO: visible problems, proposed solutions.
3/ The three-day meet up will include a day and half of lectures, followed by a day and a half of testing UAVs, UAS, EW, UGVs, CUAS and other systems. The event will be held in Novgorod.
Read 31 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 25
1/ Telegram emerged early on in the Russia's invasion of Ukraine as the key source of open and largely unobstructed conversation and critique of the Russian military and its technology. So much so that the Russian government... finance.yahoo.com/news/telegram-…
2/ ...eventually tried to suppress, or at least significantly influence such critique by intimidating and coopting many key bloggers and correspondents. It remains a key platform and a source of data and information about this war.
3/ Additional context for Durov's arrest as more info will become available in the coming days
Read 5 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 23
1/ QUICK TAKE: Russian deliberations on the "People's VPK" vs. traditional VPK (VPK stands for defense-industrial complex), a continuation of debates that I highlighted earlier from various Russian experts and volunteers. Main points below: Image
2/ "It so happened that in recent years I (Aleksey Rogozin) have been communicating daily with both private developers - startups, small design bureaus and inventors - and with the heads of Russia's large industrial enterprises supplying products under the state defense order."
3/ "Many private-sector and volunteer developers (including those supplying the front line with their products) literally despise the classic defense industry with its long R&D projects (experimental design work) and giant slow-working factories."
Read 20 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Aug 19
1/ QUICK TAKE: A Russian TG commentary on how historical and personal interpretation of WW2 is affecting Russians society's and its military leadership's views on Ukraine combat. Main points translated below: t.me/russ_orientali…

Image
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2/ "Many problems of a military and political nature are directly related to the cult of the Great Patriotic War (WW2). About 20s ago... I would not have said this, but now, from the height of my current experience, it is obvious."
3/ "The long-standing, almost religious, cult of (WW2) Victory is fixed in the consciousness of the broad masses of Russian people, and even the authorities - this image of war with mass casualties, destruction and abstract, poorly explained, ideological motives."
Read 19 tweets

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