Samuel Bendett Profile picture
May 3, 2024 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.

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More from @sambendett

Mar 31
1/5 What will the future tank look like? Russa's Uralvagonzavod, the main manufacturer of Rus tanks, offered the following ideas: The prospective tanks will receive echeloned protection and more powerful guns, will receive standard radars and UAVs... ria.ru/20250328/tank-…Image
2/5 ...will be designed according to the modular principle and have an optional crew. "To date, (we) have already developed a significant portion of these technologies, and are working on the implementation of this scientific and technical potential."
3/5 At the same time, Uralvagonzavod noted that even with completely unmanned tanks, their size is unlikely to be significantly reduced given the need to carry medium and large caliber weapons...
Read 5 tweets
Mar 24
1/ QUICK TAKE by a Russian volunteer on what happens to the "People's VPK" - a vast ecosystem of Rus volunteer and start up efforts that manufacture and supply Russian forces with drones, CUAS and other equipment. Translation of main points below: t.me/rogozin_alexey…Image
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2/ "If we imagine a scenario in which the SVO (war) is suspended, the first to feel the consequences will not be the quasi-state defense enterprises, but the so-called people's military-industrial complex: those same hundreds of private companies and teams of enthusiasts who..."
3/ "...in two years, have transformed from garage workshops into independent production chains. These structures grew out of the urgent and often informal needs of the troops. When drones were needed at the front "yesterday", when according to the classic logic..."
Read 21 tweets
Mar 13
1/ QUICK TAKE by a Russian mil blogger on retaking the Kursk region and Sudzha, and the role of UAVs and drones in "isolating the battlefield". The TG post is obviously subjective, so usual caveats apply - translation in this short thread below. t.me/rusengineer/67…
2/ "Our troops began moving towards the village of Novenkoye. And then video footage appeared from the Sumy-Sudzha highway, with a bunch of burnt (Ukr) equipment. Then the information field exploded with Operation Truba... The heroic actions of our soldiers made it possible to significantly influence the resilience of the Ukrainian Armed Forces."
3/ "Thus, to summarize, it can be said that the Russian army has mastered a tactical technique of "isolating the battlefield" by modern means in modern conditions. With the help of drones, the supply of the Ukrainian Forces was cut off, and they had no options but to retreat."
Read 15 tweets
Feb 20
1/ THREAD on recent Russian assault tactics - assault teams now bring FPVs with them to launch at the shortest distance possible at targets: "To achieve an effect similar to suppression by artillery fire (almost continuous explosions on the defending enemy's position)..." t.me/unfair_advanta…Image
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2/ "...preventing them from emerging from cover to fire at the attackers), the following method that has become standard for many is used: Assault infantry, moving to the initial position to carry out an attack, lays out on the ground (roofs of buildings, roads) their FPV drones and turns them on."
3/ "The drones are laid out in places that are most appropriate from the point of view of subsequent support for the attack. This allows the drone takeoff sites to be brought closer to the enemy's position, which reduces their flight time."
Read 8 tweets
Feb 20
1/ THREAD: A Russian mil blogger on tracking fiber-optic cable back to drone operators to take our UAV crews: "The Ukr tracks our UAV crew operating on fiber-optics by the light and reflection of the fiber optic cable. There is a video and it's not clear if they hit the crew." t.me/filatovcorr/46…Image
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2/ "In any case, an analog FPV kamikaze is flying (at their position), which means there must be video interception systems. At least to warn of danger. In their videos, the Ukrainian Forces admit that the Russians have few video interception systems."
3/ "Video 2. Our soldiers film fiber optic threads in the field, demonstrating the number of arrivals of this type of UAV. The first video, from the enemy side, confirms my hypothesis that a fiber optic drone can be tracked by the thread it leaves behind, just as I once tracked an enemy ATGM near Avdiivka." t.me/filatovcorr/46…
Read 9 tweets
Feb 18
1/ QUICK TAKE from a Russian mil blogger on the importance of domestic microelectronics and "military IT" that Russian generals still don't get: "It is important to understand that technical progress today is driven..." t.me/filatovcorr/46…
2/ "...not only by the military mega-corporations, but also by the small civilian sector... Or rather, the rapidly growing microelectronics sector. Civilian electronics can carry so much computing power with relatively low energy consumption, that if you..."
3/ "...write target recognition and capture systems, you can "rivet" as many of these systems in the garage as you like. And a projectile from an RPG or flamethrower screwed to a civilian FPV is equal in power to the ATGM, only much more maneuverable."
Read 13 tweets

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