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Samuel Bendett Profile picture
@sambendett
May 3, 2024 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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1/ THREAD - Over the past several months, I was working on a public report on the latest Russian #AI developments - it is now published with @CNASdc. Do check it out! Below are main points and takeaways. cnas.org/publications/r…
2/ The report is meant as a summary of the latest developments through March 2024, and should serve as a reference document for anyone interested in major Russian thoughts and deliberations on #AI in the military domain. The data is based on public sources and major Russian...
3/ ...announcements and debates on what artificial intelligence should mean for the country's defense, security, military and civilian establishments. We caveat such statements as coming from official sources and should be treated as such.
4/ The report's backdrop is Russia's disastrous Ukraine invasion, which influences how the Russian military considers AI development and use, even if actual use cases are very far and few in between (if at all). Nonetheless, Russia has demonstrated that it can...
5/ ...conduct WW1-style, casualty-intensive ground warfare backed by modern technologies like newest aerial drones. The report lays out how the Russian MOD thinks about AI, where its AI development/use priorities are, and how Russia's civilian AI ecosystem can assist that effort.
6/ The report also includes a listing of possible international partnerships on AI that the Russian government is currently pursuing. The text was meant as a summary document and does not delve into the technical side of Russia's AI R&D.
7/ Given the ongoing technology race that Russia sees itself in vs. US, China, Ukraine and other countries, the Russian MOD does allocate resources to #AI R&D, even if results cannot be seen right away. Check out the text and let me know your thoughts.
8/ Finally, this was a team effort with @CNASdc and @AKendallTaylor - and big thanks for @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev Sam Bresnik Edward Geist James Johnson and many others who helped make this report happen.
@CNASdc @AKendallTaylor @jeffaedmonds @russmil @RitaKonaev 9/ Also big thanks to @paul_scharre for his assistance to this project.

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More from @sambendett

Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Apr 7
1/ QUICK THREAD: Alexey Chadaev, one of Russian key volunteers and the director of Ushkuynik Enterprise, on the domestic combat UGV developments: "This is curious - Ukraine is increasing the frequency of UGV deployment, while we are scaling ours back." t.me/chadayevru/4674Image
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2/ "And this isn't because we are physically short on them—thousands are sitting in our warehouses. The first key reason is communications. As long as Starlink was available, these units could operate almost anywhere. Now, however, losses often result..."
3/ "...not from enemy attacks, but simply from entering a "radio shadow" (which can happen in any low-lying area)—are extremely high. We (the "Ushkuynik" team) proposed a viable solution involving a wheeled platform tethered by a reinforced fiber-optic cable..."
Read 22 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Apr 1
1/ QUICK TAKE by Rus mil bloggers who translated a paper on identifying and tracking fiber-optic drones in flight: "FPV drones utilizing fiber-optic links possess zero electronic signature, rendering them invisible to conventional electronic intelligence (ELINT) systems." t.me/VBiblioteka/17…Image
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2/ "However, a drone remains a physical object. It can be detected using passive radar techniques based on SDR receivers—which leverage ambient radio illumination from DVB-T, GSM, or LTE towers—as well as through the use of specialized short-range radars."
3/ "Under these conditions, the key tool for ID-ing is the analysis of micro-Doppler signatures. Traditional radar systems are unable to effectively distinguish small UAVs from birds due to their similar radar cross-sections (RCS)."
Read 11 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Mar 30
1/ QUICK TAKE: a debate among Rus volunteers on how the country's Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) "could have" developed - instead of the MOD creating the USF, they theorize Rus' National Guard/Interior Ministry-type forces or Iran's IRGC-type scenario. More info in the thread: t.me/chadayevru/4634Image
2/ "Who, exactly, said it was right to follow the path taken a little earlier by [the Ukrainian military]? Does this mean that unmanned forces had to be created within the Russian Ministry of Defense?"
3/ "After all, the Rus Ministry of Emergency Situations (FEMA-like organization once headed by Shoigu who became the DefMin) and the National Guard were once created from scratch. There has always been a Ministry of Internal Affairs; there is a Border Service within the FSB."
Read 33 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Mar 25
1/ QUICK TAKE: Other Russian mil bloggers are echoing the points made in the quoted thread: "Drone warfare has ceased to be a mere "supplement" to artillery and reconnaissance; it has become the very medium of battle." t.me/barantchik/354… x.com/sambendett/sta…Image
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2/ "This is no longer a story about individual drones, but rather about how the front line has transformed into a zone under constant surveillance and constant fire—a place where any movement of vehicles, troop rotation, ammunition resupply..."
3/ "...or casualty evacuation is under threat. The share of combat losses attributable to drones surged from 10% in 2022 to 80% as early as 2025; the average time required for casevac in certain sectors has ballooned to over three days; and—according to enemy sources—ground robots alone executed more than 7,000 missions in January 2026."
Read 21 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Mar 24
1/ QUICK TAKE by a Rus mil blogger on the state of drone warfare in Ukraine: "Drones have definitively seized control of the battlefield. In 2024, one could still zip across on a motorcycle; in 2025, one could sprint through a tree line..." t.me/bayraktar1070/…
2/ "...but now, only the lucky few ever reach their objective. Aerial surveillance (by UAVs) is total. Movement between positions is possible only under conditions of poor weather. Evacuation from the "zero line" has all but ceased."
3/ "No, this is not just another piece of criticism—these are reflections. The enemy’s situation is no better. Our offensive is being halted not by enemy infantry, but by a drone cordon. The front line has become virtually depopulated."
Read 13 tweets
Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Feb 19
1/ QUICK TAKE from a Rus TG on the tactical comms in use by Russians now that Starlink and Telegram are not available: "The core of tactical radio communications is made up of Chinese products that surpass the standard military (Rus made) Azart radios, which are relegated to a reserve role. t.me/vault8pro/53788Image
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2/ "Tactical-level landline telephone comms: The core is made up of domestic telephone sets of the TA-57, TA-88, and TAI-43 models. Their prices range between 15,500-26,000 rubles. A civilian Chinese IP phone model, for comparison, costs up to 5,000 rubles." Image
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3/ Long distance comms is comprised of domestic military products, but the peripherals (the phones themselves for communication via PBX-R, laptops for military email) are civilian models made in China, priced lower than those of the main Russian telephone monopoly. The peripheral range is approved by the military, and the products undergo testing before being put into operation."
Read 9 tweets

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