The second part of this year will be the hardest since May 2022 I assume.
Russians are able to push at different directions (Donetsk oblast is a strategic goal for this year). And they do it.
I am sure that we will see new directions such as Northern Kharkiv👇
RUAF right now have enough forces to move them from, for example, Kreminna to Avdiivka without loosing the advancing potentional.
New CAA, new AC, new divisions. They are creating more and more forces. They will reach success this year.
The situation is worse than it used to be during the battle for Avdiivka. Much worse. They concentrate a lot of forces in one place to be able to breakthrough. We just don’t have enough brigades to manoeuvre and react.
In the nearest future I will publish a short thread about the biggest Russian advance near Tonenke, Avdiivka area, where they used a tank battalion in charge.
But right now I would like to say a couple of words about FPV drones and the dillusional reality they have created.
First of all, a short remark: I am totally supportive of FPV drones. With both of my hands.
But U need understand some thing: that’s not a panacea. Not at all.
U see only successful hits on Twitter or TG channels and they create a wrong point of thinking.
Unfortunately, we use so much FPV drones because of lack of ammo for mortars, ATGMs, artillery and even antitank mines.
February was a very hot month. After the retreat from Avdiivka Russian strategic assault in that area continued having the goal to reach the main defence line of UAF.
After more then 2 weeks they did in some areas.
But they’ve paid a price in the places they didn’t plan to🧵
Those T-90M and BVM were destroyed (video was published today).
25.02.24 UAF destroyed Russian T-62M zr.2022
Extra photo of that T-62M and another destroyed tank nearby the previous one.