In today’s #vatniksoup, I’ll introduce a Georgian politician &oligarch, Bidzina Ivanishvili. He’s best-known launching the pro-Kremlin Georgian Dream party, and for running the government from behind the scenes, slowly shifting Georgia’s course from the West back to Russia.
1/25
Ivanishvili was born and raised in a small village in Georgia. Their family was poor but he showed a business mindset from a young age. In 1988, he moved to Moscow and began his first business, importing and selling computers with Vitaly Malkin, a Russian-Israeli oligarch.
2/25
The rapid growth of Ivanishvili’s businesses can be attributed to his close ties with government officials. In 1996, he joined Seven Bankers (семибанкирщина), a group of influential Russian bankers who supported Boris Yeltsin’s re-election.
3/25
He financed Lebed, a presidential candidate designed to siphon votes from the communists and secure Yeltsin’s election. Lebed’s subsequent appointment as governor of Krasnoyarsk opened the door for Ivanishvili to engage in extremely shady business deals in that region.
4/25
Later Ivanishvili became a major shareholder of Gazprom, but claimed in a 2011 interview to have sold his entire stake at 100% profit. Nevertheless, in 2018, former Georgian President Saakashvili alleged that Ivanishvili still held a major stake there.
5/25
In 2002, Ivanishvili left Russia, first moving to France and then returning to Georgia. He maintained an extremely secretive profile until he entered politics in 2011. When he founded the Georgian Dream Party that year, few Georgians even knew what he looked like.
6/25
Despite avoiding public appearances, Ivanishvili’s team facilitated rumors of his philanthropy. He built the large Holy Trinity Orthodox church & provided monthly stipends to notable figures in sports and arts, leveraging their support later to propel his electoral victory.
7/25
Ivanishvili entered politics in 2011 with an open letter criticizing Saakashvili’s "autocratic governance" and worsening relations with Russia. He promised to steer Georgia toward NATO and EU membership while stabilizing ties with Russia and boosting the economy.
8/25
Ivanishvili and his team made promises that now seem outlandish, such as investing $1 billion in agriculture, and each of Georgia’s 6,000+ villages getting 5 million USD. The latter promise was promoted by former Soviet actress, Sopiko Chiaureli.
9/25
Ivanishvili himself vowed to build a democracy that would "shock" the West and Europe, and to treat political opponents with dignity. This claim now seems the most absurd, given the numerous political opponents who have been arrested, persecuted, or physically assaulted.
10/25
Since taking power, Ivanishvili has pursued politically motivated persecution of his opponents. So far, he’s imprisoned several opposition members, including former President of Georgia, Mikheil Saakashvili and other ministers from his party.
11/25
As is tradition, Ivanishvili took over Georgia’s largest media corporations, turning formerly critical media outlets into pro-government ones. Later he also arrested the former CEO of TV Broadcast, Nika Gvaramia.
12/25
In one of his interviews, Ivanishvili remarked that the worst thing to happen to Georgians was the opening of borders with EU countries. He explained that seeing how well Europeans lived made Georgians less content with their own lives and more desperate.
13/25
Ivanishvili formally left all political positions in 2013 but continues to be seen as the shadow ruler of Georgian politics. To this day, high-level officials regularly visit Ivanishvili in his "Glass Palace," located in the mountains overlooking Tbilisi.
14/25
All close to him got lucrative positions: his personal assistant became the Prime Minister, his chief bodyguard the Minister of Interior Affairs, and his second bodyguard took over the state protection. He even made his personal dentist the Minister of Healthcare.
15/25
Throughout the years, Ivanishvili and his family faced multiple scandals, especially his rapper son Bera. A leaked audio captured Bera ordering the head of Special State Protection Service to intimidate teenagers who insulted him online.
16/25
Another leaked phone call audio emerged from March of 2022. When Russians were already killing Ukrainians in Bucha, Kherson and Mariupol, Bidzina Ivanishvili was talking with Russian oligarch Yevtushenkov discussing the ways to help him avoid sanctions.
17/25
Although there were always indications that Ivanishvili’s government leaned towards Russia rather than Europe, this became most evident when the Russian-Ukrainian war started. Ivanishvili’s government did not join sanctions against Russia and even blocked planes meant...
18/25
...to transport Georgian volunteers to fight for Ukraine. This stance led to protests on Georgia’s streets, prompting President Zelenskyy to label the Georgian government’s actions as shameful when addressing protesters in front of the parliament building of Georgia.
19/25
But the largest protests erupted when the government reintroduced the contentious "Russian Law," which labels NGOs and media organizations receiving Western funding as "Foreign Agents" — a term considered extremely derogatory in Georgia.
20/25
Hundreds of thousands took to the streets in opposition to the bill. Similar bill’s introduction in Russia led to the shutdown of numerous NGOs and TV channels, showcasing its potentially repressive impact. Essentially, it grants Ivanishvili’s government the power to...
21/25
...target and potentially shut down any NGO or media outlet that doesn’t align with their agenda. Alongside the controversial "Russian Law," Ivanishvili introduced the "Offshore Law," enabling the tax-free repatriation of his offshore wealth. Some have speculated that...
22/25
...Ivanishvili is preparing for potential western sanctions by consolidating his capital in Georgia, restricting NGOs’ access to Western funds, and becoming the primary funding source within the country. In his latest speech from Apr 2024, Ivanishvili publicly denounced...
23/25
..the West as the "Global War Party," blaming it for deteriorating relations between Georgia, Ukraine, and Russia. He attributed the conflicts in Ukraine and Georgia’s 2008 war with Russia to Western actions, and also criticized the West for abandoning "traditional values".
24/25
For almost a month, Georgian youth have been protesting the reintroduction of this bill, viewing it as Bidzina Ivanishvili’s final step in cementing his rule as an ultimate dictator.
25/25
This soup was brewed in collaboration with @dachigubadze.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.
1/18
Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.
2/18
As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.
1/22
David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.
2/22
But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.
1/14
Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.
2/14
Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Swiss/French writer, Alain Bonnet, aka Alain Soral (@officielsoral). He’s best known for his rabid antisemitism and for his pathetic support for all the worst authoritarian regimes from Russia to North Korea.
1/22
Alain’s childhood was problematic, as his father has been characterized as a “narcissistic pervert” who beat his children and did jail time for fraud. Alain himself has said he was “programmed to be a monster.” Born Alain Bonnet, he took the stage name of his sister,…
2/22
… actress Agnès Soral. She wasn’t too happy about this, commenting “How would you like to be called Agnès Hitler?”. Like many grifters, he became a pick-up/seduction artist writer, à la late Gonzalo Lira, writing books and even making a B-movie, “Confessions d’un dragueur”.
3/22
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll explain the Alaska Fiasco and how it marks the peak of Trump’s two-year betrayal of Ukraine. What was sold as “peace talks” turned into a spectacle of weakness, humiliation, empty promises, and photo-ops that handed Putin exactly what he wanted.
1/24
Let’s start with the obvious: Trump desperately wants the gold medal of the Nobel Peace Prize, mainly because Obama got one. That’s why he’s now LARPing as a “peace maker” in every conflict: Israel-Gaza, Azerbaijan-Armenia, India-Pakistan, and of course Ukraine-Russia.
2/24
Another theory is that Putin holds kompromat — compromising material such as videos or documents — that would put Trump in an extremely bad light. Some have suggested it could be tied to the Epstein files or Russia’s interference in the 2016 US presidential election.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll talk about engagement farming: a cynical social media tactic to rack up likes, shares, and comments. From rage farming to AI-powered outrage factories, engagement farming is reshaping online discourse and turning division into profit.
1/23
Engagement farming is a social media tactic aimed at getting maximum likes, shares, and comments, with truth being optional. It thrives on provocative texts, images, or videos designed to spark strong reactions, boost reach, and turn online outrage into clicks and cash.
2/23
One subset of engagement farming is rage farming: a tactic built to provoke strong negative emotions through outrageous or inflammatory claims. By triggering anger or moral outrage, these posts often generate 100s or even 1,000s of heated comments, amplifying their reach.