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Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Apr 16

You Lose Money Trading Against The Trend

I blew a lot of challenge accounts before I realized this brutal truth: You’ll make less money over time trading against the trend.

This is where understanding orderflow comes in. Finish this thread and orderflow will stop you from taking low probability trades against the trend.

A thread🧵

Picture this: You’re already several bucks away from passing that first challenge account.

You saw this reversal thinking it’s a very clear short. You drop down to your timeframe aligned entry, then boom. -1R. You then clinch your fist and trade some more. Emotions high. “No way, this has to turn.” You see another short. Trade it. Boom. Another -1R.

You keep repeating the same mistake until you blow your challenge account which should’ve been a funded account.

All because you were aggressively shorting… while the bigger picture was quietly bullish the whole time.

This is where Orderflow comes in.

To put it simply, Orderflow IS the trend. It’s that flow of orders indicating bullishness or bearishness in the market. We can view this visually with Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)

In bullish orderflow: Premium arrays (resistance) are being disrespected while Discount arrays (support) are being respected

In bearish orderflow: Premium arrays (resistance) are being respected while Discount arrays (support) are being disrespected

We can view respect/disrespect via candle stick logic (CSL)

So, next time, before thinking of shorting that fair value gap, look at the overall trend first.

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Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Mar 9

You’re doing TOO much. Analyzing TOO much. Thinking TOO much.

I used to do this to, until I realized you only need to guess ONE candle correctly.

This concept is called Candlestick Logic.

Finish this thread and you'll learn how to find Bias with 1 candle🧵

Most traders treat every candle like it matters equally.

They end up with 17 conflicting signals and no conviction whether price is going higher or lower.

This is the main reason why they get wicked, stop-hunted, and chopped until their challenge accounts are blown.

This is why you should learn Candlestick Logic (CSL)

CSL could be simplified into one question: Will the next candle likely be bullish or bearish?

Before we dive in, here’s a quick refresher on what PD arrays I use.

1. Fair Value Gaps
2. Swing Points
3. Previous Candle High/Low
4. Fair Value Area

PD arrays are merely support/resistance points price can move to move from one place to another. Stop overcomplicating this.

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Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Dec 27, 2025

The First Concept EVERY Trader Must Understand…

This is LITERALLY the reason why the market moves the way it does.

If you dont know what and where liquidity is, you are the liquidity.

Read till the end of this thread to learn how to avoid getting stop hunted and instead trade like Smart Money

A thread🧵

First, You Must Understand What Liquidity Is…

Simply put, liquidity is created by all the buy and sell orders in the market.

Every single market participant places orders, and together, creates liquidity.

For any trade to happen, there must be a buyer for every seller, and a seller for every buyer.

Not All Markets Have Good Liquidity

Markets that are smooth, with lots of traders and clear price action typically means that it has high liquidity. An example of this is major Forex pairs like EUR/USD and stock indices like ES & NQ.

Opposite to this is low liquidity wherein the markets that are choppy, with sudden jumps and gaps because only a few people are trading them. Think of exotic Forex pairs like USD/MXN or tiny penny stocks.

You want to focus on high liquidity markets because this avoids massive spreads, manipulation, and slippage. Simply put: BAD PRICE ACTION.

Read 10 tweets

Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Nov 15, 2025

Most Traders Dont Understand FVGs,

so lets clear them up and take a deep dive.

Retweet + Comment "FVG" on this post and I'll DM you the FULL PDF Guide ⤵️

Read 20 tweets

Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Nov 13, 2025

Most Traders Don’t Understand This About FVGs

Not all FVGs are created equal.

Read until the end and you’ll see EXACTLY why

A thread🧵

What Is A Fair Value Gap?

Simply put its a three candle pattern where the middle candle has an area where the wicks of the candles before and after it do not overlap.

This leaves behind a visible gap, a sign that one side of the market, either buyers or sellers, pushed price quickly and aggressively, leaving behind an imbalance.

The Market Is All About Efficiency

FVGs create an inefficiency in the market…

There are two types of FVGs:

1. Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency (BISI) - there’s an imbalance on the buyside because price is moving higher, leaving price inefficient in sellside.
2. Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency (SIBI) - there’s an imbalance on the sellside because price is moving lower, leaving price inefficient in buyside.

Don’t be confused. Remember that FVGs = Imbalances = Inefficiencies.

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Sir Pickle

@SirPickle_

Sep 5, 2025

If you're not following this process, you’re entering the trading week blind

It is literally what I implement every week to get the high-probability trades that I’m taking.

Finish this thread and you’ll master the simple weekly trading process.

A thread🧵

The economic news calendar is your roadmap.

It shows you what day during the week will likely provide volatility to trade with.

You see, news is what injects volatility into the market. Volatility = energy

Price is highest probability to trade when there is ENERGY in the markets.

This is when we see price in a hurry to get to its draws and not chop/consolidate.

We want to be EXTRA cautious on days without red folder news since assets have an increased chance of consolidating during those days.

We also wanna be cautious the day before NFP, CPI, and FOMC. Price typically likes to be held in a range as it awaits the main volatility injector for the week.

Lack of news = Lack of energy

We want to avoid trading bank holidays as the volatility simply isn’t there.

Below you’ll see the effect of bank holidays to the price action. We had USD bank holiday on Monday and see what the effect of it in major pairs.

So, to be aware of this: Go to forexfactory.com/calendar and ask yourself: “Where are the high impact news events laid out for this week? Which assets are they on? Is there Big 3 news events? Is there a bank holiday?”

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