Ben Coates Profile picture
May 16 25 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So, Geert Wilders finally has a government of his own. But what does it actually plan to do?

A summary of what we know so far - some of it predictable and some more shocking:
There will be a temporary Asylum Crisis Act lasting up to two years. During that period, the processing of asylum applications will be suspended and the reception of people who apply for asylum here will be 'greatly reduced'.
The Netherlands will ask Brussels for an opt-out from the existing asylum rules, so the country can set its own independent migration policy
People fleeing here from Ukraine will have to pay more
There will be a brake on the number of foreign students who are allowed to study in the Netherlands
Employers hiring from abroad will face more restrictions, including an obligation to provide shelter if workers can’t find a home
There will be stricter rules governing prayer calls from mosques.
The “eigen risico” in healthcare (the amount you pay yourself before the insurance kicks in) will remain 385 euros in 2025 and 2026. In 2027 it will increase to 165 euros. Health insurance premiums will increase, but this will be partly compensated through lower income tax.
€2 billion will be spent to ensure “working people will pay less tax”. €800m will be spent on housing allowances and children
Childcare will become “almost free” - the previous cabinet pledged this years ago but never delivered
Gas energy taxes will be cut, and tax increases for the wealthy will be reversed. Car fuel taxes will rise after 2025
There will be no “forced expropriation” of farms and efforts to shrink the livestock population will end. Fuel taxes paid by farmers will be cut. The “stikstof” problem must be addressed at the European level.
Where possible, motorway speed limits will go back to 130 (having been cut to 100 by Rutte for environmental reasons).
The civil service will be cut by €1 billion. No pay rises for politicians or civil servants
International development will be cut by €2.4 billion
Budget deficits will be kept below the EU’s 3% limit, and the national debt below 60%
The price of museum, concert and theatre tickets will go up as they’ll be taxed more
People who have installed solar panels at home will no longer get money for selling power back to the grid. Rules compelling heat pumps be installed will be scrapped.
Four new nuclear power stations will be built, and subsidies on electric cars will be binned
An extra €3bn for defence, pushing the Netherlands past the 2% NATO target.
€300m for the police and justice.
Changes to companies’ interest expense rules - effectively a tax cut for business.

The tax rate for directors and major shareholders will fall from 33 to 31 percent.
And finally, the Dutch embassy in Israel will be moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
I should emphasize that big chunks of this threat are based on reporting for the AD by Hans van Soest and Elodie Verweij

Read (and please share) their good work in Dutch here:

ad.nl/politiek/dit-z…
I hit the thread limit but some brief thoughts on what this all means here:
.@janspanjaard13 points out a typo in the tweet about “eigen risico” - the excess which people pay themselves will DECREASE not increase - so for most people healthcare will get cheaper at the point of delivery (although premiums will also rise)

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More from @bencoates1

Jun 13
At the risk of repeating myself, here’s a quick summary all in one place of some of the upstanding geniuses in the new Dutch cabinet:
Immigration minister, Gidi Markuszower: was arrested for carrying a gun in Amsterdam. Labeled a security risk by the Dutch security services. Also a dual national - in a government where one of the flagship policies of his new department is banning dual nationality.
Economy minister, Dirk Beljaarts:
former hotel manager who campaigned strongly against Covid lockdowns. Currently works for the Hungarian consulate in Amsterdam, and was in Budapest recently. Orban will be pleased.
Read 11 tweets
May 16
I’ll save detailed analysis for another time but a few quick points on all this:

The EU is in for a rough ride, especially when it comes to asylum and free movement. This is like Nigel Farage becoming PM of a leading member state
Putin will be pleased further EU expansion is out
The asylum policy will please PVV voters terrified of asylum centres opening in their towns, but won’t actually solve the problem. If you ban spreading new arrivals then you simply guarantee that overcrowding at Ter Apel will be worse, and do nothing to actually slow the influx.
Cuts to other forms of migration, including work visas and student visas, are daft. There are already serious labour shortages and big employers like ASML are threatening to relocate; cutting work visas will make these problems much worse

dutchnews.nl/2024/03/expat-…
Read 14 tweets
Mar 14
What’s happening with Geert Wilders’ efforts to put together a new Dutch government?
 
An update 🧵 for people who don’t speak Dutch or haven’t been following closely:
To recap, on 22 November everyone’s favourite fascist wig model scored a remarkable victory, increasing his party’s parliamentary seats by about fifty percent and crushing every other party. An unprecedented result. Image
Since then, Wilders’ PVV has been locked in negotiations with 3 parties:

-       Mark Rutte’s VVD, now led by Dilan Yesilgoz

-       Pieter Omtzigt’s NSC, a new mildly populist centre-right party

-       Caroline van der Plas’s BBB, the new(ish) dumb populist farmers’ party
Read 20 tweets
Nov 24, 2023
Dutch elections: what happens now?

-> results confirmed today
-> today all party leaders meet with parliament chair
-> select an “verkenner” - a wise elder who will “scout” possible coalition options
-> Wilders’ PVV, as election winners, gets to recommend who this verkenner is
-> 5 December commission says whether or not election was free and fair
-> 6 December new MPs start work
-> 7 December MPs debate election results
-> “informateur” appointed to meet with party leaders one by one, discussing coalition options
-> eventually, the informateur recommends the best coalition combination

Wilders, as election winner, has a decisive say in this process and is technically front runner to be PM - but other parties may well block that
Read 7 tweets
Nov 23, 2023
What does Geert Wilders actually want, in policy terms? A 🧵.
A complete end to all asylum for refugees Image
Criminals to be stripped of Dutch nationality and deported Image
Read 24 tweets
Sep 28, 2023
English-language coverage of #Rotterdam shootings seems a bit patchy and unreliable, so here goes:
A man in a bulletproof vest shot two of his neighbours at their home on Heiman Dullaertplein. A 39-year-old woman was shot dead and her 14-year-old daughter was seriously injured. The man then set their house on fire.

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The gunman then went to the nearby Erasmus MC, a large teaching hospital. At Erasmus he shot dead a 46 year old male teacher, then set the hospital on fire.
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Read 6 tweets

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