Artur Rehi Profile picture
May 17, 2024 20 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Putin's visit to China was not very successful for him in terms of economic agreements. Agreeing on the sale of Jerusalem artichoke and pork cartilage is not a very strong achievement for such a massive delegation. But there is another agreement that they have reached, and
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it gives rise to serious concern. Russia's information and propaganda agency TASS and the Chinese news agency Xinhua signed a cooperation agreement in Beijing. They are joining forces to create a common propaganda network in the world. Before this, Russian propaganda and its
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influence on the Internet are still Russia’s main and most powerful weapon against the West. China is not far behind. They had worked together before, but now they will cooperate even more closely. TikTok was banned in America, but this is not enough to fight against the
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common forces that Russia, China and other dictatorships are exerting to create a split among Western countries and aggravate internal and external problems. The scheme is not new, they use methods prescribed in the old textbooks of the Soviet KGB, but having new tools of
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global influence, like Google, Facebook, X and others, they are extremely effective and beneficial. Russia tried the tactics of hybrid wars back in 2007, when crowds of local Russians in Estonia and other groups, one way or another dissatisfied with the authorities, provoked
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by agents of influence, committed a pogrom and looting in the center of Tallinn. Then the riots lasted for 2 nights in a row. The police were not prepared for this, but it taught us a lot and Estonia now has one of the strongest cyber security structures. Then there was
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Georgia, etc. But, unfortunately, Western partners sometimes do not want to listen to the experience of our country. The huge investigation carried out by the Czech intelligence services to expose the Russian network of influence once again confirms how much effort Russia is
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making in this direction. And it still succeeds. And so far the Western response has been very slow, and meanwhile the Hybrid War tactics have reached all the way to New Caledonia, and I had to open a map to find out where it is. This is more than 14,700 km. from Estonia!
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Why can we assume that Putin and his associates are involved in the riots in Noumea? Since 2023, the New Caledonian independence movement has been supported by Azerbaijan. A non-profit organization, the Baku Initiative Group, was created there, which holds conferences and
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strengthens cooperation among political movements fighting for independence in France's recent colonies, including New Caledonia, French Polynesia, French Guiana, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Corsica. The French and indigenous Kanak population had tense relations, but it is
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precisely such groups that are the main target audience for propaganda. NGOs are a common Kremlin strategy. Under the guise of fighting for human rights and preserving culture, they receive donations from the Kremlin and promote pro-Russian policies and narratives, hold
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conferences and organize protests. Such NPOs can be found in every country in Europe and around the World. This is their proven tactic. Azerbaijan is another dictatorship that appears to have joined the new Axis of Evil - Russia, China, North Korea and Iran. Since 2003,
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“President” Ilham Aliyev has ruled there, who won the last “elections” in February 2024 with a result of 92.12%. Since 2023, Azerbaijan has openly supported anti-French movements. The Baku Initiative Group even organized a conference in Geneva. The platform was provided to
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them by the UN and 22 countries took part there. Before the unrest in New Caledonia, there had been an information campaign in the local media for several months, fueling protest sentiments. And this is again a common Kremlin tactic. Find a group of people who somehow feel
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violated in their rights and begin to influence it through social networks, using various propaganda techniques from KGB textbooks. France has already banned TikTok on these islands, but there are too many channels and Russia uses Facebook, Google and YouTube, although they
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have largely stopped doing business with Russia, but are accessible from other parts of the world, and the Russian agents and Russians living abroad can still use these platforms in a way beneficial to Russia. We put weapons in their hands, which are ultimately
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directed against us. Seems like Putin organized the riots in New Caledonia as an answer to French support of Ukraine and statements about sending a contingent to Ukraine, but while the conversations are ongoing, France is forced to send new forces to suppress the riots,
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which complicates the situation for it. Three weeks ago, before the unrest began, the Azerbaijani leadership visited Moscow, so there is little doubt that this operation is being planned by the Kremlin. The new Axis of Evil is straightening its shoulders. China is closely
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monitoring the situation and looking not only at Taiwan, but also towards Russia, seeing the problems Putin is experiencing. And if it so happens that China takes over part of a weakened Russia, then it may be the next dictatorship that
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will be insatiable in its appetites and decide to expand its "lebensraum", capturing new territories around.
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More from @ArturRehi

Aug 27
The fuel crisis in Russia will most likely only get worse. The first Russian region — the Kuril district of the Sakhalin region — has completely stopped selling gasoline to the public. Now, only special transport can access it. Remote regions are suffering first, since
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most of Russia’s refineries and storage facilities, as well as its industrial and economic centers, are concentrated in the western part of the country. With the increasing range of Ukrainian drones, fewer and fewer refineries remain operational. While there is still no
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shortage in the Leningrad and Moscow regions, panic is spreading across the market. On top of this, Russia is facing another headache — disruptions in air traffic, again caused by drone attacks. Ukraine clearly intends to paralyze Russia. The shortage of fuel in the Far East
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Read 7 tweets
Aug 25
Systematic destruction of Russian oil refineries by Ukraine is not only a response to Russia’s aggression, but also a signal to the Trump administration: Ukraine cannot be bent. With Trump’s return to power, the U.S. has been seeking a peace deal with Russia, pressuring
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Ukraine in the process. One of the first steps was a restriction on the use of American weapons against Russian territory, a policy approved by the previous administration. While not a formal ban, every ATACMS strike has to be cleared with the Pentagon, which simply does not
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authorize strikes on Russian soil. Most likely, under threat of cutting aid, Trump also demanded Ukraine halt strikes on refineries earlier, so as not to upset a “peace-seeking” Putin. But Putin made clear he is not ready for peace, sabotaging every negotiation, and Ukraine
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Read 17 tweets
Aug 22
Ukrainian sanctions in the form of drones are working. The fuel crisis in Russia is worsening. The most difficult situation is in Primorye, affected by the influx of tourists. The authorities in Crimea admit the situation is critical. After a series of Ukrainian strikes
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on oil refineries, they have gone into repair. Since the beginning of August alone, at least 7 Russian refineries have been attacked, four of which completely stopped operations – Novokuybyshevsk, Saratov, Volgograd, and Samara. The Ryazan refinery has lost more than half of
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its capacity. Due to sanctions and the lack of spare parts, repairing refineries is difficult. All these refineries are among the largest in the country and are key to their regions. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the damage inflicted is
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Read 14 tweets
Aug 20
The past week can be considered a turning point in relations between the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine. Putin’s fiasco in Alaska and Zelensky’s success at the White House define the future of relations between these countries. For Trump, it is crucial to feel important and to be
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at the center of attention. This is a trait of any narcissist. Until recently, he saw Russia as a superpower, but after six months of Putin constantly wiping his feet on him, the American president became deeply disappointed. Trump still has an obsessive idea in his head:
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to end this war as quickly as possible and to gain some kind of prize and global recognition for it. Whom to negotiate with—he doesn’t care. The meetings in Alaska and at the White House were driven by the idea of trying to seat Ukraine and Russia at the negotiating table
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Read 11 tweets
Aug 15
Putin, in calling for new negotiations, is counting on Trump to pause sanctions and pressure Ukraine. This is the sole purpose of the meeting in Alaska, and once again Trump has fallen for the same old bait. While Trump delays new sanctions in the hope of striking a deal with
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dictator Putin, the EU is already working on a new sanctions package that could be introduced as early as September. During the informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in the “Gymnich” format on August 29–30 in Copenhagen—an event traditionally held every six months by the
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presiding EU member state—the 19th package of sanctions against Russia will be discussed at the ministerial level for the first time. This was revealed, under condition of anonymity, by a diplomat from one of the EU member states in Brussels who is familiar with the planned
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Read 7 tweets
Aug 13
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky rules out the possibility of withdrawing Ukrainian troops from the unoccupied part of Donetsk region as a precondition for a complete ceasefire. “We will not leave Donbas. We cannot do that. For the Russians, Donbas is a bridgehead for a
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future new offensive. A few years – and Putin will have an open path to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions. And not only that. Also to Kharkiv. Right now, they want to give them about 9,000 square kilometers, which is about 30% of the entire Donetsk region (the size
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of the unoccupied territory – ed.), and this is a bridgehead for new aggression.” Zelensky confirmed that he referred to the Constitution during his conversation with Trump. “I am not going to surrender my country, because I have no right to do so. And the point is not that
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Read 5 tweets

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