Putin's visit to China was not very successful for him in terms of economic agreements. Agreeing on the sale of Jerusalem artichoke and pork cartilage is not a very strong achievement for such a massive delegation. But there is another agreement that they have reached, and
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it gives rise to serious concern. Russia's information and propaganda agency TASS and the Chinese news agency Xinhua signed a cooperation agreement in Beijing. They are joining forces to create a common propaganda network in the world. Before this, Russian propaganda and its
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influence on the Internet are still Russia’s main and most powerful weapon against the West. China is not far behind. They had worked together before, but now they will cooperate even more closely. TikTok was banned in America, but this is not enough to fight against the
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common forces that Russia, China and other dictatorships are exerting to create a split among Western countries and aggravate internal and external problems. The scheme is not new, they use methods prescribed in the old textbooks of the Soviet KGB, but having new tools of
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global influence, like Google, Facebook, X and others, they are extremely effective and beneficial. Russia tried the tactics of hybrid wars back in 2007, when crowds of local Russians in Estonia and other groups, one way or another dissatisfied with the authorities, provoked
5/20
by agents of influence, committed a pogrom and looting in the center of Tallinn. Then the riots lasted for 2 nights in a row. The police were not prepared for this, but it taught us a lot and Estonia now has one of the strongest cyber security structures. Then there was
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Georgia, etc. But, unfortunately, Western partners sometimes do not want to listen to the experience of our country. The huge investigation carried out by the Czech intelligence services to expose the Russian network of influence once again confirms how much effort Russia is
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making in this direction. And it still succeeds. And so far the Western response has been very slow, and meanwhile the Hybrid War tactics have reached all the way to New Caledonia, and I had to open a map to find out where it is. This is more than 14,700 km. from Estonia!
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Why can we assume that Putin and his associates are involved in the riots in Noumea? Since 2023, the New Caledonian independence movement has been supported by Azerbaijan. A non-profit organization, the Baku Initiative Group, was created there, which holds conferences and
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strengthens cooperation among political movements fighting for independence in France's recent colonies, including New Caledonia, French Polynesia, French Guiana, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Corsica. The French and indigenous Kanak population had tense relations, but it is
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precisely such groups that are the main target audience for propaganda. NGOs are a common Kremlin strategy. Under the guise of fighting for human rights and preserving culture, they receive donations from the Kremlin and promote pro-Russian policies and narratives, hold
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conferences and organize protests. Such NPOs can be found in every country in Europe and around the World. This is their proven tactic. Azerbaijan is another dictatorship that appears to have joined the new Axis of Evil - Russia, China, North Korea and Iran. Since 2003,
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“President” Ilham Aliyev has ruled there, who won the last “elections” in February 2024 with a result of 92.12%. Since 2023, Azerbaijan has openly supported anti-French movements. The Baku Initiative Group even organized a conference in Geneva. The platform was provided to
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them by the UN and 22 countries took part there. Before the unrest in New Caledonia, there had been an information campaign in the local media for several months, fueling protest sentiments. And this is again a common Kremlin tactic. Find a group of people who somehow feel
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violated in their rights and begin to influence it through social networks, using various propaganda techniques from KGB textbooks. France has already banned TikTok on these islands, but there are too many channels and Russia uses Facebook, Google and YouTube, although they
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have largely stopped doing business with Russia, but are accessible from other parts of the world, and the Russian agents and Russians living abroad can still use these platforms in a way beneficial to Russia. We put weapons in their hands, which are ultimately
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directed against us. Seems like Putin organized the riots in New Caledonia as an answer to French support of Ukraine and statements about sending a contingent to Ukraine, but while the conversations are ongoing, France is forced to send new forces to suppress the riots,
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which complicates the situation for it. Three weeks ago, before the unrest began, the Azerbaijani leadership visited Moscow, so there is little doubt that this operation is being planned by the Kremlin. The new Axis of Evil is straightening its shoulders. China is closely
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monitoring the situation and looking not only at Taiwan, but also towards Russia, seeing the problems Putin is experiencing. And if it so happens that China takes over part of a weakened Russia, then it may be the next dictatorship that
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will be insatiable in its appetites and decide to expand its "lebensraum", capturing new territories around.
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According to BND estimates, last year Russia’s military spending may have amounted to almost half of the state budget and around 10% of the country’s GDP. According to the German intelligence service, Russia is spending significantly more on the war and its armed forces
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than it has declared in recent years. Since the start of the war against Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s defense budget has increased sharply every year. In addition, Russia’s interpretation of “defense spending” differs significantly from the NATO definition, German
intelligence officials note. A comprehensive analysis of budget data conducted by BND shows that Russia’s defense budget in recent years was 66% higher than officially reported. Unaccounted expenditures include, for example, construction projects of the Ministry of Defense,
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained why he sharply criticized Europe at the World Economic Forum in Davos. He made these remarks during a meeting with journalists in Kyiv, according to a correspondent from European Pravda. Zelensky said he had grounds for critical
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statements toward Europe after a lack of funding led to a shortage of air defense missiles, allowing Russia to strike Kyiv’s energy infrastructure. Zelensky did not deny that his speech may have sounded overly harsh from European capitals and explained this by saying that
Ukraine and the rest of Europe live in different information spaces. He also acknowledged that the differences are not only informational but also emotional in how events are perceived. The president explained that his Davos speech was preceded by heavy strikes on energy
Putin is losing the game he himself started. His bet was placed on a return to the world of the 19th and early 20th centuries - a world of empires and spheres of influence, where Europe, America, Africa, and Asia are divided among several “superpowers.” In Putin’s vision of
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the world, there were supposed to be three such powers: the United States, Russia, and China. However, the real transformation of the global order is unfolding in a completely different way. The key failure is Ukraine. At the end of the fourth year of war, Russia has still
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been unable to subjugate it. The army is visibly degrading, human and technological resources are being exhausted, the economy is held together by military spending and gray schemes, and the state increasingly resembles an overextended empire losing its ability to govern
3/19
Within NATO, the possibility of conducting a special joint mission in Greenland is being considered in order to accommodate the interests of US President Donald Trump. This week, the US president once again stated that he wants Greenland. Military intervention is not being 1/8
ruled out. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen previously said that this would mean the end of the Alliance if the United States were to begin military action against her country. On Thursday morning, the 32 ambassadors of the Alliance gathered for their weekly meeting. 2/8
It took place in a "calm atmosphere." Denmark raised the Greenland issue in a "positive and forward-looking manner," NOS insiders reported. The US ambassador to NATO, Whitaker, also reportedly spoke in a conciliatory tone. As became clear during the meeting, almost all 3/8
Russia has once again staged a media stunt with the story about a drone attack on Putin’s residence. In the Novgorod region no one heard air raid sirens, yet according to Lavrov, 91 drones were launched from Ukraine and all of
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them were shot down. There is not a single video and not a single piece of evidence. Why is this needed? This entire performance was staged specifically for Trump. Putin personally called the American president and told him about it. Russia has long convinced Trump that it
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is Zelensky together with the “warmongering shadow government of Europe” who allegedly do not want the war to end. This show was played out so that Ukraine would be blamed for the failure of peace talks. Unfortunately, with Trump, this works. Meanwhile, Lavrov declares that
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Daily strikes by Ukrainian drones and missiles on Russian oil depots, warehouses and refineries have created an image in the information space of a “leaky” Russian air defense system. This image sharply contrasts with what Russian propaganda had been instilling in its audience🧵
for decades, namely the idea of an “impenetrable shield” capable, according to Defense Minister Andrey Belousov, of intercepting up to 97 percent of targets. The reality of a full scale war has proven far more complex. Ukraine has not managed to destroy Russian air defense as a
single integrated system, but it has succeeded in exposing its real limits. As analysis by the Royal United Services Institute shows, the strength of Russian air defense depends not only on missiles and radars, but also on industry, logistics and the ability to replenish losses