Artur Rehi Profile picture
May 18, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
One of the factors that influenced the success of the Russian advance in the north of the Kharkov region was the shutdown of the Starlink network. The Washington Post was told, citing the Ukrainian military, that shortly before the start of the military offensive in Kharkiv,
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Starlink terminals stopped working, leaving the defenders blind. Communication with the drones was interrupted and they had to maintain communications by phones. This is the first major failure of this kind. The cause of the failure is unknown, but it is possible that Russia
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has used new electronic warfare techniques. Elon Musk responded that the Starlink satellites were under severe pressure, but did not go into detail. At the moment, Russia's advance in the north of the Kharkiv region has slowed down greatly. The Russians continue to bomb the
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civilian population of Kharkiv. Although the Russians captured several settlements in their attack, we must understand that in a war of attrition the capture of cities does not play a big role, but what is more important is how many resources both sides spend on defense and
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attack. Ukraine is waging a defensive war and if it has to leave populated areas to preserve resources, there is no need to worry about the capture of these cities, no matter how cynical it may sound. Ukraine has already resorted to such tactics when it allowed the Russians
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to enter settlement and occupy it, in order to then destroy the invaders with artillery. After all, it is more important for the Russians to account for the capture, and it does not matter how many soldiers were spent. Also, if the attack on Kharkiv was some kind of idea to
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divert Ukrainian resources, then it did not work, because Russia itself is forced to transfer its resources from the Kupyansk and Kramatorsk directions and still they cannot take Vovchansk and have not even reached the first line of the Ukrainian defense, which is located
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several tens of kilometers from Vovchansk. However, the situation remains difficult but first panic feelings subsided. We must remember that Russia is conducting an information-military operation and its successes in the information field exceed its successes on the ground.
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More from @ArturRehi

Feb 10
Bloomberg reported, citing sources, that Greece and Malta have become the main obstacles to an EU proposal to replace the price cap on Russian oil with a ban on services necessary for transporting fuel. According to the agency’s interlocutors, the two southern European
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countries raised concerns about this step at a meeting of EU ambassadors on Monday, where the latest sanctions package against Russia was presented. They warned that such a shift could affect Europe’s shipping industry and energy prices. Both countries also requested Image
clarifications regarding proposals to impose sanctions on foreign ports handling Russian oil and to strengthen oversight of ship sellers in order to reduce the number of vessels entering Moscow’s fleet. A representative of the Greek government declined to comment. Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 9
The most unpleasant forecasts regarding the Russian economy are beginning to materialize. What analysts cautiously spoke about a year ago is now being discussed openly even by the most pro-government Russian economists: the safety margin is rapidly shrinking. While Putin talks
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about “stability” and “growth,” the reality looks far more prosaic: a country that unleashed a war of aggression against Ukraine is methodically burning through its own financial system. According to estimates by Germany’s BND intelligence service, Russia’s real military spending Image
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Feb 4
According to BND estimates, last year Russia’s military spending may have amounted to almost half of the state budget and around 10% of the country’s GDP. According to the German intelligence service, Russia is spending significantly more on the war and its armed forces
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than it has declared in recent years. Since the start of the war against Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s defense budget has increased sharply every year. In addition, Russia’s interpretation of “defense spending” differs significantly from the NATO definition, German Image
intelligence officials note. A comprehensive analysis of budget data conducted by BND shows that Russia’s defense budget in recent years was 66% higher than officially reported. Unaccounted expenditures include, for example, construction projects of the Ministry of Defense, Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 30
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained why he sharply criticized Europe at the World Economic Forum in Davos. He made these remarks during a meeting with journalists in Kyiv, according to a correspondent from European Pravda. Zelensky said he had grounds for critical
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statements toward Europe after a lack of funding led to a shortage of air defense missiles, allowing Russia to strike Kyiv’s energy infrastructure. Zelensky did not deny that his speech may have sounded overly harsh from European capitals and explained this by saying that Image
Ukraine and the rest of Europe live in different information spaces. He also acknowledged that the differences are not only informational but also emotional in how events are perceived. The president explained that his Davos speech was preceded by heavy strikes on energy Image
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Jan 22
Putin is losing the game he himself started. His bet was placed on a return to the world of the 19th and early 20th centuries - a world of empires and spheres of influence, where Europe, America, Africa, and Asia are divided among several “superpowers.” In Putin’s vision of
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the world, there were supposed to be three such powers: the United States, Russia, and China. However, the real transformation of the global order is unfolding in a completely different way. The key failure is Ukraine. At the end of the fourth year of war, Russia has still
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been unable to subjugate it. The army is visibly degrading, human and technological resources are being exhausted, the economy is held together by military spending and gray schemes, and the state increasingly resembles an overextended empire losing its ability to govern
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Jan 9
Within NATO, the possibility of conducting a special joint mission in Greenland is being considered in order to accommodate the interests of US President Donald Trump. This week, the US president once again stated that he wants Greenland. Military intervention is not being
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ruled out. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen previously said that this would mean the end of the Alliance if the United States were to begin military action against her country. On Thursday morning, the 32 ambassadors of the Alliance gathered for their weekly meeting.
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It took place in a "calm atmosphere." Denmark raised the Greenland issue in a "positive and forward-looking manner," NOS insiders reported. The US ambassador to NATO, Whitaker, also reportedly spoke in a conciliatory tone. As became clear during the meeting, almost all
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Read 8 tweets

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