Joni Askola Profile picture
May 20 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Copying nazis once again: the '60 to 40 method' disinformation agents have been activated by russia. Image
2/9 Have you observed that individuals, both russian and non-russian, whom you believed were against Putin and his war and supported Ukraine, have recently begun advocating for forced negotiations that favor russia's position? Image
3/9 This has a specific cause. russia is once again emulating Nazi Germany by employing the so-called '40 to 60' disinformation method, originally developed by Goebbels. Image
4/9 This method involves producing media that allocates 60 percent of its content in favor of the enemy's interests. Subsequently, having gained their trust through this approach, the remaining 40 percent is utilized for highly impactful disinformation. Image
5/9 russia has the capability to enlist individuals who appear to be from the opposition, as well as other people, to execute this method using skillful mental gymnastics and effective communication techniques. This approach has proven to be highly effective. Image
6/9 There have been many instances of a shift in rhetoric by individuals who were perceived to be supporting Ukraine. Some of them purposefully employ the 40 to 60 method, while others are simply russian imperialists who happen to be opposed to Putin. Some are just opportunists. Image
7/9 russia consistently launches new disinformation campaigns against the West, employing various methods. The '40 to 60' method is just one of these tactics, yet it proves to be highly effective due to its reliance on trust. Image
8/9 These campaigns have been remarkably successful in causing many to overlook russia's initial lies and the origins of the war, as well as the significant setbacks experienced by russia in the invasion thus far. Image
P.S. I am not suggesting that the individuals in the pictures are russian disinformation agents or intentionally use the 60 to 40 method. However, their recent shift in rhetoric aligns with the pattern discussed in the thread.

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More from @joni_askola

May 21
1/8 russian propaganda is too effective: it's time to lift the nonsensical restrictions and equip the 12th Azov Special Forces Brigade of the National Guard with US weapons. @azov_media Image
2/8 Since 2017, Azov has been unable to obtain US weapons. The ban on supplying Western weapons and training to the 12th Azov Special Forces Brigade of the National Guard is based on russian disinformation. It is time to finally overturn this irrational policy. Image
3/8 The Azov 12th brigade is one of Ukraine's most professional units. It played a pivotal role in saving the country in 2022 by holding russian troops at Mariupol for weeks, impeding their progress in other areas. This ban is extremely irrational and unfair. Image
Read 8 tweets
May 18
1/12 Khodorkovsky has good intentions and is mostly correct, but his latest videos and threads are inadvertently providing russia with an unnecessary PR victory. Image
2/12 Khodorkovsky delivered a speech and posted two compelling threads featuring the speech videos and proposed solutions for the West on improving its approach to countering russia in Ukraine. Image
3/12 In Khodorkovsky's first thread and video, he addresses the insufficient support provided by the West to Ukraine. This video and thread convey a highly critical perspective, comparing russian and Ukrainian resources in the war and painting a bleak picture. Image
Read 12 tweets
May 17
1/11 @ElbrigeColby is wrong: the US cannot deter china and abandon Europe at the same time. Image
2/11 A prevailing trend among Trump supporters and isolationists in the US is the belief that American resources are so limited that the US should allow russia to have its way in order to focus solely on South-East Asia. Image
3/11 While it's accurate to acknowledge the serious nature of the chinese threat and the limited resources of the US, the analysis remains incorrect. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 17
1/6 The real reason behind Belousov's appointment: russia loses more equipment than it can produce Image
2/6 russia's war effort has resulted in a greater loss of equipment than it can replace through production. However, its substantial reserves of Soviet-era equipment have provided a crucial lifeline, as russia has managed to refurbish many of these systems. Image
3/6 As per numerous analysts, it is anticipated that russia will deplete its stock of Soviet-era equipment within the next 18-24 months. Additionally, its production of new equipment is insufficient to compensate for these losses. Image
Read 6 tweets
May 14
1/8 Belousov's nomination may also carry negative implications for russia and positive ones for Ukraine. This analysis features insights from @iljaandreev Image
2/8 While privately discussing Belousov's appointment with the exceptional @iljaandreev, he highlighted several insightful and straightforward points about the disadvantages of nominating Belousov for russia. I will attempt to provide a brief explanation of them. Image
3/8 russia's vulnerabilities in terms of corruption, poor military strategy, and inefficiency paradoxically serve as some of its strengths. These weaknesses enable russia's MoD to make fast decisions and achieve tactical gains by disregarding costs and decision-making processes. Image
Read 8 tweets
May 11
1/10 Not supporting Ukraine is a cowardly stance. It's high time for Israel to cease appeasing russia and offer real support to Ukraine. Image
2/10 @Ostrov_A posted a tweet criticizing Ukraine for abstaining from the UNGA vote to upgrade Palestinian status, overlooking the fact that Israel hasn't supported Ukraine. Image
3/10 Israel has not imposed sanctions on russia or supplied weapons to Ukraine. The absence of Israeli weapons from third countries being provided to Ukraine also suggests that Israel likely prevents other nations from supplying Ukrainian forces with Israeli weapons. Image
Read 10 tweets

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