Joni Askola Profile picture
Finnish PhD candidate @FSV_UK trying to help Ukraine with the @69thSB and by mocking disinformation. Opinions are my own
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Jun 13 6 tweets 3 min read
1/6 Israel’s strikes on Iran are shaking the region—but the shockwaves won’t stop there.

Ukraine, still locked in a fight for survival against russia, could feel both the fallout and the opportunity.

How might this reshape Ukraine’s war? Image 2/6 The downsides are real.

If this escalation drags on, more Western weapons and attention could shift to the Middle East.

We have already seen US guidance systems meant for Ukraine redirected.

Promises broken. Focus lost Image
Jun 13 8 tweets 3 min read
1/8 Israel just struck Iran.

The world is reacting—but most people still don’t fully understand what this moment really means.

This isn’t about Gaza.

It’s about nukes, power, and the future of the world Image 2/8 Last night, Israel launched strikes on Iran’s nuclear program.

This movement was years in the making—and yet, much of the West still doesn’t understand what’s really at stake.

This isn’t about Gaza.

Iran and Gaza should be treated separately Image
Jun 12 4 tweets 2 min read
1/4 Why should Ukraine listen to the US if Washington cuts aid and eases sanctions on russia?

If Trump goes down that path, Ukraine has every reason to walk away from any deal—including the minerals one Image 2/4 Trump’s team can’t even criticize russia, let alone pressure it.

They talk about doing business with a regime that invades neighbors, kills civilians, and props up dictators.

russia is an enemy—and an economic midget.

Why sell out allies like that? Image
Jun 12 12 tweets 4 min read
1/12 Want to get hated by everyone in one thread? Try this:

Israel might strike Iran’s nuclear program soon—but people in the West need to grasp this:

Gaza ≠ Iran.

You can oppose war crimes in Gaza and still believe Iran must never get nukes.

The world isn’t black and white Image 2/12 Nothing is certain—especially timing—but signs point to an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear program being closer than ever.

Gaza and Iran are somewhat linked, but they are not same—and must be treated as separate issues Image
Jun 11 4 tweets 2 min read
1/4 What could a US-Israeli strike campaign on Iran’s nuclear program actually look like?

It wouldn’t be a single air raid.

It could be a complex, multi-layered operation—ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, bombs, cyberattacks, sabotage, and more.

Here’s how it could unfold: Image 2/4 Israel has stuck Iran before using air-launched ballistic missiles. It also possesses other air-launched weapons, such as cruise missiles and smart bombs—but a sustained campaign would likely require US support Image
Jun 11 5 tweets 2 min read
1/5 Are Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure imminent?

Signs are emerging—but it wouldn’t be the first time.

Netanyahu’s government and the IDF have been preparing, but the timing likely hinges on US-Iran talks.

Israel can act alone—but prefers US backing Image 2/5 Talks between the US and Iran are ongoing, but time may be running out amid rumors of a breakdown. Israel sees Iran nearing nuclear capability and won’t wait forever. Past strikes show its readiness to act Image
Jun 11 7 tweets 3 min read
1/7 The hardest thing to understand about russia?

It’s easy to both overestimate and underestimate it—at the same time.

russia is a real threat to Europe now, and will be in the future—even if it can’t win in Ukraine.

That paradox is what many in the West still don’t get Image 2/7 Many in the West can’t grasp this: russia can lose in Ukraine and still be a major threat to Europe. Ukraine has a larger population and a stronger military than many NATO countries Image
Jun 11 6 tweets 3 min read
1/6 Europe is not ready for war.

Militarily, most of its countries are underprepared—and we don’t have 5 years to fix that.

If we fail to help Ukraine win decisively, russian aggression will spread beyond its borders.

Time is running out.

Here is what we must do—now: Image 2/6 Helping Ukraine isn’t charity—it’s self-defense.

The best way to stop a wider war in Europe is to ensure russia loses in Ukraine.

That means more aid, faster delivery, and long-term commitments. Half-measures won’t cut it Image
Jun 10 7 tweets 3 min read
1/7 The scam of the century:

Putin didn’t just start a war—he sold the whole world a lie.

He lied about invading, lied about genocide, lied about NATO, and lied about Ukraine itself.

This war is built on fiction, and it’s time to tear the mask off—so people don’t forget Image 2/7 Putin and russian officials swore they wouldn’t invade Ukraine. Then they did. Putin claimed it was to stop a ”genocide” in Donbas—another lie. russian troops had been fighting there since 2014. Even Prigozhin admitted it. The genocide claim was pure fiction Image
Jun 10 8 tweets 3 min read
1/8 russia is actually losing the war it started in Ukraine—not just slowly, but strategically.

Still, it’s not giving up. It’s buying time, hoping Trump will help it escape defeat.

Here’s why russia is losing—and why we shouldn’t let Trump save it: Image 2/8 russia’s strategic goals—”demilitarization” and ”denazification (regime change)” in Ukraine—are further away than ever. Ukraine is more sovereign, more militarized, and more united than before the full-scale invasion Image
Jun 9 6 tweets 3 min read
1/6 Trump says he wants peace in Ukraine.

But since his re-election, russia has escalated its attacks—bombing civilians, flattening cities.

Trump’s response? Pressure Ukraine. Praise Putin.

This isn’t neutrality or negotiating peace. It’s enabling russia and its war crimes. Image 2/6 russia has escalated its bombing of Ukrainian cities—killing civilians, leveling homes, and launching the largest drone attacks of the war.

And it’s happening right after Trump’s re-election. What does that say about Trump—and how russia views him? Image
Jun 9 7 tweets 3 min read
1/7 Trump just dropped National Guard troops into LA, bypassing Newsom. No coordination. Just chaos.

Is MAGA trying to justify martial law—or quietly boost Newsom as their 2028 Dem pick?

Or are they trying to destroy him?

The chaos feels coordinated. The connections are real. Image 2/7 Newsom called it a dangerous overreach. Trump acted unilaterally. This feels less like law enforcement, more like a political theater. Why California? Why now? And why escalate tensions in a state led by a rising Democratic star? Image
Jun 5 7 tweets 3 min read
1/7 The fallout everyone was waiting for:

The Trump-Musk bromance is over—masks are off.

Musk used Trump to bulldoze institutions, dodge investigations, and push a far-right agenda.

Now that Trump is a liability, Musk is pretending he was never involved. Don’t fall for it! Image 2/7 The Trump-Musk fallout isn’t just drama—it’s the end of a strategy.

Musk used Trump as a Trojan horse to gut institutions, get access to data, and to dodge investigations. Now that Trump is no longer useful, he is discarding him and pretending it never happened Image
Jun 4 5 tweets 2 min read
1/5 🇪🇺Europe is sleepwalking through history.

For 3+ years, our leaders have waited for the war in Ukraine to solve itself—or for Trump and Putin to do it for them.

But waiting won’t end this war. Only action will.

Here’s what Europe must do—before it’s too late Image 2/5 Europe holds all the cards—but lacks courage and will. We have applied no real pressure on Putin. The way to speed up the end of the war? Commit to substantial, long-term military aid for Ukraine and impose tougher sanctions on russia. It’s that simple! Image
Jun 4 11 tweets 5 min read
1/11 Trump was never the main threat—just the opening act and Trojan horse.

The technofascist oligarchs who backed him are already planning what comes next—and it’s darker, more authoritarian, more organized, and far more dangerous! Image 2/11 The most dangerous phase of Trumpism is just beginning—and it’s no longer about Trump. The technofascist oligarchs who helped him to power are already planning what comes next. What they want is far worse Image
Jun 3 6 tweets 3 min read
1/6 Europe’s security hinges on Ukraine’ victory.

Rearming Europe matters—but arming Ukraine must come first.

If Ukraine wins, russia can’t invade anyone else.

If Ukraine loses, the war spreads.

Here’s why helping Ukraine WIN should be our top priority: Image 2/6 Rearming Europe is important, but arming Ukraine is even more important—and it should be the top priority. A Ukrainian victory guarantees there won’t be a russian invasion of other European countries Image
Jun 3 5 tweets 2 min read
1/5 Europe needs to finally wake up! russia has no interest in peace. Trump won’t hold them accountable. Yet European leaders keep stalling while Ukraine suffers. Waiting won’t bring peace—only decisive action will! Image 2/5 It should be clear by now that russia doesn’t want peace, Trump won’t properly pressure them, and peace in Ukraine isn’t close—yet Europe still isn’t making serious moves. Time to wake up instead of just buying time! Image
Jun 1 6 tweets 2 min read
1/6 A strategic blow and humiliation for Putin and russia as whole: Ukraine’s successful strikes save lives and weaken russia’s ability to attack other countries in the future. As usual, russia will retaliate by targeting Ukrainian civilians Image 2/6 Nearly 3.5 years into russia’s failed 3-day war, Ukraine continues to humiliate Moscow—hitting at least 4 airbases and destroying strategic bombers with drones, all on camera. How humiliating! Image
May 31 11 tweets 4 min read
1/11 Why russia actually cannot win the unprovoked, useless, and genocidal war it started in Ukraine Image 2/11 russia invaded Ukraine in 2014, then launched a full-scale war in 2022, using genocidal rhetoric to justify it and aiming to ’demilitarize and denazify’ Ukraine. Yet today, Ukraine is more militarized and sovereign than at any point in its independence Image
May 30 4 tweets 2 min read
1/4 Why russia and its assets around the world support Nawrocki in Poland’s presidential election Image 2/4 For the sore Nawrocki and PiS fanboys upset about my post on Putin, Trump, Orban, and Simion supporting Nawrocki: you need to understand that you don’t have to be pro-russian to push russian interests—or for russia to support you Image
May 30 4 tweets 2 min read
1/4 The Trump administration is the most pro-russian and thus most traitorous administration in US history. Just look at what they do and listen to what they say—they never pressure russia and keep repeating Kremlin lies. You can’t support Ukraine without calling them out! Image 2/4 Keith Kellogg, Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine, recently said that russia’s concern over NATO enlargement is fair—which amounts to repeating russian propaganda and justifying their unprovoked invasion of Ukraine. How low can this administration go? Image