1/8 Dictators only understand power and china picked its side long ago: Ukraine should exercise caution in placing trust in china and consider altering its strategy, as the current appeasement approach has failed to yield the desired results. 2/8 Following his discussion with the chinese counterpart, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba announced that Ukraine has received a clear indication that china is actively working to bring an end to russia's war against Ukraine.

1/5 The story of a shaky economy and lost potential: Putin fears inflation and will do anything to avoid it. As anticipated, the russian central bank has raised its interest rate to 18% today, marking a significant increase from 7.5% in June 2023. 2/5 As expected, the russian Central Bank announced that it would raise the interest rate from 16% to 18%, reflecting the accelerated inflation in the russian economy due to the ongoing failed and costly invasion of Ukraine.

1/13 Putin's dirty secrets: russia excels at bluffing, but its resources are not limitless. The extensive stocks of Soviet equipment are gradually depleting, recruitment is becoming increasingly challenging, and inflation is compelling the central bank to take drastic measures. 2/13 Negotiations have been a prominent topic of discussion lately, and russia has been exerting significant efforts on this front. This is not a coincidence; Putin is aware that time is gradually running out for russia.

1/13 Ukraine's allies represent its greatest vulnerability: while russia is unable to defeat Ukraine militarily on the front, the cowardice exhibited by Ukraine's allies could potentially provide russia with an opportunity to achieve at least some of its objectives. 2/13 Recent talks revolve around potential negotiations and implications of a Trump victory. However, his win is uncertain, and choosing JD Vance as running mate has lowered those chances compared to earlier projections.

1/6 Attrition does not favor russia in Ukraine 2/6 @naalsio26 has reported updated losses in the vicinity of Avdiivka, with russia having 1449 visually confirmed losses, while Ukraine has 282 for the same area. This data underscores the significant disparity in losses between the two parties in the region.

1/9 The existence of Ukraine and the future of democracy are at stake: it is imperative for Biden to step down, as a Trump presidency must be avoided at all costs. 2/9 There are recent rumors suggesting that Biden may soon be replaced as a candidate. It will be intriguing to see if this indeed comes to pass.

1/15 Mearsheimer's traitorous and counterfactual strand of realism is unlikely to stand the test of time. 2/15 A few years ago, I attended Mearsheimer's lecture at MGIMO in Moscow and was perplexed by the applause the renowned American professor received from russian Putinist students. Over time, the reasons behind this have become clear to me.

1/5 Starting in September, France will train and equip a Ukrainian brigade. 2/5 2100 soldiers, equivalent to a French brigade, will undergo a two-month training in France starting in September.

1/6 Full-scale invasions that fail are very expensive: recent data indicates that the cost of war is gradually increasing for russia 2/6 A study has revealed that over the past 12 months, around 8% of all federal government spending in russia went towards payments to military servicemen and their families. This sum equates to 1.5% of russia's GDP.

1/9 Mais quelle surprise! As anticipated, the French NFP left-wing bloc, having secured the most seats but without an absolute majority, is now grappling with internal leadership conflicts. 2/9 The left-wing coalition, which secured the most seats in France's snap legislative election, is encountering division as its primary party has announced the suspension of negotiations with the others due to an inability to reach a consensus on a prime minister.

1/10 Time to make some moves: Europe should make arrangements to stand independently, without relying on the US, rather than solely concentrating on attempting to appease Trump in the hope of only facing partial abandonment. 2/10 Given the recent events, the possibility of Trump being re-elected in November appears increasingly probable. European leaders are getting ready for this by behaving as though it wouldn't pose a problem and asserting that they can collaborate with Trump.

1/7 Putin is likely to applaud as several influential Americans are openly revealing their true allegiances by endorsing russia's favorite Trump-Vance duo. 2/7 Elbridge Colby, Elon Musk, and Bill Ackman are some of the individuals openly endorsing the Trump-Vance duo, seemingly supporting russia's efforts to gain control over US politics.

1/6 Long-range missiles from the US are being deployed to Germany to deter russia. 2/6 Following a decades-long break, American long-range missiles are set to return to Europe amid the escalating tension between Moscow and NATO.

1/8 A corrupt, unstable, and dishonest narcissist, traitor, and criminal does not become a hero just because some idiot tries to murder him and fails. 2/8 Violence against a political candidate is never acceptable, and the individual who attempted to murder Trump has only increased the chances of a traitorous candidate being elected in November.

1/8 The situation in the Kharkiv region continues to deteriorate for russia. 2/8 russian military blogger Anatoly Radov recognizes the escalating situation in the Kharkiv region for russian forces, particularly near Hlyboke. Ukrainian forces have been carrying out counterattacks in recent weeks, leading to a gradual retreat of the russian forces.

1/9 Attrition favors Ukraine when it defends: to achieve victory in this war, Ukraine must prioritize defense, inflict maximum losses on the enemy, and exhibit a great deal of patience. 2/9 Ukraine does not need to initiate any major offensives to secure victory in this war. Even if Ukraine successfully retakes its lands, it is unlikely that russia will cease the war. The most effective approach to reclaiming these lands is to outlast russia.

1/5 The United States Air Force is developing a new cheap air-launched munition for Ukraine. 2/5 The U.S. Air Force is currently developing a new type of precision munition for air launch to support Ukraine, which is preparing to deploy F16 jets.

1/7 The US and Germany foiled a russian plot to assassinate Rheinmetall's CEO. With Trump planning to reduce intel sharing with European allies, the question arises: would he have shared this intel with Germany? 2/7 Earlier this year, US intelligence uncovered a russian plot to assassinate the CEO of Rheinmetall. The manufacturer has been producing artillery shells and military vehicles for Ukraine, as reported by five US and Western officials familiar with the incident.

1/6 The friendly war profiteers: While Norway's assistance to Ukraine is greatly appreciated, it is urged to allocate a larger portion of its war-related gains to support Ukraine. 2/6 Norway has provided substantial aid to Ukraine and is considered one of Ukraine's most helpful supporters. However, Norway has the capacity to do significantly more, especially considering that its aid falls short in comparison to the profits it gains from the war.

1/7 The Axis of Evil in Action: north korea is sending military instructors to russia to assist it in its failed invasion and genocide of Ukraine. 2/7 On July 9, north korean state media reported that a delegation of military trainers from north korea, led by the head of a prestigious military academy in Pyongyang, has embarked on a trip to russia.

1/9 In the failed invasion of Ukraine, 2% of russian men between the ages of 20 and 50 have either died or sustained injuries. 2/9 According to leaked documents from the U.S. Defense Department, The Economist reported on July 5 that between mid-June, 462,000 and 728,000 russian soldiers were killed, injured, or captured.