1/11 The war is far from over, but Ukraine is still winning.

Here is how we can make sure that it defeats Russia 🧵 2/11 Russia’s 2022 invasion is a genocide.

They use genocidal rhetoric to justify erasing Ukraine's identity. They kidnap children and commit daily war crimes to punish civilians for simply refusing to be Russian.

This is a systematic attempt to destroy a nation

1/12 “Value-Based Realism” was a major theme at Davos.

It is being sold by Stubb and Carney as a smart, pragmatic path for the West, but I think it is a strategic trap.

Here is why this new realism might actually lead to managed decline 🧵 2/12 The concept is the latest intellectual fashion.

@alexstubb and @MarkJCarney are pushing it as the ultimate manual for "middle powers" like Canada, the UK, and the EU.

It sounds sophisticated to be principled yet pragmatic, but we need to look a bit closer

1/5 Europe needs a reality check.

The strategies that worked during Trump's first term are useless now.

We tried playing nice, and it failed.

It is high time to stop the appeasement and start facing reality 2/5 The time for Europeans to appease Trump is over.

We have spent the last year watching our tactics from "Trump 1" fail miserably in "Trump 2."

Flattery and silence do not work anymore.

He sees them as weakness, not respect

1/8 Europe is sleepwalking into a forever war because we are too afraid to actually win.

We need to stop managing the conflict and start ending it.

Here is how 🧵 2/8 Europe has the power to end the war in Ukraine much faster but it requires a total shift in strategy.

We need to stop managing the conflict and start winning it.

Here is the roadmap to force a Russian collapse👇

1/7 Trump is no isolationist:

He is a show interventionist, a cowardly form of imperialist interventionism that is also meant to entertain the world 2/7 Trump's entire campaign was built on the lie that he would end wars and stop regime change operations.

It has been a year since he promised to end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours and the fighting continues

1/8 Why JD Vance is a greater threat to the American experiment than Donald Trump.

A thread on the Dark Enlightenment, eyeliner, and the end of the West🧵 2/8 Trump may be the worst and most traitorous president in US history, but JD Vance is a far more calculated threat.

Trump is erratic. Vance is a disciplined, smart, and well-organized opportunist ready to dismantle democracy with precision

1/7 Putin doesn’t want you to know this:

Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine has now lasted longer than the Soviet Union’s war against Nazi Germany in WWII.

By this stage of that war, Soviet troops were already in Berlin.

Today, Russia is still struggling to take Chasiv Yar 2/7 Russia has been trying to conquer the Donbas for 12 years, and the rest of Ukraine for nearly four of those.

Despite going all in and receiving help from partners, Russia controls less land now than it did in March 2022, one month into the invasion

1/5 Europe still treats unmanned systems like a niche.

Meanwhile, Russia already has an 80k-man strong unmanned systems branch that it plans to double in size in 2026.

If we do not scale up fast, we are handing Moscow an advantage that could cost us our survival 2/5 Russia now has 80k troops dedicated to unmanned systems and plans to double that number in 2026.

That is the size of a mid-tier European army, and it is about to get twice as big.

The gap keeps widening, and it will come back to bite us

1/7 Right now, we do not have a Coalition of the Willing.

We have a Coalition of the Unwilling, pretending to plan for the future while ignoring the present.

That needs to change if Europe wants to survive 2/7 Yesterday, the so-called Coalition of the Willing signed papers on deploying European troops to Ukraine after the war.

Sounds bold, right? Except the war is far from over, and real negotiations have not even started

1/6 Trump’s threat to seize Greenland isn’t just reckless. It’s traitorous.

Almost everything he does benefits Russia and China.

This move forces Europe to panic about Greenland instead of focusing on Ukraine, which is exactly what Moscow and Beijing want 2/6 Trump is the most traitorous president in US history.

Epstein’s emails show Jeffrey Epstein helped Russia blackmail Trump.

That could explain why Trump refuses to pressure Russia even as Moscow rejects his ceasefire proposals and keeps waging war

1/6 Nick Shirley claims to be an independent journalist. He is not.

He is a grifter, a right-wing industry plant, and a PayPal Mafia disinformation agent 🧵 2/6 He was invited to the White House in October 2025 and gets boosted by Trump’s team and the PayPal mafia.

He wears a Polymarket hoodie to show who owns him.

His job is to push lies that fit the right-wing agenda

1/7 Be careful what you wish for:

Those who pushed multipolarity and spheres of influence are now seeing the result of their ideology in Venezuela.

And this is just the beginning 🧵 2/7 For years, anti-West voices claimed multipolarity would mean peace and less US overreach.

They quoted Mearsheimer and Russian propaganda to defend Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Now they see what multipolarity really means

1/13 What to think about Trump’s Venezuela Operation?

So far it looks less like regime change and more like a hostile and illegal corporate takeover.

What does this mean for the world?

Let’s break it down 🧵 2/13 After months of threats, sunk boats, and US military gear moving into the Caribbean, Trump finally made his move yesterday.

In a daring operation, he struck Venezuela’s air defenses and kidnapped Maduro, flying him to the US for trial

1/7 Why appointing Budanov to replace Yermak as Zelensky’s chief of staff might be the right choice and what it means for Ukraine’s future 🧵 2/7 Zelensky announced Budanov will succeed Yermak as chief of staff.

Yermak stepped down in November after years in the role. He was powerful and feared, which matters during war, but unpopular, seen as incompetent, and tied to corruption.

Change was inevitable

1/9 Putin’s Russia has no plan in Ukraine.

After nearly 4 years of full-scale war, Russia is strategically losing but cannot afford to stop because stopping locks in defeat.

Fake stories about “strikes on Putin’s residence” show how desperate Moscow is 2/9 Russia launched this war to “demilitarize and denazify” Ukraine.

In plain terms that means regime change, a puppet government, a new constitution, and Russian troops turning Ukraine into a satellite state.

Today Russia is further from that goal than in 2022. How pathetic!

1/9 A new class of people has become the biggest threat to democracy, freedom of speech, human rights, and humanity as a whole.

Who are they?

Tech oligarchs 2/9 On Trump’s inauguration, a group of tech oligarchs were present, celebrating.

These tech billionaires with political influence are not champions of freedom.

They are enemies of democracy, ready to back any side, even fascists, if it serves their interests

1/10 China is indirectly at war with Europe.

By massively supporting Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Beijing has made itself an enemy of Europe.

China is the biggest enabler of the genocide Russia is committing in Ukraine, and it does not get nearly enough hate for it 2/10 When Russia launched its full-scale invasion, it lost most access to Western markets.

China stepped in as Russia’s lifeline, buying huge volumes of energy to keep Moscow afloat

1/12 We are so back!

Evil forces around the world have started to struggle in 2025, giving hope for a better future.

The tide is turning.

Let’s hope they struggle even more in 2026 2/12 The last few years felt hopeless.

Dictators grew aggressive. Russia invaded Ukraine. China rose as a global power. Trump attempted a coup in 2021 and returned in 2024. Tech oligarchs gained influence.

Post-truth made everything worse

1/10 Ukraine must make sure Russians never feel in control.

It is going more and more asymmetric because playing fair will not win this war where Russia never does.

Ukraine must push this strategy even harder 2/10 Just defending gives Russia no reason to stop.

Trading land for time is smart, but not enough.

Ukraine is striking deep inside Russia and must scale up production even further and shift toward more asymmetric tactics to make the war far more costly for Russia

1/12 China’s favorite US president:

Trump is extremely soft on China. The idea that he’s a China hawk is one of the biggest misconceptions.

He’s almost as soft on Beijing as he is on Moscow. Both back him for that reason.

Here are a few key examples👇 2/12 Trump keeps threatening to pull US troops from allies in Asia, including South Korea and Japan.

He constantly pressures and criticizes those allies.

Undermining security guarantees sends one message: America is weak and unreliable

1/9 Europe must face reality:

The US under Trump is waging a hybrid war against us, siding with our enemies, and turning from ally to adversary 2/9 Trump’s new national security strategy and his administration’s actions prove it.

They are not protecting Europe.

They are undermining us