1/5 The Russian Paradox:

Most people both underestimate and overestimate Russia.

The country is weaker and has far less potential than before the full-scale war began, yet it has become a far greater threat to Europe 2/5 The economy is in bad shape.

Reserves are nearly gone, and growth has stalled under high interest rates.

High oil prices help for now, but once the war in Iran ends, structural problems will remain.

Add a bad demographic situation, and Russia has eaten its future

1/8 Russian intelligence always finds a way to completely screw up.

They recently tried to build an untraceable new hit squad, but got caught because their top operatives literally typed their secret assassination plans into Google Translate 2/8 A new investigation by Insider and Der Spiegel reveals that Russia created a top-secret hit squad called Center 795, after earlier assassination units were exposed.

They embedded it inside the Kalashnikov arms company, hoping it would be untraceable

1/7 Remember when the 2024 Trump campaign was sold as the ultimate pro-peace ticket?

Tech oligarchs and political opportunists swore they would end America's wars.

Now they are the architects of a new war in Iran.

The hypocrisy is staggering 🧵 2/7 Look at the political roster.

JD Vance, Tulsi Gabbard, and Pete Hegseth spent years railing against regime change and foreign interventions.

Today, they are all sitting in the administration overseeing a devastating, open-ended conflict in the Middle East

1/6 This is a thread about the PayPal Mafia and its disturbing links to Jeffrey Epstein.

They want you to think they are visionary leaders, but the reality is much darker 2/6 The PayPal Mafia is a dangerous yet pathetic group of people.

Mostly made up of fascist foreign-born billionaires, they have used their wealth to become oligarchs.

They do not all get along today, but many of them share one horrific bond: Jeffrey Epstein

1/10 If the last few days of Iranian strikes on Dubai have proven anything, it’s that a massive number of people completely despise the city and those living there.

And honestly? There are very good reasons to despise them.

A thread on the city of hypocrites 🧵👇 2/10 Right now, the UAE is running a pathetic paid propaganda campaign.

They have enlisted some of the worst internet grifters, including Andrew Tate, to desperately pump out the message that "everything is under control" while the region is literally at war

1/11 Trump’s operation in Iran is not just reshaping the Middle East.

It is dramatically altering the geopolitical calculus for Ukraine.

For Kyiv, this new conflict is a massive double-edged sword.

Here is a breakdown of the very real upsides and downsides 🧵 2/11 Iran has been the lifeblood of Russia's terror campaign.

They supplies the Kremlin with thousands of shaheds.

Seeing a core pillar of this anti-Western axis dismantled directly hurts Putin's war machine.

When Tehran loses, Moscow loses

1/8 Today marks the start of the 5th year of Russia's failed full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

However, Putin will not stop until he reaches his strategic goals or faces massive pressure, and the West is pathetically failing to provide that pressure 2/8 Despite four years of grueling war, Russia controls less land today than it did just one month into the invasion.

They have not managed to capture and hold a single regional capital, and Putin is further from his strategic goals than before this war even began

1/9 Four years ago, Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Putin thought he would take Kyiv in days and turn Ukraine into a demilitarized satellite state.

Instead, the invasion turned into a pathetic strategic failure for Russia 2/9 Russia wanted to erase Ukraine from the map.

Four years later, the exact opposite is true.

Ukraine is more united, militarized, and globally integrated than ever before.

Moscow tried to break the Ukrainian identity but only forged it in steel

1/6 Two men are responsible for the war in Ukraine not ending:

Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump.

Russia started this fully unprovoked invasion and they are keeping it going.

Meanwhile Trump is doing nothing to pressure them 2/6 Ukraine has accepted all of Trump's ceasefire proposals while Russia has accepted zero.

Instead of negotiating, Putin has massively increased his strikes on Ukrainian civilians since the new US administration took office

1/6 Peter Thiel is the textbook Silicon Valley hypocrite.

He brands himself as a libertarian who hates the state but he built his fortune on government contracts.

Palantir is a taxpayer-funded spy machine that would not exist without the big government he claims to despise 2/6 The irony of his "anti-system" stance is staggering.

Thiel is a gay immigrant who built his empire in the heart of California liberalism.

He benefited from the very inclusive and open society he is now spending millions to dismantle and replace with a rigid hierarchy

1/9 The myth that "time is on Russia’s side" is finally hitting a wall.

Moscow is projecting an image of endless endurance, but the math under the surface tells a different story.

The Kremlin is trapped in a war it cannot win and a peace it cannot afford 🧵 2/9 In his Foreign Affairs article, “Ukraine’s War of Endurance” (February 16, 2026), Michael Kofman lays out the reality:

Time is not necessarily on Russia’s side

1/12 Peter Thiel is the Bond villain of the 21st century.

He is a powerful oligarch who operates in the shadows while pulling the strings of global politics.

He is potentially the most dangerous man in the world today.

What makes this Epstein-class oligarch so dangerous: 2/12 The hypocrisy is absolute.

Thiel is a gay, foreign-born billionaire who built his fortune from liberal California.

He benefited from every protection a democracy provides, yet he now spends his resources trying to dismantle that system for everyone else

1/7 Peter Thiel is the ultimate hypocrite.

He is a gay, foreign-born billionaire who built his fortune in liberal California.

He owns JD Vance and runs mass surveillance to fund a fascist movement aimed at destroying the very democracy that once allowed him to succeed 2/7 Thiel famously wrote that he no longer believes freedom and democracy are compatible.

This is the ideology of the man who owns JD Vance.

He does not want a better America.

He wants a corporate autocracy where the public is just a managed mob

1/12 EU regulation is like kryptonite to our enemies🧵 2/12 There is a reason why Putin, Musk, Trump, Vance, Thiel, and Xi all spend fortunes to attack Brussels.

They do not hate the EU because it fails.

They hate it because of its potential.

Our unity is their nightmare

1/11 The war is far from over, but Ukraine is still winning.

Here is how we can make sure that it defeats Russia 🧵 2/11 Russia’s 2022 invasion is a genocide.

They use genocidal rhetoric to justify erasing Ukraine's identity. They kidnap children and commit daily war crimes to punish civilians for simply refusing to be Russian.

This is a systematic attempt to destroy a nation

1/12 “Value-Based Realism” was a major theme at Davos.

It is being sold by Stubb and Carney as a smart, pragmatic path for the West, but I think it is a strategic trap.

Here is why this new realism might actually lead to managed decline 🧵 2/12 The concept is the latest intellectual fashion.

@alexstubb and @MarkJCarney are pushing it as the ultimate manual for "middle powers" like Canada, the UK, and the EU.

It sounds sophisticated to be principled yet pragmatic, but we need to look a bit closer

1/5 Europe needs a reality check.

The strategies that worked during Trump's first term are useless now.

We tried playing nice, and it failed.

It is high time to stop the appeasement and start facing reality 2/5 The time for Europeans to appease Trump is over.

We have spent the last year watching our tactics from "Trump 1" fail miserably in "Trump 2."

Flattery and silence do not work anymore.

He sees them as weakness, not respect

1/8 Europe is sleepwalking into a forever war because we are too afraid to actually win.

We need to stop managing the conflict and start ending it.

Here is how 🧵 2/8 Europe has the power to end the war in Ukraine much faster but it requires a total shift in strategy.

We need to stop managing the conflict and start winning it.

Here is the roadmap to force a Russian collapse👇

1/7 Trump is no isolationist:

He is a show interventionist, a cowardly form of imperialist interventionism that is also meant to entertain the world 2/7 Trump's entire campaign was built on the lie that he would end wars and stop regime change operations.

It has been a year since he promised to end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours and the fighting continues

1/8 Why JD Vance is a greater threat to the American experiment than Donald Trump.

A thread on the Dark Enlightenment, eyeliner, and the end of the West🧵 2/8 Trump may be the worst and most traitorous president in US history, but JD Vance is a far more calculated threat.

Trump is erratic. Vance is a disciplined, smart, and well-organized opportunist ready to dismantle democracy with precision

1/7 Putin doesn’t want you to know this:

Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine has now lasted longer than the Soviet Union’s war against Nazi Germany in WWII.

By this stage of that war, Soviet troops were already in Berlin.

Today, Russia is still struggling to take Chasiv Yar 2/7 Russia has been trying to conquer the Donbas for 12 years, and the rest of Ukraine for nearly four of those.

Despite going all in and receiving help from partners, Russia controls less land now than it did in March 2022, one month into the invasion