1/11 Baseless doom and gloom: war is not just a matter of quantity, but also of quality. Analysis by @joni_askola
2/11 There is a great deal of doom and gloom surrounding russia's purported army regeneration and increased resources. These assessments focus solely on quantity rather than quality. Furthermore, they place trust in russian figures, which are almost always deceitful.
3/11 The individuals discussing russia's military resurgence overlook the fact that Ukraine has substantially bolstered its armed forces during the same timeframe. As a result, Ukraine's army is now considerably more capable than it was at the beginning of the full-scale war.
4/11 russia is presently depleting its resources at a rate far exceeding its production capacity. To compensate, it is utilizing older Soviet-era resources from its stockpiles. However, this equipment is outdated and of inferior quality compared to the machinery it is replacing.
5/11 Within 18 to 24 months, russia will deplete its supply of Soviet-era resources, leading to a highly challenging predicament. It is unfeasible for russian production to ramp up sufficiently within this timeframe.
6/11 Prior to this depletion, the quality of russia's equipment will continue to decline, while Ukraine's equipment quality will improve through Western assistance. Most Western weapon systems are significantly superior to those of russia.
7/11 If wars were solely determined by quantity, Russia would have already invaded Ukraine, and the USSR would have conquered Finland in a matter of days. However, quality also plays a significant role. In the case of Ukraine, its Western weapons are of superior quality.
8/11 russia's invasion of Ukraine has been a dismal failure, as it has not succeeded in capturing any of the 23 regional capitals and special status cities that Ukraine controlled at the onset of the war.
9/11 The upcoming months will pose significant challenges as Ukraine mobilizes and trains troops, simultaneously defending the front lines, constructing defensive barriers, and awaiting the arrival of military aid.
10/11 Should Ukraine endure the next few months without substantial territorial or human losses, its situation is poised to improve by the year's end. russia's window of opportunity is gradually narrowing, and the disparity in quantity between russia and Ukraine will diminish.
Many people on the Internet are spreading messages about the illegitimacy of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. However, this is another attempt by the Russian side to split the Ukrainian society, as this is part of its information war. However, according to the
1/10
Constitution of Ukraine, Article 64 of the main law "Under conditions of martial law or a state of emergency, specific restrictions on rights and freedoms may be established with the indication of the period of effectiveness of these restrictions." Martial law has been
2/10
introduced in Ukraine and this is obvious. The same article spells out rights that cannot be limited and does not mention elections. In addition, Article 19 of the Law of Ukraine on Martial Law directly states that under martial law, changing the constitution and holding
3/10
1/7 Is russia planning tax increases to fund its failed invasion of Ukraine? Update by @joni_askola
2/7 russian resources are not limited, as evidenced by Belousov's appointment as MoD. Another indication is russia's contemplation of raising taxes to fund its unsuccessful war in Ukraine.
3/7 russia is exploring substantial tax hikes to generate up to 4 trillion rubles ($44 billion) in response to the financial pressure stemming from the war in Ukraine. Discussions include tax increases for corporate profits and high-earning individuals.
Once again about Belousov, who supervised Prigozhin’s activities and why he won't help Putin. released an investigation concerning Andrei Belousov. This is not a detailed investigation into his corruption schemes, but it does shed light on the man's
1/15 Dossier.Center
personality. Like everyone around Putin, Belousov is no better than Shoigu. He is not some kind of genius economist and all his earlier initiatives, such as import substitution in Russia, failed. Rumors about Shoigu’s possible resignation have been circulating since the
2/15
beginning of a full-scale invasion, and Vladimir Putin has long been moving towards finally making the post of Minister of Defense administrative. Andrei Belousov has been preparing for this position for several years. Belousov, while still in the position of assistant to
3/15
1/7 Salesman of the century: while Putin may not be a good leader, he is NATO's most effective salesman. Take by @joni_askola
2/7 A track record of imperialism and aggression, coupled with persistent dishonesty, threats, militarization, paranoia, corruption, and unreasonable demands, creates the type of neighbor one would prefer not to face alone.
3/7 Prior to russia's failed full-scale invasion, Macron believed that NATO was undergoing a "brain death." While this wasn't the case, it is evident that Putin knows how to make an organization appear more valuable than ever before.
1/8 When your attempt to divert ties up your own reserves: maintaining a small buffer zone will require russia to deploy a much larger number of troops compared to just securing the border located behind it.
Analysis by @joni_askola
2/8 russia continues to launch attacks north of Kharkiv and is maneuvering troops near Sumy. While this assault has primarily served as a diversionary tactic, it is probable that russia also aims to push Ukrainian forces further away from the border.
3/8 russia has discussed establishing a so-called 'sanitary' or buffer zone to safeguard Belgorod, which is likely one of the objectives behind russia's attack. The primary goal continues to be drawing Ukrainian reserves away from the main axis near Chasiv Yar.
1/8 Fighting with one hand tied: the delay in aid can be attributed to Republicans, but the Biden administration is to blame for the useless red lines. Take by @joni_askola
2/8 Ukraine is confronting its most significant challenge in two years due to three reasons: Ukraine's prolonged delay in addressing its manpower issue, delayed and inadequate Western aid in recent months, and the Western tendency to establish useless red lines.
3/8 The delay in US aid can be attributed to the Republicans, who found excuses to postpone it for months, exacerbating the situation on the front. Europe can be faulted for not sufficiently stepping in to aid Ukraine.